City Survivability Rankings for Irish Pub

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for Irish Pubs across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for an Irish Pub to succeed.

17 min read

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • The highest-survivability city for Irish Pub is Portland — 81.20% average survivability
  • 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Irish Pub survivability
  • The lowest-ranked city is New York City at 79.22%
  • National average chance of lasting two or more years for Irish Pub: 81.0%
  • Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

Table of Contents


Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Portland ranks as the #1 city for opening an Irish Pub in the United States, with an average 81.20% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 81.19%, and St Louis with 81.13%. The 24-city analysis shows Irish Pubs performing at a 81.0% national average, with strong geographic concentration of top scores in a handful of metros. Keep in mind that results depend heavily on the exact location; strong sites often exist within cities that seem less favorable overall. Market conditions shift frequently — use StreetSpring's live tool to confirm the current picture before committing to a location.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

Irish Pubs city survivability range chart — Charlotte vs San Diego (2026)

Best-to-worst Irish Pub survivability within individual metros — Charlotte, Seattle, Los Angeles, Dallas and San Diego. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).


All 24 Cities Ranked for Irish Pubs

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Irish Pubs:

#MetroMetro areaChance of lasting 2+ years
1PortlandPortland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA81.20%
2San AntonioSan Antonio-New Braunfels, TX81.19%
3St Louis81.13%
4CharlotteCharlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC80.91%
5OrlandoOrlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL80.81%
6AtlantaAtlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA80.59%
7BaltimoreBaltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD80.58%
8DetroitDetroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI80.57%
9DallasDallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX80.50%
10PhoenixPhoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ80.49%
11Tampa BayTampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL80.41%
12San DiegoSan Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA80.33%
13San FranciscoSan Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA80.32%
14MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI80.31%
15HoustonHouston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX80.20%
16DenverDenver-Aurora-Centennial, CO80.19%
17SeattleSeattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA80.18%
18MiamiMiami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL80.13%
19Los AngelesLos Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA80.12%
20BostonBoston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH80.11%
21ChicagoChicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN80.04%
22Washington DCWashington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV79.99%
23PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD79.57%
24New York CityNew York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ79.22%

1. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 78.0%

3. St Louis

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

4. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

5. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

6. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

8. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

9. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

10. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

11. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 77.0%

12. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

13. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

14. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

15. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 77.0%

16. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

17. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 77.0%

18. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

19. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 77.0%

20. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

21. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

22. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

23. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 78.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 67.0% – 76.0%

24. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

  • Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 78.0% – 80.0%
  • Challenging locations: 66.0% – 75.0%

Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (Portland at 81.20%) and the #24 city (New York City at 79.22%) is 1.98 percentage points. Irish Pubs score at effectively the same level across the top two metros. Picking the right city is not the lever here.

Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for Irish Pubs.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for an Irish Pub is 81.0%.


What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Irish Pubs:

  • Strong survivability signals: Portland leads with a 82% average chance of lasting two or more years for Irish Pubs — significantly above the national average for this business category.
  • Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Irish Pubs, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
  • Economic conditions: All top-ranked cities show strong median household incomes and low vacancy rates in the neighborhoods where Irish Pubs perform best.
  • Neighborhood diversity: Within each top city, high-survivability zones appear across multiple neighborhood types — from dense urban cores to established suburban strips.

Across the U.S., real estate professionals and business owners rely on StreetSpring's AI predictions to understand where a new venture is most likely to thrive, before signing a lease. Our forecasting engine processes data from over 24 metro areas covering 180+ million consumers. Our forecasting system combines proprietary data with machine learning models unavailable anywhere else.


Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum

National rankings tell only part of the story. Even cities further down the list contain neighborhoods where Irish Pubs thrive. A few examples:

Portlandranked #1 nationally — the strongest market for Irish Pubs

  • Greenway (64% survivability)
  • Richmond (63% survivability)
  • Sunnyside (63% survivability)
  • Arnada (62% survivability)
  • Hollywood (61% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for Portland →

San Franciscoranked #13 of 24 — a middle-of-the-pack national market

  • Chinatown (77% survivability)
  • Yerba-Buena (77% survivability)
  • Tenderloin (77% survivability)
  • Nob-Hill (76% survivability)
  • Cow-Hollow (75% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for San Francisco →

New York Cityranked #24 of 24 — among the lower-ranked national markets

  • Murray-Hill (81% survivability)
  • Noho (79% survivability)
  • Garment-District (79% survivability)
  • Chinatown (78% survivability)
  • Midtown (78% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for New York City →

These examples show that a city's national rank for Irish Pubs is a starting signal — neighborhood-level data is what drives an actual location decision.



Visual Data

US map showing Irish Pub survivability score across 24 metros; Portland highest at 82, New York lowest at 79.
US map of Irish Pub survivability by metro — darker green = higher score. Portland highest at 82, New York lowest at 79. 24 metros plotted.
Bar chart ranking 24 US metros by Irish Pub survivability score; Portland highest at 81.2, New York City lowest at 79.2.
Portland leads US metros for Irish Pub survivability at 81.2, 1.98 points above last-place New York City (79.2). 24 metros scored.

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

National guides:


How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Irish Pubs, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.


Can an Irish Pub succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Irish Pubs in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Irish Pubs in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.


What tools can help me choose the right city for an Irish Pub?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Irish Pubs across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Irish Pubs, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether an Irish Pub will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →


Which US city has the best survivability for Irish Pubs?

Portland ranks as the #1 city in the US for Irish Pubs survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 82% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Portland, an Irish Pub has approximately a 82% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring


Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Portland, San Antonio, St Louis, Charlotte, Orlando, Atlanta, Baltimore, Detroit, Dallas, Phoenix, Tampa Bay, San Diego, San Francisco, Minneapolis, Houston, Denver, Seattle, Miami, Los Angeles, Boston, Chicago, Washington DC, Philadelphia, New York City.