Business Survivability in Navy Yard, Washington DC
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Navy Yard is a Clothing Store with a 82.3% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average.
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- Best business: a Clothing Store in Navy Yard (82.3% Typical, 89.6% Best)
- Neighborhood rank: #48 of 129 neighborhoods in and around Washington DC
- Neighborhood average: 72.2% two-year survival across the business types ranked here
- Coverage: This ranking carries one row per business type and neighborhood. Its score is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, averaged across the price points StreetSpring scores separately in the tool (most types have 5). The 10 business types here are base types; the tool offers 500+ business types, counting each type at each of its price points.
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: November 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
In this article:
- Summary
- Is Navy Yard a good place to start a business?
- How to find the best location
- Best businesses to open
- How much money could a business make?
- What businesses should open next?
- Frequently Asked Questions
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Navy Yard is a Clothing Store with a 82.3% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average, and 89.6% Best; next is a Chiropractor Office with 89.5% Best, followed by a Bar with 89.5% Best.
Is Navy Yard a good place to start a business?
Navy Yard is ranked number 48 of 129 neighborhoods in and around Washington DC to start a business, with an average 72.2% chance of lasting two or more years across the business types ranked there.
- For the top-ranked business type, 89.6% Best is 7.3 points above 82.3% Typical in Navy Yard.
- Still, those same business types at weaker addresses in Navy Yard can score well below the neighborhood mean. Even the most viable concept here requires the right address to reach its potential.
- Navy Yard's employment rate of 95.2% and housing vacancy rate of 13.8% are two of the Census inputs StreetSpring's model reads for this neighborhood.
Employment and housing vacancy figures sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey.
How can you find the best location to open a business in Navy Yard?
Using StreetSpring, you can identify the exact address in Navy Yard that gives your specific business concept the highest survivability score. Here is the top survivability address for a Clothing Store in Navy Yard, per StreetSpring's 2026 model:
This map shows the optimal location for a Clothing Store in Navy Yard based on StreetSpring's 2026 survivability analysis. Even the best-ranked neighborhoods contain locations that underperform, and the worst-ranked ones have hidden gems. The prediction model incorporates hundreds of location-specific factors, including competitive density, forecasted consumer spending, mobility patterns, and Revenue Capture Score.
Check if this location is still available →
What are the best businesses to open in Navy Yard?
| Rank | Business type | Best | Typical | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clothing Store | 89.6% | 82.3% | 77.0% |
| 2 | Chiropractor Office | 89.5% | 85.0% | 80.6% |
| 3 | Bar | 89.5% | 84.0% | 78.2% |
| 4 | Convenience Store | 89.3% | 81.9% | 76.7% |
| 5 | Cafe | 89.2% | 82.2% | 76.5% |
| 6 | Hair Salon | 88.1% | 78.4% | 73.1% |
| 7 | Coffee Shop | 87.8% | 77.9% | 72.4% |
| 8 | Gym | 87.7% | 78.3% | 73.2% |
| 9 | Veterinary Clinic | 85.9% | 79.7% | 73.5% |
| 10 | Dentist Office | 84.7% | 78.8% | 73.0% |
Best and Worst are the average results for the better and the worse of two addresses picked at random in the place: a weighted average of every scored location in which the best locations count the most for Best and the weakest count the most for Worst. Typical is the average address. Best is shown for a smaller space (half the standard size) and Worst for a larger one (half again as large), at the metro's median asking rent, using the same rent rule as our tool; Typical is at the market rent.
Highest Survivability in Navy Yard
- #1 Clothing Store: 82.3% Typical across Navy Yard; Best 89.6%, Worst 77.0%.
- #2 Opening a Chiropractor Office in Navy Yard shows 85.0% Typical survivability, 89.5% Best and 80.6% Worst.
- #3 Bar (Ranked #3): 84.0% Typical in Navy Yard. Best: 89.5%. Worst: 78.2%.
- #4 Convenience Store is ranked #4 for top businesses to open in Navy Yard: 81.9% Typical, 89.3% Best, 76.7% Worst.
- #5 Cafe: 82.2% Typical across Navy Yard; Best 89.2%, Worst 76.5%.
Strong Performers in Navy Yard
- #6 Opening a Hair Salon in Navy Yard shows 78.4% Typical survivability, 88.1% Best and 73.1% Worst.
- #7 Coffee Shop (Ranked #7): 77.9% Typical in Navy Yard. Best: 87.8%. Worst: 72.4%.
- #8 Gym is ranked #8 for top businesses to open in Navy Yard: 78.3% Typical, 87.7% Best, 73.2% Worst.
- #9 Veterinary Clinic: 79.7% Typical across Navy Yard; Best 85.9%, Worst 73.5%.
- #10 Opening a Dentist Office in Navy Yard shows 78.8% Typical survivability, 84.7% Best and 73.0% Worst.
Top 3 Compared Nationally
- Clothing Store: See how this compares to other cities →
- Chiropractor Office: See how this compares to other cities →
- Bar: See how this compares to other cities →
How much money could a business in Navy Yard make?
Best location vs. average location
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, prioritizing survivability score in your site-selection process in Navy Yard starts with the Revenue Capture Score, the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address.
How StreetSpring calculates location value
- However, each business concept should be evaluated for fit within each potential location.
- Where you open is a decision you can measure before you sign.
- Compare the Revenue Capture Score of each shortlisted address first: it is the top factor in choosing a location, and it estimates the revenue a business can capture there.
- StreetSpring gives you a precise survivability probability for any specific address and business type combination, not a generalized estimate.
What businesses should open next in Navy Yard?
The top businesses to open next in Navy Yard:
- Clothing Stores: 82.3% Typical, 89.6% Best
- Chiropractor Offices: 85.0% Typical, 89.5% Best
- Bars: 84.0% Typical, 89.5% Best
Even the best-ranked neighborhoods contain locations that underperform, and the worst-ranked ones have hidden gems. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool. The 13.8% housing vacancy rate in Navy Yard describes the neighborhood as a whole; survivability still depends heavily on choosing the right address within it. Survivability scores are live, not static: StreetSpring updates them regularly. Visit the tool to see what's currently available in Navy Yard and how each address is scoring right now.
See the Survivability Score for your new business
Related Articles:
- See the Washington DC Business Survivability Rankings
- See the Washington DC Neighborhood Survivability Rankings
- Explore Clothing Store survivability across Washington DC neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
Here are the most common questions about opening a business in Navy Yard.
What type of business should you rent your Navy Yard storefront to?
According to StreetSpring's 2026 data, the strongest tenant types for a storefront in Navy Yard are Clothing Stores, Chiropractor Offices, and Bars.
- Where you open is a decision you can measure before you sign.
- StreetSpring gives you a precise survivability probability for any specific address and business type combination, not a generalized estimate. StreetSpring's tool, free for a 10-minute trial, lets you check the survivability score for any business type at any address in Navy Yard: a powerful filter when evaluating prospective tenants.
Related: See How Landlord Representatives in Washington DC Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
Should you rent your Navy Yard storefront to a Clothing Store?
According to our 2026 survivability model, a Clothing Store leads all business categories for Navy Yard landlords: 89.6% Best and 77.0% Worst.
- StreetSpring gives you a precise survivability probability for any specific address and business type combination, not a generalized estimate.
What should I consider when opening a business in Navy Yard?
Don't commit to a storefront in Navy Yard without first checking its Survivability Score: two addresses on the same block can carry different projected chances.
- The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address.
- The underlying models are StreetSpring's own: built, trained, and maintained using data external platforms cannot access.
- StreetSpring offers a free 10-minute trial of its survivability scores: see how your shortlisted Navy Yard addresses rank right now.
See the best place for your business at StreetSpring.
StreetSpring's AI platform has studied businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans, giving its predictions a scale of validation unmatched in site-selection tools. Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
Full dataset for Washington DC: /resources/data/washington-dc-survivability-scores-2026.csv: includes all business subtypes, all neighborhoods, survivability scores, and tier assignments. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.