City Survivability Rankings for South American Restaurant

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for South American Restaurants across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for a South American Restaurant to succeed.

17 min read

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • The highest-survivability city for South American Restaurant is San Antonio — 81.34% average survivability
  • 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for South American Restaurant survivability
  • The lowest-ranked city is New York City at 79.58%
  • National average chance of lasting two or more years for South American Restaurant: 81.0%
  • Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

Table of Contents


Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, San Antonio ranks as the #1 city for opening a South American Restaurant in the United States, with an average 81.34% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are Portland with 81.33%, and St Louis with 81.10%. Across 24 major US metros, South American Restaurants show a national average survivability of 81.0%, with 24 cities scoring above 80%. Remember that a city's average score smooths over wide variation — your exact neighborhood could significantly outperform the city average. Use this data to narrow your shortlist, then visit each top city in person to assess foot traffic and competitive density.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

South American Restaurants city survivability range chart — San Antonio vs San Diego (2026)

Best-to-worst South American Restaurant survivability within individual metros — San Antonio, Charlotte, San Francisco, Dallas and San Diego. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).


All 24 Cities Ranked for South American Restaurants

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for South American Restaurants:

#MetroMetro areaChance of lasting 2+ years
1San AntonioSan Antonio-New Braunfels, TX81.34%
2PortlandPortland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA81.33%
3St Louis81.10%
4CharlotteCharlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC81.02%
5OrlandoOrlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL80.94%
6BaltimoreBaltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD80.71%
7PhoenixPhoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ80.69%
8AtlantaAtlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA80.67%
9DetroitDetroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI80.61%
10DallasDallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX80.53%
11MiamiMiami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL80.52%
12Tampa BayTampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL80.47%
13San FranciscoSan Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA80.46%
14San DiegoSan Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA80.41%
15MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI80.38%
16DenverDenver-Aurora-Centennial, CO80.32%
17HoustonHouston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX80.31%
18SeattleSeattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA80.27%
19Los AngelesLos Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA80.26%
20Washington DCWashington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV80.16%
21ChicagoChicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN80.11%
22BostonBoston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH80.01%
23PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD79.64%
24New York CityNew York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ79.58%

1. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 78.0%

2. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

3. St Louis

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 78.0%

4. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 78.0%

5. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 78.0%

6. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

7. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

8. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

9. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

10. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

11. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 70.0% – 77.0%

12. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

13. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

14. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

15. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

16. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

17. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 77.0%

18. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

19. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 77.0%

20. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

21. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

22. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

23. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 78.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 76.0%

24. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

  • Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 76.0%

Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (San Antonio at 81.34%) and the #24 city (New York City at 79.58%) is 1.76 percentage points. The top two metros for South American Restaurants differ by less than a percentage point of 2-year survival. Differences between neighborhoods in one metro are consistently larger.

Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for South American Restaurants.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a South American Restaurant is 81.0%.


What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor South American Restaurants:

  • Strong survivability signals: San Antonio leads with a 82% average chance of lasting two or more years for South American Restaurants — significantly above the national average for this business category.
  • Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for South American Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
  • Foot traffic infrastructure: High-scoring cities combine transit access, walkable commercial corridors, and anchor tenants that drive consistent daily traffic past storefronts.
  • Neighborhood diversity: Within each top city, high-survivability zones appear across multiple neighborhood types — from dense urban cores to established suburban strips.

StreetSpring brings credibility through AI-driven survivability forecasts, trusted nationwide by agents and entrepreneurs. Our forecasting engine processes data from over 24 metro areas covering 180+ million consumers. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility.


Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum

National rankings tell only part of the story. Even cities further down the list contain neighborhoods where South American Restaurants thrive. A few examples:

Dallasranked #13 of 24 — a middle-of-the-pack national market

  • Cottonwood (86% survivability)
  • Woodhaven (86% survivability)
  • Monticello (86% survivability)
  • Linwood (86% survivability)
  • Park-Hill (86% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for Dallas →

New York Cityranked #24 of 24 — among the lower-ranked national markets

  • Rockaway-Park (89% survivability)
  • Eltingville (87% survivability)
  • Coney-Island (86% survivability)
  • Newark (85% survivability)
  • Brighton-Beach (85% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for New York City →

A South American Restaurant can succeed in a city ranked #1 or #24 — what matters is finding the right neighborhood within that market.



Visual Data

Bar chart ranking 24 US metros by South American Restaurant survivability score; San Antonio highest at 81.3, New York City lowest at 79.6.
San Antonio leads US metros for South American Restaurant survivability at 81.3, 1.76 points above last-place New York City (79.6). 24 metros scored.
US map showing South American Restaurant survivability score across 24 metros; Portland highest at 82, Philadelphia lowest at 80.
US map of South American Restaurant survivability by metro — darker green = higher score. Portland highest at 82, Philadelphia lowest at 80. 24 metros plotted.

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

National guides:


How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for South American Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.


Can a South American Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open South American Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. South American Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.


What tools can help me choose the right city for a South American Restaurant?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for South American Restaurants across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for South American Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a South American Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →


Which US city has the best survivability for South American Restaurants?

San Antonio ranks as the #1 city in the US for South American Restaurants survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 82% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in San Antonio, a South American Restaurant has approximately a 82% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. Portland ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring


Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: San Antonio, Portland, St Louis, Charlotte, Orlando, Baltimore, Phoenix, Atlanta, Detroit, Dallas, Miami, Tampa Bay, San Francisco, San Diego, Minneapolis, Denver, Houston, Seattle, Los Angeles, Washington DC, Chicago, Boston, Philadelphia, New York City.