Survivability Rankings for Barbecue Restaurant in Phoenix

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Phoenix to open a Barbecue Restaurant, from Rio Vista (82% survival) to Kiwanis P...

•12 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • #1 Neighborhood: Rio Vista: 82% average survivability for Barbecue Restaurant
  • Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 28 of 28 analyzed
  • City-wide average: 79% for Barbecue Restaurants
  • Most challenging area: Kiwanis Park at 77%
  • Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~8.0% more expected revenue in Rio Vista
  • Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Table of Contents

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Phoenix to open a Barbecue Restaurant is Rio Vista with 82% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 84% and the most challenging locations in Rio Vista at 75%. The worst neighborhoods include Kiwanis Park with 77% average chance. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well.


What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open a Barbecue Restaurant?

Rio Vista ranks #1 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Phoenix for Barbecue Restaurant survivability, with a 82% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

RankNeighborhoodAt a good addressAverage LocationsBest LocationsChallenging Locations
1Rio Vista84.0%80.0% to 84.0%83.0% to 84.0%75.0% to 77.0%
2North Gateway84.0%80.0% to 84.0%83.0% to 84.0%74.0% to 75.0%
3Desert View84.0%79.0% to 84.0%83.0% to 84.0%71.0% to 73.0%
4North Scottsdale84.0%78.0% to 83.0%83.0% to 84.0%72.0% to 74.0%
5Superstition Springs83.5%78.0% to 82.0%83.0% to 84.0%72.0% to 74.0%
6Camelback East83.1%77.0% to 81.0%83.0% to 84.0%72.0% to 74.0%
7Estrella82.6%78.0% to 83.0%83.0% to 84.0%75.0% to 76.0%
8Laveen82.6%78.0% to 83.0%83.0% to 84.0%74.0% to 76.0%
9Ahwatukee Foothills82.6%77.0% to 82.0%83.0% to 84.0%71.0% to 73.0%
10South Mountain82.6%77.0% to 82.0%83.0% to 84.0%72.0% to 74.0%

Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.


Where in or Around Phoenix Would a Barbecue Restaurant Make the Most Money?

In Rio Vista, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~8.0% more than the average location in or around Phoenix.

On the other hand, in Kiwanis Park, the worst possible location could result in making ~7.8% less than the average location in the city.

The right location can make a business; the wrong one can break it. Opening a Barbecue Restaurant in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across 28 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Barbecue Restaurant is 79% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. The same location can be excellent for one business type and poor for another.


What Should I Consider When Opening a Barbecue Restaurant in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for a Barbecue Restaurant in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Among all factors in our model, Revenue Capture Score carries the most weight in determining long-term survivability. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. Moderate competition often indicates a healthy market with proven consumer demand. Every score is produced by our in-house models, trained on 570,000+ real business outcomes. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.


Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start a Barbecue Restaurant?

According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include Rio Vista, North Gateway, and Desert View, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Kiwanis Park, Encanto, and Dobson Ranch. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Related Articles:


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open a Barbecue Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Barbecue Restaurant in Phoenix is Rio Vista with 82% average survivability, followed by North Gateway and Desert View. 28 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.


Can a Barbecue Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.


How Often Are Barbecue Restaurant Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.


Is a Barbecue Restaurant a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Rio Vista, StreetSpring forecasts a 80.0% to 84.0% average chance for a new Barbecue Restaurant to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Barbecue Restaurant in Phoenix

Should you rent your storefront to a Barbecue Restaurant? The answer depends heavily on your neighborhood. Rio Vista offers the strongest outlook at 80.0% to 84.0% average survivability, followed by North Gateway at 80.0% to 84.0%, and Desert View at 79.0% to 84.0%. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.

StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.


Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.