City Survivability Rankings for South African Restaurant

Quick Summary

• Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
• The highest-survivability city for South African Restaurant is San Antonio — 80.85% average survivability
• 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for South African Restaurant survivability
• The lowest-ranked city is Philadelphia at 79.11%
• National average chance of lasting two or more years for South African Restaurant: 80.0%
• Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

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Table of Contents

• Summary
• Top Cities for South African Restaurants
• Key Insights
• What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
• Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum
• Related Resources
• How current is this ranking?
• Can a South African Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
• What tools can help me choose the right city for a South African Restaurant?
• Which US city has the best survivability for South African Restaurants?

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Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, San Antonio ranks as the #1 city for opening a South African Restaurant in the United States, with an average 80.85% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are Portland with 80.83%, and St Louis with 80.73%. The national picture for South African Restaurants shows 80.0% average survivability across 24 cities, with the gap between San Antonio and lower-ranked metros revealing significant geographic variation. Location-level factors like visibility, foot traffic, and adjacent tenants can override city-level trends in either direction. Pair these survivability scores with StreetSpring's live tool to get a real-time view before making a final decision.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

Best-to-worst South African Restaurant survivability within individual metros — San Antonio, St Louis, New York City, Minneapolis and Dallas. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).

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All 24 Cities Ranked for South African Restaurants

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for South African Restaurants:

1. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

2. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

3. St Louis

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

4. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

5. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

6. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 70.0% – 77.0%

8. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 67.0% – 77.0%

9. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

10. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

11. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 70.0% – 77.0%

12. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

13. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 76.0%

14. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

15. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

• Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 70.0% – 77.0%
• Explore South African Restaurant neighborhoods in Dallas →

16. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 66.0% – 76.0%

17. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 76.0%

18. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 76.0%

19. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

• Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
• Challenging locations: 67.0% – 76.0%

20. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

• Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
• Challenging locations: 67.0% – 76.0%
• Explore South African Restaurant neighborhoods in Chicago →

21. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

• Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 76.0%
• Explore South African Restaurant neighborhoods in Boston →

22. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

• Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
• Challenging locations: 67.0% – 76.0%

23. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

• Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 76.0%

24. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

• Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
• Challenging locations: 67.0% – 76.0%

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Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (San Antonio at 80.85%) and the #24 city (Philadelphia at 79.11%) is 1.74 percentage points. South African Restaurants score at effectively the same level across the top two metros. Picking the right city is not the lever here.

Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for South African Restaurants.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a South African Restaurant is 80.0%.

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What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor South African Restaurants:

• Strong survivability signals: San Antonio leads with a 81% average chance of lasting two or more years for South African Restaurants — significantly above the national average for this business category.
• Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for South African Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
• Regulatory environment: Top-ranked cities tend to have streamlined commercial permitting and lower business tax burdens relative to their metro size, reducing friction for new operators.
• Low market saturation: Top cities for South African Restaurants have fewer direct competitors per square mile than lower-ranked metros, leaving meaningful whitespace for well-positioned new entrants.

Our AI platform forecasts business outcomes at the address level — giving entrepreneurs and landlords alike a data-driven edge. Our models are trained on data from businesses reaching more than 180 million+ Americans. StreetSpring uses its own proprietary forecasting tools to make these predictions.

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Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum

City-level averages mask significant within-city variation. Below are some of the strongest neighborhoods for South African Restaurant at different points in the rankings:

New York City — ranked #24 of 24 — among the lower-ranked national markets

• Rockaway-Park (89% survivability)
• Coney-Island (87% survivability)
• Brighton-Beach (86% survivability)
• Newark (85% survivability)
• Far-Rockaway (84% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for New York City →

Don't let a city's national rank deter exploration: every city has neighborhoods that buck the city-wide average.

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Visual Data

Related Resources

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

• Business Survivability Rankings: San Antonio
• Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
• Business Survivability Rankings: St Louis
• Business Survivability Rankings: Orlando
• Business Survivability Rankings: Charlotte

National guides:

• National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for South African Restaurants
• Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Antonio

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How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for South African Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.

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Can a South African Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open South African Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. South African Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.

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What tools can help me choose the right city for a South African Restaurant?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for South African Restaurants across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for South African Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a South African Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →

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Which US city has the best survivability for South African Restaurants?

San Antonio ranks as the #1 city in the US for South African Restaurants survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 81% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in San Antonio, a South African Restaurant has approximately a 81% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. Portland ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring

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Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: San Antonio, Portland, St Louis, Orlando, Charlotte, Phoenix, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Detroit, Atlanta, Miami, San Francisco, Houston, San Diego, Dallas, Los Angeles, Denver, Minneapolis, Washington DC, Chicago, Boston, Seattle, New York City, Philadelphia.