City Survivability Rankings for Afghan Restaurant
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for Afghan Restaurants across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for an Afghan Restaurant to succeed.
Quick Summary
- The highest-survivability city for Afghan Restaurant is Portland — 89% average survivability
- 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Afghan Restaurant survivability
- The lowest-ranked city is New York City at 84%
- National average survivability score for Afghan Restaurant: 86.4%
- Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- Top Cities for Afghan Restaurants
- Key Insights
- What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
- Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum
- Related Resources
- How current is this ranking?
- Can an Afghan Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
- What tools can help me choose the right city for an Afghan Restaurant?
- Which US city has the best survivability for Afghan Restaurants?
Summary
According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Portland ranks as the #1 city for opening an Afghan Restaurant in the United States, with an average 89% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 89%, and St Louis with 88%. Afghan Restaurants consistently deliver a 86.4% survivability average across our 24 analyzed metros, with top-ranked Portland demonstrating the strongest conditions. However, the specific location is very important — there are excellent locations even in neighborhoods that might not appear to be a great fit at the city level. Market conditions shift frequently — use StreetSpring's live tool to confirm the current picture before committing to a location.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →
Afghan Restaurant city survivability rankings — Portland leads among 24 US metros at 89% in 2026
Every Major US Metro Ranked for Afghan Restaurants
Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Afghan Restaurants:
1. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Best locations: 92.5% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 85.5% – 89.8%
- Challenging locations: 61.0% – 80.5%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Portland →
What the score range across cities tells you
2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Best locations: 92.4% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 85.1% – 89.6%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 79.7%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in San Antonio →
3. St Louis
- Best locations: 92.2% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 84.6% – 89.3%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 79.2%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in St Louis →
4. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Best locations: 91.9% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 84.3% – 88.8%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 79.1%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Charlotte →
5. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Best locations: 91.9% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 84.4% – 88.8%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 79.4%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Orlando →
6. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Best locations: 91.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.8% – 88.3%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 78.7%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Phoenix →
7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Best locations: 91.5% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 84.0% – 88.2%
- Challenging locations: 62.0% – 79.5%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Baltimore →
8. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
- Best locations: 91.4% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.4% – 88.0%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 78.4%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Atlanta →
9. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Best locations: 91.3% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.5% – 87.9%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 78.7%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Detroit →
10. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Best locations: 91.2% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.1% – 87.8%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 78.0%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Tampa Bay →
11. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Best locations: 91.2% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.4% – 87.8%
- Challenging locations: 61.0% – 78.9%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in San Diego →
12. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
- Best locations: 91.2% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.3% – 87.7%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 78.5%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in San Francisco →
Where mid-ranked cities still beat top-ranked spots locally
13. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Best locations: 91.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.5% – 87.5%
- Challenging locations: 56.0% – 77.1%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Los Angeles →
14. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX
- Best locations: 91.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.6% – 87.4%
- Challenging locations: 57.0% – 77.4%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Houston →
15. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Best locations: 91.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.1% – 87.4%
- Challenging locations: 61.0% – 78.6%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Minneapolis →
16. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Best locations: 91.0% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 83.6% – 87.4%
- Challenging locations: 65.0% – 79.8%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Dallas →
17. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO
- Best locations: 90.9% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.6% – 87.2%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 77.8%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Denver →
18. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Best locations: 90.8% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.6% – 87.1%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 77.8%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Seattle →
19. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL
- Best locations: 90.8% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.8% – 87.0%
- Challenging locations: 62.0% – 78.6%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Miami →
20. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Best locations: 90.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.3% – 86.8%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 77.5%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Chicago →
21. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Best locations: 90.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.2% – 86.8%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 77.5%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Washington DC →
22. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Best locations: 90.5% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 82.2% – 86.7%
- Challenging locations: 60.0% – 77.7%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Boston →
23. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Best locations: 90.1% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 81.3% – 86.0%
- Challenging locations: 58.0% – 76.5%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in Philadelphia →
24. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
- Best locations: 89.9% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 81.1% – 85.7%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 76.6%
- Explore Afghan Restaurant neighborhoods in New York City →
Key Insights
| Comparison factor | Top-tier city pattern | Bottom-tier city pattern |
|---|---|---|
| Market size vs saturation | Mid-sized metros with established demand but room for new entrants — under-served pockets in 1.5M–5M population markets. | Either tier-1 cities saturated with national chains, or thin markets under 500K population where demand can't sustain a category. |
| Climate-driven seasonality | Cities where the subtype's peak season aligns with the local climate calendar (e.g., year-round outdoor dining in mild markets). | Cities with extreme seasonality that compresses revenue into 4–6 month windows. |
| Average commercial rent per sqft | Cities where the median commercial rate fits the subtype's typical revenue-per-sqft envelope (rent < 10% of expected gross). | Cities where rents have outpaced revenue growth, pushing rent-burden ratios past 15%. |
Wide variation between cities: The difference between the #1 city (Portland at 88.8%) and the #24 city (New York City at 84.1%) is 4.7 percentage points. This 0.2-point variation between the #1 and #2 cities is below average for the category, suggesting that Afghan Restaurants are particularly responsive to local market conditions.
The most actionable signal in this dataset
Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for Afghan Restaurants.
National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for an Afghan Restaurant is 86.4%.
What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Afghan Restaurants:
- Strong survivability signals: Portland leads with a 89% average survivability score for Afghan Restaurants — significantly above the national average for this business category.
- Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Afghan Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
- Economic conditions: All top-ranked cities show strong median household incomes and low vacancy rates in the neighborhoods where Afghan Restaurants perform best.
- Geographic distribution: The top cities span multiple U.S. regions, giving franchise operators or multi-location owners diverse market options without concentrating risk.
StreetSpring brings credibility through AI-driven survivability forecasts, trusted nationwide by agents and entrepreneurs. We incorporate data from thousands of neighborhoods and hundreds of thousands of individual businesses. Our proprietary models incorporate data sources not available through any public platform.
Neighborhood-Level Winners in Every Tier
City-level averages mask significant within-city variation. Below are some of the strongest neighborhoods for Afghan Restaurant at different points in the rankings:
Portland — ranked #1 nationally — the strongest market for Afghan Restaurants
- Kenton (89% survivability)
- Vernon (87% survivability)
- Ogden (87% survivability)
- Concordia (86% survivability)
- Sabin (86% survivability)
See full neighborhood rankings for Portland →
Los Angeles — ranked #13 of 24 — a middle-of-the-pack national market
- Peninsula (93% survivability)
- San-Pedro (87% survivability)
- Sylmar (87% survivability)
- Island-Grissom (87% survivability)
- Agoura-Hills (86% survivability)
See full neighborhood rankings for Los Angeles →
These examples show that a city's national rank for Afghan Restaurants is a starting signal — neighborhood-level data is what drives an actual location decision.
Visual Data
Related Resources
City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:
- Survivability Rankings for Afghan Restaurant in Portland
- Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
- Survivability Rankings for Afghan Restaurant in San Antonio
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Antonio
- Survivability Rankings for Afghan Restaurant in St Louis
- Business Survivability Rankings: St Louis
- Survivability Rankings for Afghan Restaurant in Charlotte
- Business Survivability Rankings: Charlotte
- Survivability Rankings for Afghan Restaurant in Orlando
- Business Survivability Rankings: Orlando
National guides:
- National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for Afghan Restaurants
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Portland
What's the update cadence for this ranking?
Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Afghan Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.
Are top-10 cities the only viable markets for Afghan Restaurants?
Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Afghan Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Afghan Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.
What tools can help me choose the right city for an Afghan Restaurant?
StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Afghan Restaurants across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Afghan Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether an Afghan Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.
Try the Survivability Score tool →
Which city ranks first for Afghan Restaurants?
Portland ranks as the #1 city in the US for Afghan Restaurants survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average score of 89%. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Portland, an Afghan Restaurant has approximately a 89% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.
Last reviewed by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring — May 7, 2026
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and foot traffic data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Portland, San Antonio, St Louis, Charlotte, Orlando, Phoenix, Baltimore, Atlanta, Detroit, Tampa Bay, San Diego, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Houston, Minneapolis, Dallas, Denver, Seattle, Miami, Chicago, Washington DC, Boston, Philadelphia, New York City.