Survivability Rankings for Dessert Shop in San Diego
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in San Diego to open a Dessert Shop, from Eastlake Shores (78% survival) to Robinhoo...
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Eastlake Shores: 78% average survivability for Dessert Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 38 of 84 analyzed
- City-wide average: 73% for Dessert Shops
- Most challenging area: Robinhood-Bon Vivant at 67%
- Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~16.0% more expected revenue in Eastlake Shores
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Eastlake Shores leads San Diego's 2026 survivability rankings for Dessert Shop operators with 78% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 84% and the most challenging locations in Eastlake Shores at 72%. The worst neighborhoods include Robinhood-Bon Vivant with 67% average chance. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Diego to Open a Dessert Shop?
Eastlake Shores ranks #1 of 84 neighborhoods analyzed in and around San Diego for Dessert Shop survivability, with a 78% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | At a good address | Average Locations | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastlake Shores | 82.2% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 82.0% to 84.0% | 72.0% to 74.0% |
| 2 | Jamacha-Lomita | 81.0% | 75.0% to 79.0% | 82.0% to 84.0% | 70.0% to 71.0% |
| 3 | Millenia | 80.4% | 77.0% to 81.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 76.0% to 78.0% |
| 4 | Eastlake Greens | 80.3% | 76.0% to 81.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 5 | Normal Heights | 79.9% | 75.0% to 79.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 6 | Pacific Beach | 79.7% | 74.0% to 78.0% | 80.0% to 81.0% | 67.0% to 69.0% |
| 7 | Windingwalk | 79.5% | 75.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 74.0% to 76.0% |
| 8 | Hillsborough | 79.5% | 75.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 80.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 9 | Terra Nova | 79.4% | 76.0% to 81.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 74.0% to 75.0% |
| 10 | Mira Mesa | 79.4% | 74.0% to 79.0% | 80.0% to 81.0% | 69.0% to 70.0% |
Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around San Diego Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
In Eastlake Shores, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~16.0% more than the average location in or around San Diego.
On the other hand, in Robinhood-Bon Vivant, the worst possible location could result in making ~18.8% less than the average location in the city.
Nothing influences a business's future more than its location. Opening a Dessert Shop in San Diego requires careful location choice. Across 84 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Dessert Shop is 73% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. A high-traffic corner that works well for a coffee shop may be entirely wrong for a specialty retailer.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Dessert Shop in or Around San Diego?
When selecting a location for a Dessert Shop in or around San Diego, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. No other single metric predicts business longevity as reliably as Revenue Capture Score. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our platform incorporates data from thousands of neighborhoods nationwide. Moderate competition often indicates a healthy market with proven consumer demand. StreetSpring uses its own proprietary forecasting tools to make these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.
Where in or Around San Diego Should I Start a Dessert Shop?
According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include Eastlake Shores, Jamacha-Lomita, and Millenia, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Robinhood-Bon Vivant, Otay Valley, and Harborside. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Diego
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Diego
- National City Survivability: Dessert Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Dessert Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Diego to Open a Dessert Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Dessert Shop in San Diego is Eastlake Shores with 78% average survivability, followed by Jamacha-Lomita and Millenia. 38 of 84 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.
However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.
Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Diego?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Dessert Shop Rankings in San Diego Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Diego.
Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant for San Diego Landlords?
In Eastlake Shores, StreetSpring forecasts a 76.0% to 80.0% average chance for a new Dessert Shop to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Dessert Shop in San Diego
Reducing vacancy starts with choosing tenants whose business type matches the neighborhood's strengths. For Dessert Shop tenants, Eastlake Shores provides the best survivability conditions (76.0% to 80.0%). Jamacha-Lomita and Millenia also show viable averages at 75.0% to 79.0% and 77.0% to 81.0% respectively. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.
StreetSpring's predictions are granular enough to distinguish between two storefronts on the same block.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Diego for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Diego to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Diego.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Diego: See how Dessert Shop compares to all other business types in San Diego
- Best Cities to Open a Dessert Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Dessert Shop
- Business Survivability in Eastlake Shores, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Jamacha-Lomita, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Millenia, San Diego: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Diego are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for San Diego
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.