City Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for African Restaurants across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for an African Restaurant to succeed.
Quick Summary
- The highest-survivability city for African Restaurant is St Louis — 85% average survivability
- 11 of 11 analyzed US metros score above 70% for African Restaurant survivability
- The lowest-ranked city is Atlanta at 79%
- National average survivability score for African Restaurant: 81.4%
- Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 11 US metro areas · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- Top Cities for African Restaurants
- Key Insights
- What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
- Related Resources
- How current is this ranking?
- Can an African Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
- What tools can help me choose the right city for an African Restaurant?
- Which US city has the best survivability for African Restaurant?
Summary
According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, St Louis ranks as the #1 city for opening an African Restaurant in the United States, with an average 85% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are Tampa Bay with 84%, and Portland with 83%. Among the 11 major US metros we track for African Restaurants, 7 exceed 80% survivability — a meaningful share reflecting the category's durability in strong markets. However, the specific location is very important — there are excellent locations even in neighborhoods that might not appear to be a great fit at the city level. Pair these survivability scores with StreetSpring's live tool to get a real-time view before making a final decision.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →
African Restaurant city survivability rankings — St Louis leads among 11 US metros at 85% in 2026
Top 10 Cities for African Restaurants
Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 11 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for African Restaurants:
1. St Louis
- Best locations: 91.1% – 99.0%
- Average locations: 82.0% – 86.4%
- Challenging locations: 63.0% – 78.1%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in St Louis →
2. Tampa Bay
- Best locations: 90.6% – 99.0%
- Average locations: 81.9% – 85.6%
- Challenging locations: 68.0% – 79.1%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Tampa Bay →
3. Portland
- Best locations: 89.6% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 80.8% – 84.6%
- Challenging locations: 66.0% – 77.8%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Portland →
4. Charlotte
- Best locations: 89.9% – 99.0%
- Average locations: 79.9% – 84.5%
- Challenging locations: 61.0% – 76.0%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Charlotte →
5. Denver
- Best locations: 88.5% – 96.0%
- Average locations: 80.0% – 83.9%
- Challenging locations: 63.0% – 76.5%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Denver →
6. San Antonio
- Best locations: 89.2% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 80.1% – 83.9%
- Challenging locations: 66.0% – 77.2%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in San Antonio →
7. Chicago
- Best locations: 88.7% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 79.2% – 83.1%
- Challenging locations: 65.0% – 76.3%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Chicago →
8. San Diego
- Best locations: 87.6% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 77.6% – 81.9%
- Challenging locations: 61.0% – 74.2%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in San Diego →
9. Philadelphia
- Best locations: 87.6% – 98.0%
- Average locations: 76.7% – 81.4%
- Challenging locations: 59.0% – 73.1%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Philadelphia →
10. Baltimore
- Best locations: 87.1% – 97.0%
- Average locations: 77.2% – 81.2%
- Challenging locations: 64.0% – 74.5%
- Explore African Restaurant neighborhoods in Baltimore →
Key Insights
Wide variation between cities: The difference between the #1 city (St Louis at 84.6%) and the #10 city (Baltimore at 79.0%) is 5.6 percentage points. This 0.8-point spread between #1 and #2 city suggests meaningful geographic variation in African Restaurants viability — city selection matters significantly for this category.
Strong performers: 7 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for African Restaurants.
National average: Across all 11 analyzed cities, the average survivability for an African Restaurant is 81.4%.
What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor African Restaurants:
- Strong survivability signals: St Louis leads with a 85% average survivability score for African Restaurants — significantly above the national average for this business category.
- Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for African Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
- Consumer demand signals: StreetSpring's data captures foot traffic patterns, competitor review velocity, and demographic fit — all pointing toward sustained demand for African Restaurants in these markets.
- Foot traffic infrastructure: High-scoring cities combine transit access, walkable commercial corridors, and anchor tenants that drive consistent daily traffic past storefronts.
Our analysis draws on millions of commercial real estate data points to deliver survivability predictions trusted by professionals nationwide. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. StreetSpring uses its own proprietary forecasting tools to make these predictions.
Related Resources
City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in St Louis
- Business Survivability Rankings: St Louis
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in Tampa Bay
- Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in Portland
- Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in Charlotte
- Business Survivability Rankings: Charlotte
- Survivability Rankings for African Restaurant in Denver
- Business Survivability Rankings: Denver
National guides:
- National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for African Restaurants
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: St Louis
How current is this ranking?
Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for African Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.
Can an African Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open African Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. African Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.
What tools can help me choose the right city for an African Restaurant?
StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for African Restaurants across all 11 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for African Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether an African Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.
Try the Survivability Score tool →
Which US city has the best survivability for African Restaurant?
St Louis ranks as the #1 city in the US for African Restaurant survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average score of 85%. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in St Louis, an African Restaurant has approximately a 85% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. Tampa Bay ranks second, followed by Portland. The full ranking reflects data across 11 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 25 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and foot traffic data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 11 major US metropolitan areas: St Louis, Tampa Bay, Portland, Charlotte, Denver, San Antonio, Chicago, San Diego, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Atlanta.