Survivability Rankings for French Restaurant in San Francisco
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in San Francisco to open a French Restaurant, from Berkeley Marina (82% survival) to...
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Berkeley Marina: 82% average survivability for French Restaurant
- Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 108 of 108 analyzed
- City-wide average: 78% for French Restaurants
- Most challenging area: Dana Estates at 74%
- Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~11.6% more expected revenue in Berkeley Marina
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a French Restaurant Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a French Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a French Restaurant a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Of all the neighborhoods in and around San Francisco, Berkeley Marina ranks #1 for opening a French Restaurant with 82% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 84% and the most challenging locations in Berkeley Marina at 78%. The worst neighborhoods include Dana Estates with 74% average chance. Location-level factors like visibility and adjacent tenants can override neighborhood-level trends.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a French Restaurant?
Berkeley Marina ranks #1 of 108 neighborhoods analyzed in and around San Francisco for French Restaurant survivability, with a 82% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | At a good address | Average Locations | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berkeley Marina | 84.0% | 79.0% to 84.0% | 83.0% to 84.0% | 77.0% to 79.0% |
| 2 | Crystyl Ranch | 84.0% | 78.0% to 82.0% | 83.0% to 84.0% | 75.0% to 76.0% |
| 3 | Clayton Valley | 82.7% | 79.0% to 83.0% | 82.0% to 84.0% | 76.0% to 78.0% |
| 4 | Clayton Valley Highlands | 82.7% | 76.0% to 81.0% | 82.0% to 84.0% | 74.0% to 76.0% |
| 5 | Treasure Island | 82.2% | 79.0% to 83.0% | 81.0% to 83.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% |
| 6 | Silverwood | 81.8% | 78.0% to 83.0% | 81.0% to 83.0% | 76.0% to 78.0% |
| 7 | Bayview Hunters Point | 81.3% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 82.0% to 84.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 8 | Lakeshore | 81.3% | 75.0% to 80.0% | 83.0% to 84.0% | 71.0% to 73.0% |
| 9 | Lorin | 80.9% | 78.0% to 82.0% | 80.0% to 81.0% | 77.0% to 79.0% |
| 10 | Presidio | 80.9% | 76.0% to 81.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 74.0% to 75.0% |
These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around San Francisco Would a French Restaurant Make the Most Money?
In Berkeley Marina, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~11.6% more than the average location in or around San Francisco.
On the other hand, in Dana Estates, the worst possible location could result in making ~10.8% less than the average location in the city.
No amount of marketing or capital can compensate for a poorly chosen location. Opening a French Restaurant in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across 108 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new French Restaurant is 78% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Our models show that the optimal location profile varies dramatically from one business category to the next.
What Should I Consider When Opening a French Restaurant in or Around San Francisco?
When selecting a location for a French Restaurant in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. No other single metric predicts business longevity as reliably as Revenue Capture Score. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our forecasting engine processes data from over 24 metro areas covering 180+ million consumers. Moderate competition often indicates a healthy market with proven consumer demand. StreetSpring's proprietary algorithms power these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.
Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a French Restaurant?
Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Berkeley Marina, Crystyl Ranch, and Clayton Valley, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Dana Estates, Ayers, and Maxwell Park. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
- National City Survivability: French Restaurant
- National Neighborhood Survivability: French Restaurant
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a French Restaurant?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a French Restaurant in San Francisco is Berkeley Marina with 82% average survivability, followed by Crystyl Ranch and Clayton Valley. 108 of 108 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.
Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.
Can a French Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are French Restaurant Rankings in San Francisco Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.
Is a French Restaurant a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?
In Berkeley Marina, StreetSpring forecasts a 79.0% to 84.0% average chance for a new French Restaurant to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for French Restaurant in San Francisco
From a risk-assessment perspective, a French Restaurant tenant in Berkeley Marina carries the lowest risk with average survivability of 79.0% to 84.0%. Crystyl Ranch presents moderate risk (78.0% to 82.0%), and Clayton Valley carries comparatively higher risk at 79.0% to 83.0%. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
StreetSpring delivers pinpoint accuracy down to the exact storefront location.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how French Restaurant compares to all other business types in San Francisco
- Best Cities to Open a French Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for French Restaurant
- Business Survivability in Berkeley Marina, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Crystyl Ranch, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Clayton Valley, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for San Francisco
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.