National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for Cosmetics Shop
StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis ranks the top neighborhoods across all major US cities for Cosmetics Shops. See which neighborhoods offer the highest Survivability Scores.
Of all neighborhoods across the US analyzed in 2026, Truxton Circle in Washington DC offers the highest survivability for Cosmetics Shop operators at 86%. The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide span 4 different cities, demonstrating that exceptional opportunities for Cosmetics Shops exist across diverse markets. The best survivability data for any individual location is always StreetSpring's most recent live analysis, which reflects the current competitive landscape at your exact address.
To understand the methodology behind these rankings, see our detailed guide: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.
Last reviewed by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring — May 10, 2026
Quick Summary
- #1 Neighborhood: Truxton Circle, Washington DC — 86% survivability for Cosmetics Shop
- Neighborhoods analyzed: 8583 across 24 major US cities
- National average survivability: 66.7% for Cosmetics Shops
- Top-25 average: 84.0% — 17.3% above national average
- Data current as of: 2026 · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- How neighborhoods compare nationwide
- Top 25 neighborhoods in the US
- Geographic patterns
- How to use this ranking
- Related resources
- Frequently asked questions
Neighborhood-by-neighborhood survivability for Cosmetics Shops nationwide
Analyzing 8583 neighborhoods across 24 major US cities, StreetSpring's 2026 data shows that the best neighborhoods for Cosmetics Shops significantly outperform average locations, with the top 25 neighborhoods nationwide averaging 84.0% survivability compared to the national neighborhood average of 66.7%.
What the nationwide score spread means for owners
This 17.3% advantage illustrates how critical neighborhood selection is — choosing a top-tier neighborhood versus an average one can significantly increase your long-term survival chances.
Where the surprising outliers come from
For a Cosmetics Shop, the survivability advantage of a top-ranked neighborhood (averaging 84.0% versus the national average of 66.7%) translates directly into a longer survival horizon and a stronger revenue capture position. StreetSpring's model identifies Cosmetics Shops survivability as particularly sensitive to the competitive density of direct and indirect competitors within a quarter-mile radius of the specific address.
Importantly, top-performing neighborhoods aren't concentrated in just a few cities. The top 25 neighborhoods represent 4 different cities. This means entrepreneurs focused on Cosmetics Shops can find exceptional opportunities across the United States, not just in traditionally strong markets.
Survivability data consistently shows location accounts for more variance in business outcomes than any other controllable factor.
Which US neighborhoods are best for opening a Cosmetics Shop?
| Signal | Top-quartile neighborhood pattern | Bottom-quartile neighborhood pattern |
|---|---|---|
| Walk Score + foot-traffic alignment | Neighborhoods where Walk Score (90+) matches actual measured pedestrian volume — not just street-grid promise. | High Walk Score scores driven by transit density but with sparse street-level retail engagement. |
| Anchor-venue spillover | Neighborhoods within 0.25 miles of a major anchor (transit hub, university gate, hospital main entrance, concert venue). | Neighborhoods where the nearest anchor is past walking distance — no spillover demand. |
| Complementary subtype clustering | Neighborhoods with multiple complementary subtypes within 2 blocks (e.g., fitness + smoothie + athletic apparel). | Neighborhoods where the subtype is isolated from complementary anchors, requiring all foot-traffic to be destination-driven. |
The shared traits across the top 10
Why these neighborhoods rank highest
Survivability range for top, middle, and last-ranked neighborhoods. Box = best-to-challenging range; white line = average. Truxton Circle, Washington DC leads at 86% in 2026. Full methodology →
The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide for Cosmetics Shops are:
| # | Neighborhood | City | Avg Survival | Tier | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truxton Circle | Washington DC | 86.0% | Great | 88.3% | 83.5% |
| 2 | Fair Lakes | Washington DC | 85.0% | Great | 87.3% | 82.5% |
| 3 | Sursum Corda Cooperative | Washington DC | 84.9% | Great | 87.2% | 82.4% |
| 4 | Adams Morgan | Washington DC | 84.8% | Great | 87.1% | 82.3% |
| 5 | Stuyvesant Town | New York City | 84.5% | Great | 86.9% | 82.0% |
| 6 | Navy Yard | New York City | 84.5% | Great | 86.9% | 82.0% |
| 7 | Williamsburg | New York City | 84.4% | Great | 86.7% | 81.9% |
| 8 | Woodside | New York City | 84.4% | Great | 86.7% | 81.8% |
| 9 | Vinegar Hill | New York City | 84.4% | Great | 86.7% | 81.8% |
| 10 | Downtown Crossing | Boston | 84.2% | Great | 86.6% | 81.7% |
| 11 | Washington | Washington DC | 84.1% | Great | 86.5% | 81.6% |
| 12 | Prospect Park South | New York City | 84.1% | Great | 86.4% | 81.6% |
| 13 | Jamaica Hills | New York City | 83.8% | Great | 86.1% | 81.3% |
| 14 | West Portal | San Francisco | 83.7% | Great | 86.1% | 81.2% |
| 15 | St. Francis Wood | San Francisco | 83.7% | Great | 86.0% | 81.1% |
| 16 | Prospect Park | New York City | 83.7% | Great | 86.0% | 81.1% |
| 17 | Haymarket | Boston | 83.6% | Great | 85.9% | 81.1% |
| 18 | Government Center | Boston | 83.5% | Great | 85.9% | 81.0% |
| 19 | Duboce Triangle | San Francisco | 83.5% | Great | 85.8% | 80.9% |
| 20 | Eureka Valley - Dolores Heights - Castro | San Francisco | 83.5% | Great | 85.8% | 80.9% |
| 21 | Lower East Side | New York City | 83.5% | Great | 85.8% | 80.9% |
| 22 | Flatbush | New York City | 83.4% | Great | 85.8% | 80.9% |
| 23 | Woodland-Normanstone Terrace | Washington DC | 83.3% | Great | 85.6% | 80.7% |
| 24 | NoMa | Washington DC | 83.3% | Great | 85.6% | 80.7% |
| 25 | Haight-Ashbury | San Francisco | 83.2% | Great | 85.5% | 80.7% |
Individual site conditions — including storefront visibility, access, and hyper-local competition — can push a location well above or below its neighborhood average.
For a full explanation of how survivability scores and ranges are calculated, see Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.
What do the top neighborhoods nationwide have in common?
City Concentration
The top 25 neighborhoods span 4 different cities, with New York City claiming 10 of the top spots (40%).
Breakdown of top 25 neighborhoods by city:
- New York City: 10 neighborhoods (40% of top 25) — View city guide
- Washington DC: 7 neighborhoods (28% of top 25) — View city guide
- San Francisco: 5 neighborhoods (20% of top 25) — View city guide
- Boston: 3 neighborhoods (12% of top 25) — View city guide
This distribution has practical implications for Cosmetics Shops operators: cities with multiple neighborhoods in the top 25 offer more site options within a single market, reducing relocation or expansion cost. Cities with a single top-25 neighborhood require more precise site selection — the advantage is concentrated in one area rather than spread across the metro.
How transit access shapes survival
The concentration of 10 top-ranked neighborhoods in New York City (40% of the top 25) is notably high for this business category, suggesting that New York City's market conditions — competitive density, consumer spending patterns, and demographic alignment — are unusually favorable for Cosmetics Shops. Operators targeting this category should treat New York City neighborhoods as a primary focus before expanding to secondary markets.
From national ranking to a specific Cosmetics Shop location
National rankings are a powerful starting point, but your final site decision should be validated at the address level. The StreetSpring platform combines proprietary consumer spending forecasts, competitive density analysis, and mobility data to produce survivability predictions no other tool replicates. Block-level conditions within any neighborhood can shift survivability by 10–20 points — this ranking narrows your search, and StreetSpring's live tool finalizes it.
For the most accurate assessment:
- Consider neighborhoods in the top 25 as strong starting points
- Examine city-specific guides for additional neighborhood options in your target markets
- Use StreetSpring's address-level tool to evaluate specific storefronts within these neighborhoods
- Factor in your budget, operational requirements, and target demographics
Each neighborhood has detailed analysis available through its city guide, providing block-by-block survivability data for Cosmetics Shops.
Why score alone shouldn't drive the lease decision
See also: Best Cities for Cosmetics Shop — our city-level comparison ranks which metros offer the strongest overall conditions for Cosmetics Shops.
Related Resources
Explore top cities represented in these neighborhoods:
- New York City: Best businesses and neighborhoods
- Boston: Best businesses and neighborhoods
- San Francisco: Best businesses and neighborhoods
- Washington DC: Best businesses and neighborhoods
National city rankings: Best cities for Cosmetics Shops
Essential resources:
- How StreetSpring calculates Survivability Scores
- Site selection for landlords
- AI tools for tenant representatives
- StreetSpring vs competitors
Frequently Asked Questions
How does StreetSpring calculate survivability for Cosmetics Shops specifically?
StreetSpring's model calculates survivability for Cosmetics Shops by analyzing the competitive density of existing Cosmetics Shops within each distance band around the address, the projected consumer spending on Cosmetics Shops in that location, mobility patterns that determine likely customer flow, and 80+ additional factors. The resulting survivability score reflects the estimated probability of a new Cosmetics Shop surviving 2+ years at that specific address.
What demographic factors drive survivability for Cosmetics Shops?
For Cosmetics Shops, StreetSpring's model incorporates neighborhood-level demographic data including population density, median household income, employment rates, and consumer spending on this specific category. These factors vary by business type — the demographic profile that drives survivability for Cosmetics Shop customers may differ significantly from what matters for other business categories.
Where can I download the underlying data?
The full national survivability dataset is available as a free download: https://streetspring.com/resources/data/national-survivability-scores-2026.csv. The CSV includes all business subtypes and neighborhoods covered in this analysis, licensed under CC BY 4.0.
Are the best neighborhoods for Cosmetics Shops in large cities or smaller markets?
The top neighborhoods for Cosmetics Shops in StreetSpring's 2026 dataset are concentrated in 4 cities in the current dataset. As coverage expands, this breakdown may shift. The fundamental driver is the competitive-to-spending ratio at the address level, which can favor strong locations in both large and smaller markets.
What type of neighborhood is best for opening a Cosmetics Shop?
The best neighborhoods for Cosmetics Shops share three characteristics: manageable competitive density (few existing direct competitors within the primary trade area), strong consumer spending on this category, and demographic alignment with the typical Cosmetics Shop customer base. In StreetSpring's 2026 data, the top-ranked neighborhoods for Cosmetics Shops combine these factors in a way that produces survivability scores well above the national average of 66.7%. Neighborhoods with dense existing competition or low category spending tend to score significantly lower, regardless of overall foot traffic or prestige.
How should a landlord use this ranking when evaluating tenants for Cosmetics Shops?
Landlords can use this national neighborhood ranking to assess whether their property is in a location favorable to Cosmetics Shops — and by extension, how likely a Cosmetics Shop tenant is to maintain long-term occupancy. If your property is in one of the top 25 neighborhoods, Cosmetics Shops represent a strong tenant category. If not, StreetSpring's address-level tool will show the survivability score for your specific address and which tenant types score highest there.
How do I interpret a survivability score?
A survivability score represents the estimated probability that a business of a specific type will still be operating at a given location after 2 years. A score of 80% means StreetSpring's model predicts an 80% chance of the business surviving past the 2-year mark at that address. Scores are calculated at the address level and reflect competitive density, consumer spending patterns, mobility data, and 80+ additional factors.
How can I compare specific addresses within these top neighborhoods?
StreetSpring's address-level tool allows you to input any commercial address and see predicted survivability for Cosmetics Shops. Even within the top-ranked neighborhoods, survivability varies meaningfully by block — address-level scoring is the most precise way to evaluate a specific site.
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and foot traffic data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: Neighborhood rankings are based on average Survivability Scores for Cosmetics Shops across all analyzed locations within each neighborhood. Rankings represent neighborhood-level conditions but do not account for block-by-block variation. Coverage includes 8583 neighborhoods across 24 major US cities.