National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for Bagel Shop
StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis ranks the top neighborhoods across all major US cities for Bagel Shops. See which neighborhoods offer the highest Survivability Scores.
Our 2026 analysis of neighborhoods across 24 US metros shows Manayunk in New York City as the top location to open a Bagel Shop — 90% survivability puts it ahead of every other neighborhood in the country. The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide are concentrated in New York City, which leads all US markets in Bagel Shop survivability. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
To understand the methodology behind these rankings, see our detailed guide: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.
Quick Summary
- #1 Neighborhood: Manayunk, New York City — 90% survivability for Bagel Shop
- Neighborhoods analyzed: 135 across 1 major US city
- National average survivability: 80.2% for Bagel Shops
- Top-25 average: 85.8% — 5.6% above national average
- Data current as of: 2026 · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- How neighborhoods compare nationwide
- Top 25 neighborhoods in the US
- Geographic patterns
- How to use this ranking
- Related resources
How do neighborhoods compare across the United States for Bagel Shops?
Analyzing 135 neighborhoods across 1 major US city, StreetSpring's 2026 data shows that the best neighborhoods for Bagel Shops significantly outperform average locations, with the top 25 neighborhoods nationwide averaging 85.8% survivability compared to the national neighborhood average of 80.2%.
This 5.6% advantage illustrates how critical neighborhood selection is — choosing a top-tier neighborhood versus an average one can significantly increase your long-term survival chances.
For Bagel Shops specifically, survivability is driven primarily by competitive density within the immediate trade area and the alignment between local consumer spending patterns and the category's typical revenue profile. The 5.6% gap between top-ranked neighborhoods and the national average for Bagel Shops reflects meaningful variation in how competitive these markets are across different neighborhoods — a stronger signal than is typical for many business categories. StreetSpring's in-house models are continuously updated with new business outcome data to keep predictions accurate.
The top-performing neighborhoods are currently concentrated in New York City. This indicates that New York City offers the strongest conditions for Bagel Shops in our current dataset.
Nothing influences a business's future more than its location.
What are the best neighborhoods in the United States to open a Bagel Shop?
Survivability range for top, middle, and last-ranked neighborhoods. Box = best-to-challenging range; white line = average. Manayunk, New York City leads at 90% in 2026. Full methodology →
The top 25 neighborhoods nationwide for Bagel Shops are:
| # | Neighborhood | City | Avg Survival | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manayunk | New York City | 90.0% | 91.2% | 88.8% |
| 2 | Pennypack Woods | New York City | 88.0% | 89.2% | 86.8% |
| 3 | Lawndale | New York City | 87.0% | 88.2% | 85.8% |
| 4 | Lexington Park | New York City | 87.0% | 88.2% | 85.8% |
| 5 | Rhawnhurst | New York City | 87.0% | 88.2% | 85.8% |
| 6 | Richmond | New York City | 87.0% | 88.2% | 85.8% |
| 7 | Roxborough | New York City | 87.0% | 88.2% | 85.8% |
| 8 | Harrowgate | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 9 | Mayfair | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 10 | Northwood | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 11 | Oxford Circle | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 12 | Pennypack Park | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 13 | Summerdale | New York City | 86.0% | 87.2% | 84.8% |
| 14 | Aston-Woodbridge | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 15 | East Falls | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 16 | Holmesburg | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 17 | Melrose Park Gardens | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 18 | Northern Liberties | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 19 | Olney | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 20 | Torresdale | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 21 | Upper Roxborough | New York City | 85.0% | 86.2% | 83.8% |
| 22 | Academy Gardens | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 23 | Feltonville | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 24 | Mount Airy, West | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
| 25 | Pennypack | New York City | 84.0% | 85.2% | 82.8% |
Keep in mind that results depend heavily on the exact location; strong sites often exist within neighborhoods that seem less favorable overall.
For a full explanation of how survivability scores and ranges are calculated, see Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters.
What patterns emerge from the top-performing neighborhoods nationwide?
City Concentration
All top 25 neighborhoods are located in New York City, which accounts for 100% of the top 25 in the current dataset.
Breakdown of top 25 neighborhoods by city:
- New York City: 25 neighborhoods (100% of top 25) — View city guide
This concentration reflects the current coverage of StreetSpring's dataset. As the analysis expands to additional cities, rankings will incorporate a broader cross-market view. For now, operators focused on Bagel Shops should look closely at New York City's neighborhood-level data — the city offers the strongest demonstrated conditions for this category and the most granular survivability data available.
How can I use this neighborhood ranking to find the best location for a Bagel Shop?
While nationwide neighborhood rankings identify standout markets, address-level analysis reveals even greater variation. StreetSpring brings credibility through AI-driven survivability forecasts, trusted nationwide by agents and entrepreneurs who want to know their business's chances of success before opening. Even within top-ranked neighborhoods, specific block selection can vary survivability by 10–20 percentage points.
For the most accurate assessment:
- Consider neighborhoods in the top 25 as strong starting points
- Examine city-specific guides for additional neighborhood options in your target markets
- Use StreetSpring's address-level tool to evaluate specific storefronts within these neighborhoods
- Factor in your budget, operational requirements, and target demographics
Each neighborhood has detailed analysis available through its city guide, providing block-by-block survivability data for Bagel Shops.
Related Resources
Explore top cities represented in these neighborhoods:
National city rankings: Best cities for Bagel Shops
Essential resources:
- How StreetSpring calculates Survivability Scores
- Site selection for landlords
- AI tools for tenant representatives
- StreetSpring vs competitors
What demographic factors drive survivability for Bagel Shops?
For Bagel Shops, StreetSpring's model incorporates neighborhood-level demographic data including population density, median household income, employment rates, and consumer spending on this specific category. These factors vary by business type — the demographic profile that drives survivability for Bagel Shop customers may differ significantly from what matters for other business categories.
How do I interpret a survivability score?
A survivability score represents the estimated probability that a business of a specific type will still be operating at a given location after 2 years. A score of 80% means StreetSpring's model predicts an 80% chance of the business surviving past the 2-year mark at that address. Scores are calculated at the address level and reflect competitive density, consumer spending patterns, mobility data, and 80+ additional factors.
What type of neighborhood is best for opening a Bagel Shop?
The best neighborhoods for Bagel Shops share three characteristics: manageable competitive density (few existing direct competitors within the primary trade area), strong consumer spending on this category, and demographic alignment with the typical Bagel Shop customer base. In StreetSpring's 2026 data, the top-ranked neighborhoods for Bagel Shops combine these factors in a way that produces survivability scores well above the national average of 80.2%. Neighborhoods with dense existing competition or low category spending tend to score significantly lower, regardless of overall foot traffic or prestige.
Is the competitive environment for Bagel Shops stronger in some markets than others?
Yes — competition density for Bagel Shops varies significantly by market. In the top-ranked neighborhoods, StreetSpring's model identifies favorable competitive dynamics as a primary driver of high survivability scores. In more saturated markets, even strong consumer spending may not overcome competitive pressure. StreetSpring's address-level tool shows the exact competitive environment at any specific location.
How can I compare specific addresses within these top neighborhoods?
StreetSpring's address-level tool allows you to input any commercial address and see predicted survivability for Bagel Shops. Visit https://streetspring.com/models/survivability_score to get a score for any US address. Even within the top-ranked neighborhoods, survivability varies meaningfully by block — address-level scoring is the most precise way to evaluate a specific site.
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 25 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View national technical data
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and foot traffic data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: Neighborhood rankings are based on average Survivability Scores for Bagel Shops across all analyzed locations within each neighborhood. Rankings represent neighborhood-level conditions but do not account for block-by-block variation. Coverage includes 135 neighborhoods across 1 major US city.