Across 22 metros, at a good address, the neighborhood you choose moves the projected chance of lasting two or more years by a median 22.6 points for the same business type. The business type you choose moves it 15.5 inside one neighborhood. The metro you choose moves it 6.8 for the same business type.
| Metro | Best neighborhood | Toughest | Spread | Where the business type matters most | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Platt Park 84.6% | Trails at First Creek 54.2% | 30.4 | Highland Park East: chiropractor 89.2% vs tanning 59.2% | 30.0 |
| Miami | Flagler Heights 84.5% | Leslie Estates 54.4% | 30.1 | Leslie Estates: chiropractor 89.2% vs tailor 48.9% | 40.3 |
| New York City | West Side, Jersey City 84.4% | Tudor City 54.3% | 30.1 | Midtown: chiropractor 90.0%† vs pet groomers 48.0%‡ | 42.0 |
| Philadelphia | Hunting Park 83.9% | Center City 55.1% | 28.8 | Center City: veterinarian 89.6% vs tattoo & piercing 48.9% | 40.7 |
| San Francisco | West Berkeley 84.0% | Colony Park 55.2% | 28.8 | Financial District/South Beach: chiropractor 90.0%† vs bar 48.3% | 41.7 |
| Chicago | Palmer Square 84.4% | Marynook 59.1% | 25.3 | Near North Side: veterinarian 90.0%† vs mixed martial arts 49.8% | 40.2 |
| Baltimore | Curtis Bay 83.6% | Sandtown-Winchester 58.6% | 25.0 | Sandtown-Winchester: hair salon 82.6% vs coffee shop 49.9% | 32.7 |
| Washington DC | U Street Corridor and 3 others 84.4% | Tara-Leeway Heights 60.9% | 23.5 | Bethesda Center: chiropractor 89.6% vs watch store / repair 53.5% | 36.1 |
| Boston | Winter Hill 84.3% | Beacon Hill 61.8% | 22.5 | Chinatown: chiropractor 90.0%† vs watch store / repair 49.9% | 40.1 |
| Los Angeles | Irvine Spectrum 84.4% | Northwood Point 62.3% | 22.1 | East Village: veterinarian 90.0%† vs home improvement 54.4% | 35.6 |
| Phoenix | Superstition Springs 84.0% | Rio Vista 62.6% | 21.4 | Rio Vista: dentist 78.5% vs coffee shop 54.8% | 23.7 |
| Portland | Central Beaverton 84.4% | Roseway 63.3% | 21.1 | Roseway: veterinarian 90.0%† vs massage therapy 52.5% | 37.5 |
| San Diego | Old Town 84.0% | Robinhood-Bon Vivant 64.9% | 19.1 | Hillcrest: veterinarian 89.6% vs watch store / repair 58.4% | 31.2 |
| Minneapolis | Windom 84.1% | Ventura Village 67.4% | 16.7 | Ventura Village: chiropractor 87.4% vs mexican restaurant 60.0% | 27.4 |
| St. Louis | Bevo Mill 84.1% | Hamilton Heights 67.4% | 16.7 | Riverview: eye care center 87.9% vs coffee shop 57.1% | 30.8 |
| Detroit | O'Hair Park 83.9% | Marina District 68.0% | 15.9 | Chalfonte: veterinarian 85.8% vs gym 53.0% | 32.8 |
| Seattle | Fremont and 1 other 84.5% | Somerset 68.7% | 15.8 | Olympic Manor: veterinarian 87.0% vs tailor 60.6% | 26.4 |
| Charlotte | Henderson Circle and 1 other 84.4% | Hembstead 71.9% | 12.5 | Hembstead: veterinarian 87.9% vs tailor 66.9% | 21.0 |
| Atlanta | Old Fourth Ward and 3 others 84.5% | Perkerson and 1 other 73.0% | 11.5 | Riverside: veterinarian 89.2% vs laundromat 63.8% | 25.4 |
| Houston | Midtown 84.5% | Medical Center Area 76.3% | 8.2 | Medical Center Area: psychiatrists & psychologists 87.9% vs coffee shop 68.2% | 19.7 |
| Orlando | Colonial Town Center 84.5% | Spring Lake 79.2% | 5.3 | Spring Lake: eye care center 88.3% vs spa 70.5% | 17.8 |
| Tampa Bay | Tampa Heights 84.4% | Bayshore Beautiful 79.7% | 4.7 | Bayshore Beautiful: chiropractor 89.6% vs massage therapy 76.4% | 13.2 |
“and N others”: other ranked places of the same kind print the same figure; the one named is the metro file's own first- or last-ranked place.
† the highest figure the national file gives that business type anywhere in that metro, so a gap that reaches it is measured up to that limit, not beyond it.
‡ the lowest figure the national file gives that business type anywhere in that metro, the same kind of limit at the bottom.
How it is built. Every figure is read from StreetSpring's published survivability datasets, version 2026.10.05, at a good address (the 90th percentile of a place's scored locations). Best and toughest neighborhood are each metro file's own neighborhood_overall_rank, first and last, the same figures the cross-metro ranking prints. Where the business type matters most is the ranked neighborhood whose best and weakest ranked business types are furthest apart. The three levers are medians over the 22 metros compared: the same business type between its best and weakest ranked neighborhood, the best and weakest ranked type inside one neighborhood, and the same business type between its best and worst metro.
What it is not. Projections from location factors, not counts of closures. A neighborhood median also hides the thing that decides a specific lease, which is the address. Each metro page carries its full ranking.
Reporters and researchers. Every figure here is read from the published metro files, and the best and toughest neighborhoods are the figures the cross-metro ranking prints. If you need a cut that is not on the page, ask and it is usually same day. Data version: 2026.10.05.