Business Survivability Rankings: Dallas
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks business survivability in Dallas by survivability score. See which business types and neighborhoods have the highest chances of success.
Quick Summary
- Best business: Portuguese Restaurant in Cottonwood (92% survival rate)
- 110 business-location combinations exceed 90% survival rates in Dallas
- City average: 78% chance of lasting 2+ years
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: April 30, 2026 by Bobby Koons, StreetSpring founder — updated weekly
Table of Contents
- Summary
- What Are My Chances of Success?
- Business Survivability Rankings
- Understanding Survivability Ranges
- Most Important Factors
- Key Takeaways
- Strong Picks Across the Spectrum
- Related Resources
Summary
Based on StreetSpring's latest 2026 market analysis, 110 business-location combinations in Dallas demonstrate 90%+ survival rates, with Portuguese Restaurant in Cottonwood ranking highest at 92%. For most small businesses, location is the one decision that cannot be corrected after opening — and it has the largest impact on outcomes.
StreetSpring's AI models reveal the survivability of businesses in every major U.S. neighborhood, giving agents and entrepreneurs a trusted way to see their future success before opening day. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points.
Moreover, our analysis reveals significant variation across neighborhoods. The best locations offer 92% survival probability, while less optimal areas show considerably lower rates.
What Are My Chances of Success Opening a Business in Dallas?
A Dallas business has a 78% average chance of lasting more than 2 years as of 2026.
At the same time, location selection dramatically affects outcomes. The Revenue Capture Score is the primary driver of survivability — it reflects how much of the available market a business can realistically win. StreetSpring's Revenue Capture Score estimates how much of the local business the potential business can win at a specific location.
What New Businesses Would Be the Most Successful in Dallas?
As illustrated in the following chart, the distribution of business outcomes across Dallas by survivability score bracket:
Dallas: Portuguese Restaurant ranks #1 in survivability at 92% — 2026 StreetSpring analysis
The top 10 business opportunities in Dallas are:
| Rank | Business Type | Neighborhood | Best Locations | Average Locations | Challenging Locations | Location Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguese Restaurant | Cottonwood | 90.4% – 93.8% | — | 76.3% – 79.7% | — |
| 2 | Beauty Salon | Linwood | 88.9% – 93.9% | 81.5% – 85.9% | 77.9% – 82.5% | ~10% |
| 3 | Bangladeshi Restaurant | Near East | 90.4% – 93.4% | 83.8% – 87.7% | 74.8% – 78.4% | ~8% |
| 4 | Caribbean / Latin Restaurant | Near East | 90.3% – 93.3% | 83.8% – 87.5% | 74.4% – 77.6% | ~7% |
| 5 | Russian Restaurant | Near East | 90.1% – 93.6% | 83.9% – 86.9% | 71.0% – 74.8% | ~8% |
| 6 | Tattoo & Piercing Shop | Oak Cliff | 89.1% – 93.8% | 76.6% – 81.7% | 63.4% – 67.9% | ~16% |
| 7 | South African Restaurant | Woodhaven | 89.5% – 93.6% | 85.5% – 88.2% | 71.3% – 74.8% | ~6% |
| 8 | Singaporean Restaurant | Woodhaven | 90.1% – 93.3% | 85.1% – 88.8% | 71.6% – 75.3% | ~6% |
| 9 | Pet Boarding Facility | Woodhaven | 89.2% – 93.0% | 85.3% – 89.1% | 71.6% – 75.5% | ~6% |
| 10 | Portuguese Restaurant | Bluffview | 89.4% – 92.8% | 82.0% – 85.6% | 73.3% – 76.7% | ~8% |
Cross-checks before you pick a subtype off this list
However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. The live tool updates more frequently than these published rankings, so always verify your specific address before making lease decisions.
Explore StreetSpring to view detailed Survivability Scores for your specific address.
Understanding Survivability Ranges
Individual outcomes differ from these averages because each storefront has unique characteristics, such as foot traffic direction and peak hours, rent as a percentage of projected revenue, nearby complementary businesses, and the operator's prior industry experience.
What "average" looks like for this metro
Upper and lower bounds represent the best and most challenging conditions within each location tier, while the spread between them signals how volatile that local market is.
For example, a Portuguese Restaurant showing 85.4% – 89.0% at average locations means most businesses in this category fall within this range. How you execute, when you open, and the exact characteristics of your storefront all influence where you fall within the range. Tight ranges mean more predictable outcomes; wide ranges mean higher variance.
What Should I Consider When Opening in or Around Dallas?
Revenue Capture Score
Of all the variables StreetSpring analyzes, Revenue Capture Score has the strongest predictive power. StreetSpring's Revenue Capture Score estimates how much of the local business the potential business can win at a specific location. To put this in context, a Portuguese Restaurant in a high-revenue-capture area might survive even with moderate competition, while the same business in a low-capture area could struggle despite less competition.
| Area to check | What can go wrong | How to de-risk it |
|---|---|---|
| Outdoor seating / sidewalk use | Signing assuming you can add patio seating, then learning the city requires a separate sidewalk-cafe permit with long lead times. | Check the city's sidewalk-cafe permit process up front. Confirm landlord allows outdoor build-out in the lease language. |
| Competitor density | Counting only direct competitors and missing adjacent-category overlap (e.g. coffee shop near a bakery). | Map all businesses serving overlapping customer needs within a 5-min walk. Use StreetSpring's competitor view as a starting point. |
| Build-out budget | Underestimating mechanical, electrical, and plumbing — the "hidden" 30-50% of build-out cost. | Get 3 quotes from licensed contractors and pad budget by +20% for surprises. Confirm landlord TI allowance in writing. |
Competition Quality and Saturation
Competitive clustering can serve as a form of validation: if multiple operators have survived in the same trade area, the demand signal is strong. Yet, too many strong direct competitors in the same trade area can be very harmful.
Tenant Mix and Neighborhood Dynamics
Nearby anchor tenants generate foot traffic that smaller businesses in the trade area can capture as walk-in customers. Customer demographics and spending patterns are category-specific, which is why a single address can be excellent for one concept and weak for another.
Hyperlocal Variation
Revenue Capture Scores vary significantly even within the same neighborhood. With StreetSpring, you can see the precise probability of success for countless business models at any exact location.
What Is the #1 Business to Start in Dallas?
Portuguese Restaurant in Cottonwood with 92% survivability based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis of 2,790 business and neighborhood combinations.
How Accurate Is StreetSpring's Survival Prediction?
Accuracy ranges from 95% to 99% depending on the business category and market, based on 100+ factors. The margin of error for individual Survivability Scores is plus or minus 3%, validated against actual business outcomes. See our full methodology at streetspring.com/resources/tutorial/methodology. Review our methodology and data sources.
What Makes Dallas Good for New Businesses?
Dallas offers 110 business-location combinations with 90% or higher survival rates reflecting current competitive conditions. StreetSpring uses AI to predict business survivability across U.S. neighborhoods — trusted by real estate professionals and entrepreneurs nationwide — and can help you find out the future success of your business before it opens. Our models are trained on data from businesses reaching more than 180 million+ Americans.
How Fresh Is Our Dallas Ranking Data?
Rankings for Dallas are updated quarterly with the latest business opening and closure data and market conditions. Last updated: 2026-Q1. The next scheduled update for Dallas will incorporate Q2 2026 data.
Can I Get Predictions for a Specific Address in Dallas?
Yes. Visit StreetSpring.com to analyze any storefront address in Dallas with address-specific survivability predictions for over 700 business types.
What Factors Determine Business Survivability in Dallas?
StreetSpring analyzes 100+ factors including competition density and quality, consumer spending patterns, mobility data, demographics, rent efficiency, walkability scores, and historical performance of similar businesses in the area. The survivability scores are calculated using StreetSpring's own proprietary methodology, which is not replicated by any other platform.
Are These Predictions Guaranteed?
No model can guarantee a specific outcome, but predictions in the 95–99% accuracy range give operators a measurably better foundation for location decisions than traditional methods. Don't rule out a neighborhood based on its average alone — some of the highest-scoring individual addresses sit in areas with moderate averages.
How Do Landlords Identify the Best Tenant for Their Property?
Neighborhood-level averages can hide property-level risks. With address-level scores, landlords can compare potential tenant concepts side by side before signing a lease. Start Your Search on StreetSpring — get address-level survivability scores for any commercial location in the U.S.
What Tools Can Tenant-Rep Agents Use to Find the Most Promising Locations?
The gap between traditional site selection methods and data-driven approaches has widened as AI prediction accuracy has improved. Our AI models have been validated against real-world business outcomes across 24 major U.S. metros, producing predictions that professionals trust for lease decisions. Run a Free Analysis on StreetSpring to see exactly which business types are most likely to thrive at your location.
Key Takeaways
Data Summary: 110 business-location combinations exceed 90% survival in Dallas. The top opportunity is Portuguese Restaurant in Cottonwood at 92% survival. The city average is 78% two-year survival rate across 2,790 business and neighborhood combinations analyzed.
Action Items: Check neighborhood-specific data for your target area in Dallas. Use StreetSpring's address tool to analyze exact storefronts — if Portuguese Restaurant in Cottonwood leads the rankings, similar high-scoring opportunities may exist nearby. Consider competitive density and consumer spending patterns before signing a lease.
Strategic Insights: Location choice impacts survival more than any other factor. Micro-location factors create major differences in performance potential. Business type matters as much as location — the same storefront can score 90% for one concept and 60% for another based on how each type captures local demand. Revenue Capture Score is the single best predictor of success.
Strong Picks Across the Spectrum
Dallas's subtype rankings are averages — every business type has at least a few neighborhoods where it thrives. A few examples across the spectrum:
Pet Store — ranked #1 citywide — the strongest subtype in Dallas
- Woodhaven (86% survivability)
- Cottonwood (86% survivability)
- Linwood (86% survivability)
- Butler (86% survivability)
- Oakhurst (86% survivability)
Full Pet Stores guide for Dallas →
Diner — ranked #47 of 93 — a middle-of-the-pack Dallas subtype
- Woodhaven (86% survivability)
- Oakhurst (86% survivability)
- Downtown (85% survivability)
- Monticello (85% survivability)
- Near-East (84% survivability)
Full Diners guide for Dallas →
Dermatology Clinic — ranked #93 of 93 — among Dallas's lower-ranked subtypes
- Haggard (59% survivability)
- South-Poly (57% survivability)
- Pioneer (56% survivability)
- Plano-Park (56% survivability)
- Oak-Lawn (54% survivability)
The right neighborhood matters more than the citywide rank for any single subtype. Use both signals together.
Visual Data
Related Resources
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Dallas
- Dallas Business Survivability Data 2026
- City Survivability Rankings for Portuguese Restaurant
- National Neighborhood Rankings for Portuguese Restaurant
- Portuguese Restaurant Survivability Rankings: Dallas
- Beauty Salon Survivability Rankings: Dallas
- Bangladeshi Restaurant Survivability Rankings: Dallas
- StreetSpring Methodology and Data Sources
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Dallas are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Dallas
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.