Business Survivability in Shepherd Park, Washington DC
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Shepherd Park is a Grocery Store with a ~78% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average.
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- Best business: a Grocery Store in Shepherd Park (~78% average survival rate, ~82% at best locations)
- Neighborhood rank: #50 across all neighborhoods in and around Washington DC
- Neighborhood average: ~77% two-year survival across all business types
- Coverage: This ranking carries one row per business type and neighborhood. Its score is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, averaged across the price points StreetSpring scores separately in the tool (most types have 5). The 10 business types here are base types; the tool offers 500+ business types, counting each type at each of its price points.
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: September 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
In this article:
- Summary
- Is Shepherd Park a good place to start a business?
- How to find the best location
- Best businesses to open
- How much money could a business make?
- What businesses should open next?
- Frequently Asked Questions
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Shepherd Park is a Grocery Store with a ~78% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average, with the best locations offering a ~82% chance; next is a Liquor Store with a 78.54% chance, followed by an American Restaurant with a 78.37% chance.
Is Shepherd Park a good place to start a business?
Shepherd Park earns the #50 spot in Washington DC for new business survivability, with an average score of ~77% across all business types analyzed.
- The most promising business types in the best locations score a ~10% higher chance of surviving 2 years than the average.
- But at poorly chosen addresses within Shepherd Park, even the top-ranked business types can fall well below the neighborhood average. Location selection remains critical — a promising concept at the wrong spot still carries significant risk.
- The 6.4% commercial vacancy rate in Shepherd Park is a leading indicator of the neighborhood's business health; StreetSpring factors this directly into each business type's survivability score.
Employment and vacancy figures sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey.
How can you find the best location to open a business in Shepherd Park?
StreetSpring narrows the decision down to the exact address — showing which blocks in Shepherd Park produce the highest survivability scores for your concept. This is the address StreetSpring's 2026 analysis recommends most strongly for a Grocery Store in Shepherd Park:
The highlighted area represents the address in Shepherd Park that StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks highest for a Grocery Store survivability. Neighborhood-level averages are a starting point — the exact address will determine your actual survivability score. StreetSpring's scoring incorporates hundreds of inputs, including competitive quality and density, projected consumer spending, Revenue Capture Score, and local demand patterns.
Check if this location is still available →
What are the best businesses to open in Shepherd Park?
| # | Business type | Chance of lasting two or more years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grocery Store | 78.57% |
| 2 | Liquor Store | 78.54% |
| 3 | American Restaurant | 78.37% |
| 4 | Brunch Restaurant | 78.10% |
| 5 | Deli | 77.94% |
| 6 | Gym | 77.82% |
| 7 | Smoke Shop | 77.44% |
| 8 | Coffee Shop | 75.77% |
| 9 | Dessert Shop | 75.62% |
| 10 | Beauty Salon | 74.59% |
#1-5: Highest Survivability in Shepherd Park
- Grocery Store is ranked #1 for top businesses to open in Shepherd Park: 78.57% chance on average, best at ~82%, challenging at ~76%.
- Liquor Store — ~74%–~82% survivability range, with an average of 78.54% across Shepherd Park.
- Opening an American Restaurant in Shepherd Park shows 78.37% average survivability. Top locations reach ~81%; lower-end sites show ~76%.
- Brunch Restaurant (Ranked #4): 78.10% average in Shepherd Park. Best-case storefronts: ~80%. Challenging locations: ~75%.
- Deli is ranked #5 for top businesses to open in Shepherd Park: 77.94% chance on average, best at ~80%, challenging at ~75%.
#6-10: Strong Performers in Shepherd Park
- Gym — ~75%–~81% survivability range, with an average of 77.82% across Shepherd Park.
- Opening a Smoke Shop in Shepherd Park shows 77.44% average survivability. Top locations reach ~80%; lower-end sites show ~75%.
- Coffee Shop (Ranked #8): 75.77% average in Shepherd Park. Best-case storefronts: ~79%. Challenging locations: ~73%.
- Dessert Shop is ranked #9 for top businesses to open in Shepherd Park: 75.62% chance on average, best at ~79%, challenging at ~73%.
- Beauty Salon — ~70%–~77% survivability range, with an average of 74.59% across Shepherd Park.
Top 3 Compared Nationally
- Grocery Store — See how this compares to other cities →
- Liquor Store — See how this compares to other cities →
- American Restaurant — See how this compares to other cities →
How much money could a business in Shepherd Park make?
Best location vs. average location
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, choosing an address that maximizes your Revenue Capture Score in Shepherd Park could lead to you making ~10% more than if you selected an average location, and ~19% more than if you selected one of the worst locations.
How StreetSpring calculates location value
- Every business type has unique location requirements that must be considered.
- Where you open matters more than anything else.
- Maximizing your Survivability Score is the most reliable path to profitability.
- StreetSpring gives you a precise survivability probability for any specific address and business type combination, not a generalized estimate.
What businesses should open next in Shepherd Park?
The top businesses to open next in Shepherd Park:
- Grocery Stores — 78.57% average survival rate, ~82% at the best address
- Liquor Stores — 78.54% average survival rate
- American Restaurants — 78.37% average survival rate
Neighborhood-level averages are a starting point — the exact address will determine your actual survivability score. Our training data spans 500+ business types across 24 major metros, giving our models the breadth to predict outcomes across nearly any commercial concept. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool. The 96.4% employment rate in Shepherd Park is a key signal of consumer health; when combined with the 6.4% vacancy rate, it produces a competitive landscape that favors the business types ranked above. Survivability scores are live, not static — StreetSpring updates them weekly. Visit the tool to see what's currently available in Shepherd Park and how each address is scoring right now.
See the Survivability Score for your new business
Related Articles:
- See the Washington DC Business Survivability Rankings
- See the Washington DC Neighborhood Survivability Rankings
- Explore Grocery Store survivability across Washington DC neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
Here are the most common questions about opening a business in Shepherd Park.
What type of business should you rent your Shepherd Park storefront to?
According to StreetSpring's 2026 data, the strongest tenant types for a storefront in Shepherd Park are Grocery Stores, Liquor Stores, and American Restaurants.
- Where you open matters more than anything else.
- StreetSpring gives you a precise survivability probability for any specific address and business type combination, not a generalized estimate. With StreetSpring, you can rank every potential tenant type by survivability score at your property address before committing to a lease.
Related: See How Landlord Representatives in Washington DC Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
Should you rent your Shepherd Park storefront to a Grocery Store?
Yes — our 2026 model places a Grocery Store at the top of the survivability rankings for Shepherd Park storefronts, with a best-case score of ~82% and a floor of ~76% at the most challenging addresses.
- StreetSpring gives you a precise survivability probability for any specific address and business type combination, not a generalized estimate.
What should I consider when opening a business in Shepherd Park?
StreetSpring's Survivability Score for your Shepherd Park address is the clearest forward-looking indicator of whether your business will be operating two years from now — make it the first number you check.
- StreetSpring's analysis consistently shows Revenue Capture Score predicts survival odds more accurately than demographic data or foot traffic estimates alone.
- StreetSpring's forecasting tools are purpose-built for commercial location decisions and are not available through any publicly accessible data source.
- StreetSpring is free to use — see the current survivability score for any address in Shepherd Park right now.
See the best place for your business at StreetSpring.
StreetSpring's AI platform has analyzed thousands of business openings to identify success patterns. Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
Full dataset for Washington DC: /resources/data/washington-dc-survivability-scores-2026.csv — includes all business subtypes, all neighborhoods, survivability scores, and tier assignments. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.