Business Survivability in Turtle Bay, New York City
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Turtle Bay is a Convenience Store with a 79.8% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average.
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- Best business: a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay (79.8% Typical, 90.2% Best)
- Neighborhood rank: #175 of 180 neighborhoods in and around New York City
- Neighborhood average: 54.5% two-year survival across the business types ranked here
- Coverage: This ranking carries one row per business type and neighborhood. Its score is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, averaged across the price points StreetSpring scores separately in the tool (most types have 5). The 10 business types here are base types; the tool offers 500+ business types, counting each type at each of its price points.
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: November 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
In this article:
- Summary
- Is Turtle Bay a good place to start a business?
- How to find the best location
- Best businesses to open
- How much money could a business make?
- What businesses should open next?
- Frequently Asked Questions
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Turtle Bay is a Convenience Store with a 79.8% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average, and 90.2% Best; next is a Cafe with 88.9% Best, followed by a Coffee Shop with 87.1% Best.
Is Turtle Bay a good place to start a business?
StreetSpring ranks Turtle Bay #175 of 180 neighborhoods in and around New York City, with an average Survivability Score of 54.5% across the business types ranked there.
- For the top-ranked business type, 90.2% Best is 10.4 points above 79.8% Typical in Turtle Bay.
- That said, the same business types at the worst-fit addresses in Turtle Bay can drop substantially below average. The survivability gap between the best and worst addresses in a single neighborhood can be 20 points or more.
- A 94.4% employment rate in Turtle Bay means a large share of local consumers have steady income: a strong underlying condition for discretionary spending businesses.
Employment and housing vacancy figures sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey.
How can you find the best location to open a business in Turtle Bay?
StreetSpring's model evaluates every available address in Turtle Bay for your business type, ranking them by survivability so the best storefront is always identifiable. Of all available storefronts analyzed in Turtle Bay, StreetSpring ranks this area highest for a Convenience Store in 2026:
This map shows the optimal location for a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay based on StreetSpring's 2026 survivability analysis. Neighborhood-level averages are a starting point: the exact address will determine your actual survivability score. The prediction model incorporates hundreds of location-specific factors, including competitive density, forecasted consumer spending, mobility patterns, and Revenue Capture Score.
Check if this location is still available →
What are the best businesses to open in Turtle Bay?
| Rank | Business type | Best | Typical | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Convenience Store | 90.2% | 79.8% | 73.8% |
| 2 | Cafe | 88.9% | 77.4% | 70.8% |
| 3 | Coffee Shop | 87.1% | 74.9% | 66.8% |
| 4 | Hair Salon | 87.1% | 75.0% | 67.1% |
| 5 | Clothing Store | 85.0% | 74.3% | 66.3% |
| 6 | Spa | 84.5% | 72.7% | 63.9% |
| 7 | Bar | 82.4% | 70.8% | 61.2% |
| 8 | Gym | 74.5% | 64.5% | 54.5% |
| 9 | Laundromat | 66.2% | 60.6% | 55.1% |
| 10 | Chiropractor Office | 64.9% | 60.6% | 56.3% |
Best and Worst are the average results for the better and the worse of two addresses picked at random in the place: a weighted average of every scored location in which the best locations count the most for Best and the weakest count the most for Worst. Typical is the average address. Best is shown for a smaller space (half the standard size) and Worst for a larger one (half again as large), at the metro's median asking rent, using the same rent rule as our tool; Typical is at the market rent.
Highest Survivability in Turtle Bay
- #1 Convenience Store: 79.8% Typical across Turtle Bay; Best 90.2%, Worst 73.8%.
- #2 Opening a Cafe in Turtle Bay shows 77.4% Typical survivability, 88.9% Best and 70.8% Worst.
- #3 Coffee Shop (Ranked #3): 74.9% Typical in Turtle Bay. Best: 87.1%. Worst: 66.8%.
- #4 Hair Salon is ranked #4 for top businesses to open in Turtle Bay: 75.0% Typical, 87.1% Best, 67.1% Worst.
- #5 Clothing Store: 74.3% Typical across Turtle Bay; Best 85.0%, Worst 66.3%.
Strong Performers in Turtle Bay
- #6 Opening a Spa in Turtle Bay shows 72.7% Typical survivability, 84.5% Best and 63.9% Worst.
- #7 Bar (Ranked #7): 70.8% Typical in Turtle Bay. Best: 82.4%. Worst: 61.2%.
- #8 Gym is ranked #8 for top businesses to open in Turtle Bay: 64.5% Typical, 74.5% Best, 54.5% Worst.
- #9 Laundromat: 60.6% Typical across Turtle Bay; Best 66.2%, Worst 55.1%.
- #10 Opening a Chiropractor Office in Turtle Bay shows 60.6% Typical survivability, 64.9% Best and 56.3% Worst.
Top 3 Compared Nationally
- Convenience Store: See how this compares to other cities →
- Cafe: See how this compares to other cities →
- Coffee Shop: See how this compares to other cities →
How much money could a business in Turtle Bay make?
Best location vs. average location
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, prioritizing survivability score in your site-selection process in Turtle Bay starts with the Revenue Capture Score, the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address.
How StreetSpring calculates location value
- Location fit is business-type-specific: a spot that's ideal for a coffee shop may underperform for a nail salon at the same address.
- Every site-selection decision starts with location, the one factor you can check before you sign a lease.
- When the question is money, the Revenue Capture Score comes first: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
- Two storefronts on the same street can have different survivability scores: StreetSpring calculates each one individually.
What businesses should open next in Turtle Bay?
The top businesses to open next in Turtle Bay:
- Convenience Stores: 79.8% Typical, 90.2% Best
- Cafes: 77.4% Typical, 88.9% Best
- Coffee Shops: 74.9% Typical, 87.1% Best
Neighborhood-level averages are a starting point: the exact address will determine your actual survivability score. StreetSpring's accuracy is built on studying businesses that serve more than 180 million+ Americans across 24 cities. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool. StreetSpring's model accounts for Turtle Bay's 94.4% employment rate when projecting survivability: businesses reliant on discretionary spend benefit disproportionately in well-employed neighborhoods. Survivability scores are recalculated regularly as new competitors open and spending patterns shift: visit StreetSpring to see the current score for any open location in Turtle Bay right now.
See the Survivability Score for your new business
Related Articles:
- See the New York City Business Survivability Rankings
- See the New York City Neighborhood Survivability Rankings
- Explore Convenience Store survivability across New York City neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
Here are the most common questions about opening a business in Turtle Bay.
What type of business should you rent your Turtle Bay storefront to?
Our 2026 survivability data for Turtle Bay shows that Convenience Stores, Cafes, and Coffee Shops rank as the top tenant categories for minimizing vacancy risk.
- Every site-selection decision starts with location, the one factor you can check before you sign a lease.
- Two storefronts on the same street can have different survivability scores: StreetSpring calculates each one individually. StreetSpring allows property owners to evaluate any address against 500+ business types, so you can prioritize the categories that score highest at your specific location.
Related: See How Landlord Representatives in New York City Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
Should you rent your Turtle Bay storefront to a Convenience Store?
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis supports renting to a Convenience Store in Turtle Bay: it posts 90.2% Best, and 73.8% Worst.
- Two storefronts on the same street can have different survivability scores: StreetSpring calculates each one individually.
What should I consider when opening a business in Turtle Bay?
Don't commit to a storefront in Turtle Bay without first checking its Survivability Score: two addresses on the same block can carry different projected chances.
- Revenue Capture is where competition meets spending, and it's the number that matters most when choosing a location.
- StreetSpring's custom-built forecasting infrastructure powers every survivability score, combining data science with commercial real estate intelligence.
- The most current survivability data for Turtle Bay is on StreetSpring, and a free 10-minute trial is enough to check your specific address.
See the best place for your business at StreetSpring.
StreetSpring uses AI to project business survivability across U.S. neighborhoods. Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
Full dataset for New York City: /resources/data/new-york-city-survivability-scores-2026.csv: includes all business subtypes, all neighborhoods, survivability scores, and tier assignments. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.