Survivability Rankings for American Restaurant in Phoenix

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Phoenix to open an American Restaurant, from Rio Vista (83% survival) to Escalant...

•12 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • #1 Neighborhood: Rio Vista: 83% average survivability for American Restaurant
  • Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 28 of 28 analyzed
  • City-wide average: 80% for American Restaurants
  • Most challenging area: Escalante at 79%
  • Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~7.7% more expected revenue in Rio Vista
  • Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Table of Contents

Summary

Rio Vista leads Phoenix's 2026 survivability rankings for American Restaurant operators with 83% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 84% and the most challenging locations in Rio Vista at 81%. The worst neighborhoods include Escalante with 79% average chance. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.


What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open an American Restaurant?

Rio Vista ranks #1 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Phoenix for American Restaurant survivability, with a 83% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

RankNeighborhoodAt a good addressAverage LocationsBest LocationsChallenging Locations
1Rio Vista84.0%81.0% to 84.0%83.0% to 84.0%80.0% to 82.0%
2North Gateway84.0%80.0% to 84.0%83.0% to 84.0%73.0% to 75.0%
3Desert View84.0%79.0% to 84.0%83.0% to 84.0%73.0% to 75.0%
4North Scottsdale84.0%79.0% to 83.0%83.0% to 84.0%72.0% to 74.0%
5Laveen83.1%78.0% to 83.0%83.0% to 84.0%74.0% to 76.0%
6Ahwatukee Foothills83.1%78.0% to 82.0%83.0% to 84.0%72.0% to 74.0%
7Estrella82.6%78.0% to 83.0%83.0% to 84.0%74.0% to 76.0%
8South Mountain82.6%78.0% to 83.0%83.0% to 84.0%72.0% to 74.0%
9Kiwanis Park82.6%78.0% to 82.0%81.0% to 83.0%78.0% to 79.0%
10Deer Valley82.6%77.0% to 82.0%83.0% to 84.0%73.0% to 75.0%

Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.


Where in or Around Phoenix Would an American Restaurant Make the Most Money?

In Rio Vista, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~7.7% more than the average location in or around Phoenix.

On the other hand, in Escalante, the worst possible location could result in making ~4.2% less than the average location in the city.

Location is the biggest factor in a business's future success. Opening an American Restaurant in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across 28 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new American Restaurant is 80% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Each business category has unique customer behavior patterns that vary significantly by address.


What Should I Consider When Opening an American Restaurant in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for an American Restaurant in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score matters more than any other single metric when predicting business outcomes. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our platform incorporates data from thousands of neighborhoods nationwide. Clustering works when it draws more customers to the area than any single business could alone. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.


Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start an American Restaurant?

Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Rio Vista, North Gateway, and Desert View, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Escalante, Dobson Ranch, and South Scottsdale. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

Related Articles:


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open an American Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for an American Restaurant in Phoenix is Rio Vista with 83% average survivability, followed by North Gateway and Desert View. 28 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.


Can an American Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Our data shows that roughly 15% of top-performing locations sit in neighborhoods ranked below the city median. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.


How Often Are American Restaurant Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.


Is an American Restaurant a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Rio Vista, StreetSpring forecasts a 81.0% to 84.0% average chance for a new American Restaurant to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for American Restaurant in Phoenix

From a risk-assessment perspective, an American Restaurant tenant in Rio Vista carries the lowest risk with average survivability of 81.0% to 84.0%. North Gateway presents moderate risk (80.0% to 84.0%), and Desert View carries comparatively higher risk at 79.0% to 84.0%. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.

Our models produce survivability scores at the individual address level, not just neighborhood averages.

Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.


Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.