City Survivability Rankings for French Restaurant
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for French Restaurants across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for a French Restaurant to succeed.
Quick Summary
- The highest-survivability city for French Restaurant is St Louis — 85% average survivability
- 11 of 11 analyzed US metros score above 70% for French Restaurant survivability
- The lowest-ranked city is Baltimore at 79%
- National average survivability score for French Restaurant: 81.7%
- Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 11 US metro areas · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- Top Cities for French Restaurants
- Key Insights
- What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
- Related Resources
- How current is this ranking?
- Can a French Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
- What tools can help me choose the right city for a French Restaurant?
- Which US city has the best survivability for French Restaurant?
Summary
According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, St Louis ranks as the #1 city for opening a French Restaurant in the United States, with an average 85% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are Denver with 83%, and Tampa Bay with 83%. Among the 11 major US metros we track for French Restaurants, 8 exceed 80% survivability — a meaningful share reflecting the category's durability in strong markets. However, the specific location is very important — there are excellent locations even in neighborhoods that might not appear to be a great fit at the city level. Use this data to narrow your shortlist, then visit each top city in person to assess foot traffic and competitive density.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →
French Restaurant city survivability rankings — St Louis leads among 11 US metros at 85% in 2026
Top 10 Cities for French Restaurants
Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 11 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for French Restaurants:
1. St Louis
- Best locations: 91.2% – 99.0%
- Average locations: 81.6% – 86.5%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 76.8%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in St Louis →
2. Denver
- Best locations: 88.8% – 96.0%
- Average locations: 80.6% – 84.5%
- Challenging locations: 63.0% – 77.0%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in Denver →
3. Tampa Bay
- Best locations: 90.2% – 99.0%
- Average locations: 80.5% – 84.8%
- Challenging locations: 63.0% – 76.9%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in Tampa Bay →
4. Portland
- Best locations: 89.6% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 80.9% – 84.6%
- Challenging locations: 67.0% – 78.0%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in Portland →
5. San Antonio
- Best locations: 89.6% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 80.3% – 84.5%
- Challenging locations: 63.0% – 76.8%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in San Antonio →
6. Charlotte
- Best locations: 89.6% – 99.0%
- Average locations: 79.2% – 84.0%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 75.1%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in Charlotte →
7. Chicago
- Best locations: 89.2% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 79.6% – 83.8%
- Challenging locations: 63.0% – 76.2%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in Chicago →
8. San Diego
- Best locations: 87.8% – 96.0%
- Average locations: 78.4% – 82.9%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 74.2%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in San Diego →
9. Philadelphia
- Best locations: 88.0% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 77.5% – 82.0%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 73.9%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in Philadelphia →
10. Atlanta
- Best locations: 86.6% – 96.0%
- Average locations: 76.9% – 81.0%
- Challenging locations: 62.0% – 73.9%
- Explore French Restaurant neighborhoods in Atlanta →
Key Insights
Wide variation between cities: The difference between the #1 city (St Louis at 84.8%) and the #10 city (Atlanta at 78.9%) is 5.9 percentage points. For French Restaurants, a 1.9-point difference between the top two cities underscores how much geographic selection influences long-term viability.
Strong performers: 8 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for French Restaurants.
National average: Across all 11 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a French Restaurant is 81.7%.
What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor French Restaurants:
- Strong survivability signals: St Louis leads with a 85% average survivability score for French Restaurants — significantly above the national average for this business category.
- Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for French Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
- Low market saturation: Top cities for French Restaurants have fewer direct competitors per square mile than lower-ranked metros, leaving meaningful whitespace for well-positioned new entrants.
- Regulatory environment: Top-ranked cities tend to have streamlined commercial permitting and lower business tax burdens relative to their metro size, reducing friction for new operators.
StreetSpring analyzes millions of data points with AI to forecast business survivability across U.S. neighborhoods. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. The prediction engine behind these rankings is entirely proprietary — developed in-house over years of research.
Related Resources
City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:
- Survivability Rankings for French Restaurant in St Louis
- Business Survivability Rankings: St Louis
- Survivability Rankings for French Restaurant in Denver
- Business Survivability Rankings: Denver
- Survivability Rankings for French Restaurant in Tampa Bay
- Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
- Survivability Rankings for French Restaurant in Portland
- Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
- Survivability Rankings for French Restaurant in San Antonio
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Antonio
National guides:
- National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for French Restaurants
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: St Louis
How current is this ranking?
Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for French Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.
Can a French Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open French Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. French Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.
What tools can help me choose the right city for a French Restaurant?
StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for French Restaurants across all 11 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for French Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a French Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.
Try the Survivability Score tool →
Which US city has the best survivability for French Restaurant?
St Louis ranks as the #1 city in the US for French Restaurant survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average score of 85%. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in St Louis, a French Restaurant has approximately a 85% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. Denver ranks second, followed by Tampa Bay. The full ranking reflects data across 11 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 25 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and foot traffic data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 11 major US metropolitan areas: St Louis, Denver, Tampa Bay, Portland, San Antonio, Charlotte, Chicago, San Diego, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Baltimore.