What is the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Smoke Shop is Pepperwood, ranked #1 at 83.3% Best and 76.7% Typical. 15 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

What is the average survivability for Smoke Shop across Phoenix's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix, the average projected chance that a Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 69.5% Typical. Pepperwood, ranked #1, is at 76.7% Typical.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in Phoenix?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Phoenix for Smoke Shop include Rio Vista (ranked last, at 58.3% Best and 54.6% Typical), Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data.

What should I consider when opening a Smoke Shop in Phoenix?

When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Smoke Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in Phoenix

Q: Where in Phoenix would a Smoke Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Phoenix address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Smoke Shop succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Phoenix neighborhoods to open a Smoke Shop, on Best, from Pepperwood (83.3% survival) to Rio Vista (58.3%).

September 22, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: November 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

Best, Typical and Worst: Best is the average chance of lasting two or more years for the better of two addresses picked at random in the place, in a smaller space; Typical is the average address; Worst is the same for the worse of two, in a larger space

#1 Neighborhood: Pepperwood: 83.3% Best, 76.7% Typical for Smoke Shop

The range inside Pepperwood: the best locations reach 88.3% and the most challenging sit at 58.4%, a spread of 29.9 points. Picking the neighborhood narrows the search; the specific address is what settles it

Neighborhoods at or above 70% Typical: 15 of 28 ranked

Average across the 28 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 69.5% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: Rio Vista: 58.3% Best, 54.6% Typical

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Pepperwood leads Phoenix's 2026 survivability rankings for Smoke Shop operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.3% Best and 76.7% Typical. The last-ranked neighborhood is Rio Vista, at 58.3% Best and 54.6% Typical. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open a Smoke Shop?

Pepperwood ranks #1 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods in and around Phoenix for Smoke Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.3% Best as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	Best	Typical	Worst
1	Pepperwood	Phoenix	83.3%	76.7%	71.9%
2	Dobson Ranch	Phoenix	82.0%	76.0%	71.4%
3	Escalante	Phoenix	81.9%	75.6%	70.6%
4	Carino Estates	Phoenix	81.8%	76.2%	71.9%
5	Kiwanis Park	Phoenix	80.9%	76.6%	73.2%
6	Ocotillo	Phoenix	80.1%	74.0%	68.2%
7	Central City	Phoenix	78.9%	73.1%	67.4%
8	Superstition Springs	Phoenix	78.6%	71.3%	64.0%
9	Encanto	Phoenix	78.5%	73.0%	67.4%
10	Reed Park	Phoenix	78.3%	72.7%	67.1%

Best and Worst are the average results for the better and the worse of two addresses picked at random in the place: a weighted average of every scored location in which the best locations count the most for Best and the weakest count the most for Worst. Typical is the average address. Best is shown for a smaller space (half the standard size) and Worst for a larger one (half again as large), at the metro's median asking rent, using the same rent rule as our tool; Typical is at the market rent.

Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

The ranking runs on Best. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

These figures assume a lease at the local market rate. The live tool adjusts the figure when you enter a lease that is cheaper or more expensive than that.

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Phoenix Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Smoke Shop would make the most money in or around Phoenix comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Pepperwood is ranked #1 for Smoke Shop survivability, at 83.3% Best and 76.7% Typical; Rio Vista is ranked last of the 28, at 58.3% Best and 54.6% Typical. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Smoke Shop in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 69.5% Typical. What makes a location ideal varies by business type: foot traffic patterns, competitor proximity, and consumer demographics all play different roles.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. Some of the best-performing locations are surrounded by complementary competitors that drive foot traffic. These results are powered by exclusive algorithms trained on one of the largest commercial real estate datasets in the U.S. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

StreetSpring's analysis shows the best areas are Pepperwood, Dobson Ranch, and Escalante, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Rio Vista, Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Related Articles:

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in Phoenix is Pepperwood, at 83.3% Best and 76.7% Typical, followed by Dobson Ranch and Escalante. 15 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Pepperwood, the projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 76.7% Typical and 83.3% Best, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in Phoenix

From a risk-assessment perspective, a Smoke Shop tenant in Pepperwood, the top-ranked neighborhood, has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.3% Best. Dobson Ranch is at 82.0% Best, and Escalante at 81.9% Best. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring can give you the precise likelihood that hundreds of different businesses will last at an exact address.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix: See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in Phoenix
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in Pepperwood, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Dobson Ranch, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Escalante, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

Table of Contents