How much more revenue can a Grocery Store make in the best vs. average Washington DC neighborhood?

In Arlandria/Chirilagua, the best possible Grocery Store location in Washington DC offers approximately 7.0% more expected revenue than the average location. The worst-performing neighborhoods could yield approximately 15.0% less than average.

What is the city-wide average survivability for Grocery Store in Washington DC?

The city-wide average survivability for Grocery Store across Washington DC is 77% for surviving more than 2 years. Top neighborhoods like Arlandria/Chirilagua substantially outperform this average, reaching 79%.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Grocery Store in Washington DC?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Washington DC for Grocery Store include King Street Metro/Eisenhower Avenue with 72% average survival chance, Southwest Quadrant, and Taylor Run/Duke Street. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.

What should I consider when opening a Grocery Store in Washington DC?

When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Grocery Store survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for 500+ business types.

Survivability Rankings for Grocery Store in Washington DC

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Washington DC to open a Grocery Store?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Washington DC to open a Grocery Store is Arlandria/Chirilagua, with 79% average survivability. 119 of 129 neighborhoods analyzed exceed the 70% two-year survival threshold.

Q: Can a Grocery Store succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Washington DC?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Washington DC to open a Grocery Store, from Arlandria/Chirilagua (79% survival) t...

September 25, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Arlandria/Chirilagua: 79% average survivability for Grocery Store

Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 119 of 129 analyzed

City-wide average: 77% for Grocery Stores

Most challenging area: King Street Metro/Eisenhower Avenue at 72%

Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~7.0% more expected revenue in Arlandria/Chirilagua

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Grocery Store Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Grocery Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Grocery Store a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Washington DC to open a Grocery Store is Arlandria/Chirilagua with 79% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 82% and the most challenging locations in Arlandria/Chirilagua at 76%. The worst neighborhoods include King Street Metro/Eisenhower Avenue with 72% average chance. Our data shows that roughly 15% of top-performing locations sit in neighborhoods ranked below the city median.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Washington DC to Open a Grocery Store?

Arlandria/Chirilagua ranks #1 of 129 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Washington DC for Grocery Store survivability, with a 79% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	At a good address	Average Locations	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Arlandria/Chirilagua	81.0%	77.0% to 81.0%	81.0% to 82.0%	75.0% to 77.0%
2	Sudley	81.0%	74.0% to 79.0%	81.0% to 83.0%	67.0% to 68.0%
3	Friendship Heights	80.8%	77.0% to 81.0%	81.0% to 82.0%	73.0% to 75.0%
4	Shepherd Park	80.7%	76.0% to 81.0%	81.0% to 82.0%	75.0% to 77.0%
5	Old Town North	80.7%	76.0% to 80.0%	80.0% to 82.0%	74.0% to 76.0%
6	Foxcroft Heights	80.5%	77.0% to 81.0%	80.0% to 81.0%	75.0% to 77.0%
7	American University Park	80.5%	77.0% to 81.0%	81.0% to 83.0%	75.0% to 76.0%
8	Stronghold	80.4%	76.0% to 81.0%	80.0% to 81.0%	76.0% to 77.0%
9	Potomac Yard/Potomac Greens	80.4%	76.0% to 80.0%	81.0% to 83.0%	72.0% to 74.0%
10	Brookland	80.2%	76.0% to 81.0%	80.0% to 82.0%	73.0% to 75.0%

Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Washington DC Would a Grocery Store Make the Most Money?

In Arlandria/Chirilagua, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~7.0% more than the average location in or around Washington DC.

On the other hand, in King Street Metro/Eisenhower Avenue, the worst possible location could result in making ~15.0% less than the average location in the city.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Grocery Store in Washington DC requires careful location choice. Across 129 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Grocery Store is 77% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Two businesses on the same block can have very different survivability scores depending on their category.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Grocery Store in or Around Washington DC?

When selecting a location for a Grocery Store in or around Washington DC, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our forecasting engine processes data from over 24 metro areas covering 180+ million consumers. A certain density of competitors signals strong demand and can benefit all businesses. These results are powered by exclusive algorithms trained on one of the largest commercial real estate datasets in the U.S. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Where in or Around Washington DC Should I Start a Grocery Store?

The neighborhoods with the highest survivability for this business type are Arlandria/Chirilagua, Sudley, and Friendship Heights, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be King Street Metro/Eisenhower Avenue, Southwest Quadrant, and Taylor Run/Duke Street. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC
National City Survivability: Grocery Store
National Neighborhood Survivability: Grocery Store

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Washington DC to Open a Grocery Store?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Grocery Store in Washington DC is Arlandria/Chirilagua with 79% average survivability, followed by Sudley and Friendship Heights. 119 of 129 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Can a Grocery Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Washington DC?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Grocery Store Rankings in Washington DC Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Washington DC.

Is a Grocery Store a Good Tenant for Washington DC Landlords?

In Arlandria/Chirilagua, StreetSpring forecasts a 77.0% to 81.0% average chance for a new Grocery Store to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Grocery Store in Washington DC

Reducing vacancy starts with choosing tenants whose business type matches the neighborhood's strengths. For Grocery Store tenants, Arlandria/Chirilagua provides the best survivability conditions (77.0% to 81.0%). Sudley and Friendship Heights also show viable averages at 74.0% to 79.0% and 77.0% to 81.0% respectively. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.

Our models produce survivability scores at the individual address level, not just neighborhood averages.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Washington DC for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Washington DC to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Washington DC.

Business Survivability Rankings: Washington DC: See how Grocery Store compares to all other business types in Washington DC
Best Cities to Open a Grocery Store in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Grocery Store
Business Survivability in Arlandria/Chirilagua, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Sudley, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Friendship Heights, Washington DC: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Washington DC

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

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