National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for Bakery
StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis ranks the top neighborhoods across all major US cities for Bakeries. See which neighborhoods offer the highest Survivability Scores.
StreetSpring's 2026 cross-market analysis reveals that Richmond in New York City ranks as the #1 neighborhood in the United States for opening a Bakery, with 90% survivability. The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide are concentrated in New York City, which leads all US markets in Bakery survivability. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
To understand the methodology behind these rankings, see our detailed guide: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.
Quick Summary
- #1 Neighborhood: Richmond, New York City — 90% survivability for Bakery
- Neighborhoods analyzed: 135 across 1 major US city
- National average survivability: 76.9% for Bakeries
- Top-25 average: 83.9% — 7.0% above national average
- Data current as of: 2026 · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- How neighborhoods compare nationwide
- Top 25 neighborhoods in the US
- Geographic patterns
- How to use this ranking
- Related resources
How do neighborhoods compare across the United States for Bakeries?
Analyzing 135 neighborhoods across 1 major US city, StreetSpring's 2026 data shows that the best neighborhoods for Bakeries significantly outperform average locations, with the top 25 neighborhoods nationwide averaging 83.9% survivability compared to the national neighborhood average of 76.9%.
This 7.0% advantage illustrates how critical neighborhood selection is — choosing a top-tier neighborhood versus an average one can significantly increase your long-term survival chances.
For a Bakery, the survivability advantage of a top-ranked neighborhood (averaging 83.9% versus the national average of 76.9%) translates directly into a longer survival horizon and a stronger revenue capture position. StreetSpring's model identifies Bakeries survivability as particularly sensitive to the competitive density of direct and indirect competitors within a quarter-mile radius of the specific address.
The top-performing neighborhoods are currently concentrated in New York City. This indicates that New York City offers the strongest conditions for Bakeries in our current dataset.
Where you open matters more than anything else.
What are the best neighborhoods in the United States to open a Bakery?
Survivability range for top, middle, and last-ranked neighborhoods. Box = best-to-challenging range; white line = average. Richmond, New York City leads at 90% in 2026. Full methodology →
The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide for Bakeries are:
| # | Neighborhood | City | Avg Survival | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond | New York City | 90.0% | 91.2% | 88.8% |
| 2 | Harrowgate | New York City | 87.0% | 88.2% | 85.8% |
| 3 | Upper Roxborough | New York City | 87.0% | 88.2% | 85.8% |
| 4 | Andorra | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 5 | Lawndale | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 6 | Northwood | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 7 | Feltonville | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 8 | Mayfair | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 9 | Rhawnhurst | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 10 | Riverfront | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 11 | Mount Airy, West | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 12 | Oxford Circle | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 13 | Roxborough | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 14 | Summerdale | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 15 | Wissahickon | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 16 | Olney | New York City | 83.0% | 84.2% | 81.8% |
| 17 | Girard Estates | New York City | 82.0% | 83.2% | 80.8% |
| 18 | Holmesburg | New York City | 82.0% | 83.2% | 80.8% |
| 19 | Rittenhouse | New York City | 82.0% | 83.2% | 80.8% |
| 20 | Washington Square West | New York City | 82.0% | 83.2% | 80.8% |
| 21 | Lexington Park | New York City | 81.0% | 82.2% | 79.8% |
| 22 | Manayunk | New York City | 81.0% | 82.2% | 79.8% |
| 23 | Pennsport | New York City | 81.0% | 82.2% | 79.8% |
| 24 | Pennypack Woods | New York City | 81.0% | 82.2% | 79.8% |
| 25 | Whitman | New York City | 81.0% | 82.2% | 79.8% |
Top-ranked neighborhoods contain their own variation; a single block difference can shift survivability meaningfully, which is why address-level scoring matters.
For a full explanation of how survivability scores and ranges are calculated, see Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.
What patterns emerge from the top-performing neighborhoods nationwide?
City Concentration
All top 25 neighborhoods are located in New York City, which accounts for 100% of the top 25 in the current dataset.
Breakdown of top 25 neighborhoods by city:
- New York City: 25 neighborhoods (100% of top 25) — View city guide
This concentration reflects the current coverage of StreetSpring's dataset. As the analysis expands to additional cities, rankings will incorporate a broader cross-market view. For now, operators focused on Bakeries should look closely at New York City's neighborhood-level data — the city offers the strongest demonstrated conditions for this category and the most granular survivability data available.
How can I use this neighborhood ranking to find the best location for a Bakery?
While nationwide neighborhood rankings identify standout markets, address-level analysis reveals even greater variation. Our AI engine has been trained on millions of real business outcomes, giving every survivability prediction a foundation of data that no other platform can match. Even within top-ranked neighborhoods, specific block selection can vary survivability by 10–20 percentage points.
For the most accurate assessment:
- Consider neighborhoods in the top 25 as strong starting points
- Examine city-specific guides for additional neighborhood options in your target markets
- Use StreetSpring's address-level tool to evaluate specific storefronts within these neighborhoods
- Factor in your budget, operational requirements, and target demographics
Each neighborhood has detailed analysis available through its city guide, providing block-by-block survivability data for Bakeries.
Related Resources
Explore top cities represented in these neighborhoods:
National city rankings: Best cities for Bakeries
Essential resources:
- How StreetSpring calculates Survivability Scores
- Site selection for landlords
- AI tools for tenant representatives
- StreetSpring vs competitors
Are the best neighborhoods for Bakeries in large cities or smaller markets?
The top neighborhoods for Bakeries in StreetSpring's 2026 dataset are concentrated in a single city in the current dataset. As coverage expands, this breakdown may shift. The fundamental driver is the competitive-to-spending ratio at the address level, which can favor strong locations in both large and smaller markets.
What type of neighborhood is best for opening a Bakery?
The best neighborhoods for Bakeries share three characteristics: manageable competitive density (few existing direct competitors within the primary trade area), strong consumer spending on this category, and demographic alignment with the typical Bakery customer base. In StreetSpring's 2026 data, the top-ranked neighborhoods for Bakeries combine these factors in a way that produces survivability scores well above the national average of 76.9%. Neighborhoods with dense existing competition or low category spending tend to score significantly lower, regardless of overall foot traffic or prestige.
How do I interpret a survivability score?
A survivability score represents the estimated probability that a business of a specific type will still be operating at a given location after 2 years. A score of 80% means StreetSpring's model predicts an 80% chance of the business surviving past the 2-year mark at that address. Scores are calculated at the address level and reflect competitive density, consumer spending patterns, mobility data, and 80+ additional factors.
What makes Richmond in New York City the best neighborhood for Bakeries?
Richmond in New York City ranks #1 for Bakeries with 90% survivability. This reflects favorable competitive dynamics — fewer direct competitors relative to available consumer spending — strong demographic alignment with Bakery customers, and local spending patterns that sustain this business category. StreetSpring's model weights these factors across all analyzed neighborhoods nationwide.
Are there good opportunities outside the top 25 neighborhoods?
Absolutely. Our analysis covers 135 neighborhoods across 1 city. Many neighborhoods outside the top 25 have excellent individual locations for Bakeries. Neighborhood-level rankings reflect averages — specific addresses within any neighborhood can score well above or below the neighborhood mean. Use city-specific guides and StreetSpring's address-level tool to explore options beyond the top 25.
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 25 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View national technical data
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and foot traffic data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: Neighborhood rankings are based on average Survivability Scores for Bakeries across all analyzed locations within each neighborhood. Rankings represent neighborhood-level conditions but do not account for block-by-block variation. Coverage includes 135 neighborhoods across 1 major US city.