City Survivability Rankings for Cosmetics Shop
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for Cosmetics Shops across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for a Cosmetics Shop to succeed.
Quick Summary
- The highest-survivability city for Cosmetics Shop is Dallas — 70% average survivability
- 1 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Cosmetics Shop survivability
- The lowest-ranked city is Philadelphia at 65%
- National average survivability score for Cosmetics Shop: 67.4%
- Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- Top Cities for Cosmetics Shops
- Key Insights
- What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
- Related Resources
- How current is this ranking?
- Can a Cosmetics Shop succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
- What tools can help me choose the right city for a Cosmetics Shop?
- Which US city has the best survivability for Cosmetics Shops?
Summary
According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Dallas ranks as the #1 city for opening a Cosmetics Shop in the United States, with an average 70% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 69%, and Orlando with 69%. Cosmetics Shops sit at a national average of 67.4% survivability across our 24-city analysis, with Dallas leading the field by a meaningful margin. City-wide statistics are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. Survivability rankings evolve as neighborhoods change; always verify with the most recent StreetSpring dataset before signing a lease.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →
Cosmetics Shop city survivability rankings — Dallas leads among 24 US metros at 70% in 2026
All 24 Cities Ranked for Cosmetics Shops
Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Cosmetics Shops:
1. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Best locations: 77.8% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 67.3% – 72.3%
- Challenging locations: 45.0% – 62.7%
2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Best locations: 76.0% – 84.0%
- Average locations: 66.5% – 71.2%
- Challenging locations: 45.0% – 62.1%
3. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Best locations: 76.6% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 65.8% – 71.0%
- Challenging locations: 43.0% – 61.2%
4. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Best locations: 78.1% – 90.0%
- Average locations: 65.0% – 70.9%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 60.1%
5. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Best locations: 76.7% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 64.9% – 70.5%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 60.0%
6. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
- Best locations: 76.7% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 65.1% – 70.5%
- Challenging locations: 42.0% – 60.3%
7. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL
- Best locations: 76.2% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 65.1% – 70.3%
- Challenging locations: 43.0% – 60.6%
8. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX
- Best locations: 76.2% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 64.8% – 70.3%
- Challenging locations: 40.0% – 59.7%
9. St Louis
- Best locations: 75.6% – 85.0%
- Average locations: 64.4% – 69.9%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 59.2%
10. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Best locations: 77.8% – 90.0%
- Average locations: 64.3% – 70.5%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 59.2%
11. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Best locations: 75.1% – 84.0%
- Average locations: 64.5% – 69.7%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 59.7%
12. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
- Best locations: 78.6% – 92.0%
- Average locations: 64.1% – 70.6%
- Challenging locations: 38.0% – 58.8%
13. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Best locations: 74.9% – 84.0%
- Average locations: 64.5% – 69.5%
- Challenging locations: 42.0% – 59.9%
14. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Best locations: 75.8% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 64.3% – 69.7%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 59.5%
15. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Best locations: 75.7% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 64.1% – 69.5%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 59.4%
16. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Best locations: 77.0% – 89.0%
- Average locations: 63.9% – 69.8%
- Challenging locations: 40.0% – 59.0%
17. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
- Best locations: 76.4% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 63.8% – 69.4%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 59.1%
18. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO
- Best locations: 74.9% – 85.0%
- Average locations: 63.6% – 68.8%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 58.9%
19. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Best locations: 76.0% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 62.9% – 68.9%
- Challenging locations: 38.0% – 57.8%
20. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Best locations: 75.1% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 63.0% – 68.5%
- Challenging locations: 40.0% – 58.3%
21. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Best locations: 76.0% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 63.0% – 68.8%
- Challenging locations: 40.0% – 58.3%
22. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Best locations: 76.2% – 89.0%
- Average locations: 62.6% – 68.6%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 57.8%
23. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Best locations: 75.0% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 62.1% – 67.8%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 57.4%
24. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Best locations: 74.9% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 62.0% – 67.7%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 57.3%
Key Insights
Wide variation between cities: The difference between the #1 city (Dallas at 70.3%) and the #24 city (Philadelphia at 65.1%) is 5.2 percentage points. For Cosmetics Shops, a 0.9-point difference between the top two cities underscores how much geographic selection influences long-term viability.
National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a Cosmetics Shop is 67.4%.
What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Cosmetics Shops:
- Strong survivability signals: Dallas leads with a 70% average survivability score for Cosmetics Shops — significantly above the national average for this business category.
- Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Cosmetics Shops, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
- Economic conditions: All top-ranked cities show strong median household incomes and low vacancy rates in the neighborhoods where Cosmetics Shops perform best.
- Supply chain access: Cities at the top of this ranking benefit from mature supplier networks for this category, reducing operating costs and inventory lead times.
This analysis leverages machine learning trained on hundreds of thousands of business lifecycle events to produce reliable survivability forecasts. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. Our forecasting system combines proprietary data with machine learning models unavailable anywhere else.
Related Resources
City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Dallas
- Business Survivability Rankings: Orlando
- Business Survivability Rankings: Los Angeles
- Business Survivability Rankings: Charlotte
National guides:
How current is this ranking?
Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Cosmetics Shops, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.
Can a Cosmetics Shop succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Cosmetics Shops in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Cosmetics Shops in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.
What tools can help me choose the right city for a Cosmetics Shop?
StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Cosmetics Shops across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Cosmetics Shops, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a Cosmetics Shop will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.
Try the Survivability Score tool →
Which US city has the best survivability for Cosmetics Shops?
Dallas ranks as the #1 city in the US for Cosmetics Shops survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average score of 70%. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Dallas, a Cosmetics Shop has approximately a 70% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by Orlando. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.
Last reviewed: April 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and foot traffic data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Dallas, San Antonio, Orlando, Los Angeles, Charlotte, San Francisco, Miami, Houston, St Louis, Washington DC, Portland, New York City, San Diego, Tampa Bay, Phoenix, Boston, Atlanta, Denver, Baltimore, Minneapolis, Chicago, Seattle, Detroit, Philadelphia.