What is the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Mexican Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Mexican Restaurant is Reed Park, ranked #1 at 83.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address. 11 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for Mexican Restaurant across Phoenix's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix, the average projected chance that a Mexican Restaurant lasts two or more years is 68.2% at a typical address. Reed Park, ranked #1, is at 80.1% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Mexican Restaurant in Phoenix?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Phoenix for Mexican Restaurant include Rio Vista (ranked last, at 61.5% at a good address and 54.9% at a typical address), Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Mexican Restaurant survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.

Survivability Rankings for Mexican Restaurant in Phoenix

Q: Where in Phoenix would a Mexican Restaurant make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Phoenix address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Mexican Restaurant succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Phoenix neighborhoods to open a Mexican Restaurant, at a good address, from Reed Park (83.6% survival) to Rio Vista (61.5%).

October 5, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Reed Park: 83.6% at a good address, 80.1% at a typical address for Mexican Restaurant

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 11 of 28 ranked

Average across the 28 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 68.2% for Mexican Restaurants

Most challenging area: Rio Vista: 61.5% at a good address, 54.9% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Mexican Restaurant Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Mexican Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Mexican Restaurant a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Phoenix to open a Mexican Restaurant is Reed Park, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 62.4%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Rio Vista, at 61.5% at a good address and 54.9% at a typical address. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open a Mexican Restaurant?

Reed Park ranks #1 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods in and around Phoenix for Mexican Restaurant survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Reed Park	Phoenix	83.6%	80.1%	84.0%	62.4%
2	Superstition Springs	Phoenix	83.2%	70.8%	84.0%	48.9%
3	Pepperwood	Phoenix	82.6%	74.6%	82.6%	54.3%
4	Dobson Ranch	Phoenix	82.6%	74.1%	84.0%	54.8%
5	Escalante	Phoenix	82.6%	72.6%	83.1%	56.1%
6	Ocotillo	Phoenix	81.8%	71.4%	83.1%	50.2%
7	Central City	Phoenix	81.6%	70.9%	84.0%	48.4%
8	Laveen	Phoenix	81.6%	67.7%	84.0%	48.0%
9	South Mountain	Phoenix	81.4%	70.0%	84.0%	48.0%
10	Carino Estates	Phoenix	81.3%	73.5%	81.8%	59.7%

Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Phoenix Would a Mexican Restaurant Make the Most Money?

Where a Mexican Restaurant would make the most money in or around Phoenix comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Reed Park is ranked #1 for Mexican Restaurant survivability, at 83.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address; Rio Vista is ranked last of the 28, at 61.5% at a good address and 54.9% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Our data shows the projected chance for the same business type moving a long way between neighborhoods of one city. Opening a Mexican Restaurant in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across the 28 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Mexican Restaurant lasts two or more years is 68.2% at a typical address. A high-traffic corner that works well for a coffee shop may be entirely wrong for a specialty retailer.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Mexican Restaurant in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for a Mexican Restaurant in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. The prediction engine behind these rankings is entirely proprietary: developed in-house over years of research. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start a Mexican Restaurant?

Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Reed Park, Superstition Springs, and Pepperwood, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Rio Vista, Villages of Eastridge, and North Gateway. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
National City Survivability: Mexican Restaurant
National Neighborhood Survivability: Mexican Restaurant

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open a Mexican Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Mexican Restaurant in Phoenix is Reed Park, at 83.6% at a good address and 80.1% at a typical address, followed by Superstition Springs and Pepperwood. 11 of the 28 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Can a Mexican Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Mexican Restaurant Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.

Is a Mexican Restaurant a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Reed Park, the projected chance that a new Mexican Restaurant lasts two or more years is 80.1% at a typical address and 83.6% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Mexican Restaurant in Phoenix

If you own commercial property in Phoenix and are considering a Mexican Restaurant tenant, here is what the data shows: Reed Park is ranked first (80.1% at a typical address), Superstition Springs second (70.8% at a typical address), and Pepperwood third (74.6% at a typical address). See which business types are most likely to succeed at your property address right now.

StreetSpring scores the exact storefront address, not only the neighborhood around it.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix: See how Mexican Restaurant compares to all other business types in Phoenix
Best Cities to Open a Mexican Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Mexican Restaurant
Business Survivability in Reed Park, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Superstition Springs, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Pepperwood, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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