Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in Washington DC
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Washington DC to open a Smoke Shop, from Lyon Village (79% survival) to Navy Yard...
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Lyon Village — 79% average survivability for Smoke Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 58 of 59 analyzed
- City-wide average: 77% for Smoke Shops
- Most challenging area: Navy Yard at 75%
- Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~6.3% more expected revenue in Lyon Village
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Opening a Smoke Shop in Washington DC? Our 2026 analysis identifies Lyon Village as the top location with 79% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 81% and the most challenging locations in Lyon Village at 75%. The worst neighborhoods include Navy Yard with 75% average chance. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation — always check your specific address.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Washington DC to Open a Smoke Shop?
Lyon Village ranks #1 of 59 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Washington DC for Smoke Shop survivability, with a 79% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Average Locations | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon Village | 77.0% – 81.0% | 80.0% – 81.0% | 75.0% – 76.0% |
| 2 | Nauck | 77.0% – 81.0% | 80.0% – 82.0% | 76.0% – 78.0% |
| 3 | Lyon Park | 76.0% – 81.0% | 79.0% – 81.0% | 75.0% – 77.0% |
| 4 | Trinidad | 76.0% – 81.0% | 80.0% – 81.0% | 74.0% – 76.0% |
| 5 | Kalorama | 76.0% – 81.0% | 79.0% – 80.0% | 76.0% – 78.0% |
| 6 | Takoma | 76.0% – 81.0% | 80.0% – 81.0% | 75.0% – 77.0% |
| 7 | Logan Circle | 76.0% – 81.0% | 79.0% – 80.0% | 76.0% – 78.0% |
| 8 | Penrose | 76.0% – 81.0% | 80.0% – 81.0% | 75.0% – 76.0% |
| 9 | Dupont Circle | 76.0% – 81.0% | 79.0% – 80.0% | 75.0% – 76.0% |
| 10 | High View Park | 76.0% – 81.0% | 79.0% – 80.0% | 75.0% – 76.0% |
Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation — always check your specific address. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around Washington DC Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
In Lyon Village, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~6.3% more than the average location in or around Washington DC.
On the other hand, in Navy Yard, the worst possible location could result in making ~6.7% less than the average location in the city.
The difference between success and failure often comes down to where you sign the lease. Opening a Smoke Shop in Washington DC requires careful location choice. Across 59 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Smoke Shop is 77% for lasting more than 2 years — due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Survivability predictions are business-type-specific because consumer behavior differs fundamentally across categories.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around Washington DC?
When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around Washington DC, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. A high Revenue Capture Score is the clearest signal that a location can sustain a profitable business. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. Our data shows that businesses in moderately competitive clusters survive longer than isolated storefronts on average. These insights come from StreetSpring's exclusive, in-house forecasting models. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
Where in or Around Washington DC Should I Start a Smoke Shop?
StreetSpring's analysis shows the best areas are Lyon Village, Nauck, and Lyon Park, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Navy Yard, The Palisades, and Anacostia. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
- National City Survivability: Smoke Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Smoke Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Washington DC to Open a Smoke Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in Washington DC is Lyon Village with 79% average survivability, followed by Nauck and Lyon Park. 58 of 59 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.
Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.
Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Washington DC?
Yes — neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation — your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in Washington DC Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Washington DC.
Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for Washington DC Landlords?
In Lyon Village, StreetSpring forecasts a 77.0% – 81.0% average chance for a new Smoke Shop to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in Washington DC
From a risk-assessment perspective, a Smoke Shop tenant in Lyon Village carries the lowest risk with average survivability of 77.0% – 81.0%. Nauck presents moderate risk (77.0% – 81.0%), and Lyon Park carries comparatively higher risk at 76.0% – 81.0%. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.
StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Washington DC for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Washington DC to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC — See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in Washington DC
- Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US — National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
- Business Survivability in Lyon Village, Washington DC — All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Nauck, Washington DC — All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Lyon Park, Washington DC — All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Washington DC
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.