Business Survivability in Barcroft, Washington DC
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Barcroft is a Physical Therapy Clinic with a ~83% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average.
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- Best business: a Physical Therapy Clinic in Barcroft (~83% average survival rate, ~85% at best locations)
- Neighborhood rank: #43 across all neighborhoods in and around Washington DC
- Neighborhood average: ~78% two-year survival across all business types
- Coverage: This ranking carries one row per business type and neighborhood. Its score is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, averaged across the price points StreetSpring scores separately in the tool (most types have 5). The 10 business types here are base types; the tool offers 500+ business types, counting each type at each of its price points.
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: September 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
In this article:
- Summary
- Is Barcroft a good place to start a business?
- How to find the best location
- Best businesses to open
- How much money could a business make?
- What businesses should open next?
- Frequently Asked Questions
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Barcroft is a Physical Therapy Clinic with a ~83% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average, with the best locations offering a ~85% chance; next is a Mediterranean Restaurant with a 79.11% chance, followed by an Afghan Restaurant with a 78.25% chance.
Is Barcroft a good place to start a business?
In Washington DC's neighborhood survivability rankings, Barcroft comes in at #43, with an average Survivability Score of ~78% across all business types.
- The top business types in Barcroft, when placed at their ideal addresses, achieve survivability rates ~5% above the neighborhood-wide average.
- However, those same business types at the weakest addresses in Barcroft can score considerably below average. Even the most in-demand concept in Barcroft will struggle if it opens at the wrong address.
- Barcroft's employment rate of 98.8% and commercial vacancy of 1.3% are two of the inputs StreetSpring's model uses to differentiate survivability within this neighborhood.
Employment and vacancy figures sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey.
How can you find the best location to open a business in Barcroft?
StreetSpring's address-level analysis reveals which specific storefronts in Barcroft offer the strongest survivability odds for your business type. Of all available storefronts analyzed in Barcroft, StreetSpring ranks this area highest for a Physical Therapy Clinic in 2026:
This map shows the optimal location for a Physical Therapy Clinic in Barcroft based on StreetSpring's 2026 survivability analysis. Market conditions are changing daily, and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. The prediction model incorporates hundreds of location-specific factors, including competitive density, forecasted consumer spending, mobility patterns, and Revenue Capture Score.
Check if this location is still available →
What are the best businesses to open in Barcroft?
| # | Business type | Chance of lasting two or more years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Physical Therapy Clinic | 82.95% |
| 2 | Mediterranean Restaurant | 79.11% |
| 3 | Afghan Restaurant | 78.25% |
| 4 | Steakhouse | 77.84% |
| 5 | Dance Club | 77.71% |
| 6 | Smoke Shop | 76.78% |
| 7 | Coffee Shop | 76.76% |
| 8 | Dessert Shop | 76.41% |
| 9 | Seafood Restaurant | 76.34% |
| 10 | Gym | 75.84% |
#1-5: Highest Survivability in Barcroft
- Physical Therapy Clinic (Ranked #1): 82.95% average in Barcroft. Best-case storefronts: ~85%. Challenging locations: ~80%.
- Mediterranean Restaurant is ranked #2 for top businesses to open in Barcroft: 79.11% chance on average, best at ~80%, challenging at ~77%.
- Afghan Restaurant — ~75%–~80% survivability range, with an average of 78.25% across Barcroft.
- Opening a Steakhouse in Barcroft shows 77.84% average survivability. Top locations reach ~80%; lower-end sites show ~75%.
- Dance Club (Ranked #5): 77.71% average in Barcroft. Best-case storefronts: ~80%. Challenging locations: ~76%.
#6-10: Strong Performers in Barcroft
- Smoke Shop is ranked #6 for top businesses to open in Barcroft: 76.78% chance on average, best at ~79%, challenging at ~75%.
- Coffee Shop — ~73%–~80% survivability range, with an average of 76.76% across Barcroft.
- Opening a Dessert Shop in Barcroft shows 76.41% average survivability. Top locations reach ~79%; lower-end sites show ~74%.
- Seafood Restaurant (Ranked #9): 76.34% average in Barcroft. Best-case storefronts: ~79%. Challenging locations: ~74%.
- Gym is ranked #10 for top businesses to open in Barcroft: 75.84% chance on average, best at ~79%, challenging at ~73%.
Top 3 Compared Nationally
- Physical Therapy Clinic — See how this compares to other cities →
- Mediterranean Restaurant — See how this compares to other cities →
- Afghan Restaurant — See how this compares to other cities →
How much money could a business in Barcroft make?
Best location vs. average location
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, selecting a storefront that StreetSpring ranks in the top tier for your business type in Barcroft could lead to you making ~5% more than if you selected an average location, and ~14% more than if you selected one of the worst locations.
How StreetSpring calculates location value
- StreetSpring calculates survivability for each business type separately at each address — so the best location for your concept may differ from the neighborhood's overall top-ranked site.
- Location shapes survivability more than branding, pricing, or operational quality — the data is unambiguous on this point.
- StreetSpring has found that selecting the location with the highest survivability score for a business is the best way to maximize the amount of money you will make.
- StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for 500+ business types.
What businesses should open next in Barcroft?
The top businesses to open next in Barcroft:
- Physical Therapy Clinics — 82.95% average survival rate, ~85% at the best address
- Mediterranean Restaurants — 79.11% average survival rate
- Afghan Restaurants — 78.25% average survival rate
Market conditions are changing daily, and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Every prediction draws on a dataset of millions of business openings, closures, and lifecycle events across the U.S. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool. StreetSpring's model accounts for Barcroft's 98.8% employment rate when projecting survivability — businesses reliant on discretionary spend benefit disproportionately in well-employed neighborhoods. StreetSpring refreshes survivability scores every week to reflect new competition and updated spending data — see which locations in Barcroft are available right now and how they rank.
See the Survivability Score for your new business
Related Articles:
- See the Washington DC Business Survivability Rankings
- See the Washington DC Neighborhood Survivability Rankings
- Explore Physical Therapy Clinic survivability across Washington DC neighborhoods
Frequently Asked Questions
Here are the most common questions about opening a business in Barcroft.
What type of business should you rent your Barcroft storefront to?
Based on 2026 survivability scores across all business types in Barcroft, the top three tenant categories for landlords are Physical Therapy Clinics, Mediterranean Restaurants, and Afghan Restaurants.
- Location shapes survivability more than branding, pricing, or operational quality — the data is unambiguous on this point.
- StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for 500+ business types. StreetSpring can show you which specific address in your portfolio scores highest for each tenant type.
Related: See How Landlord Representatives in Washington DC Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
Should you rent your Barcroft storefront to a Physical Therapy Clinic?
According to our 2026 survivability model, a Physical Therapy Clinic leads all business categories for Barcroft landlords — ~85% at the best addresses and ~80% at the most challenging ones in this neighborhood.
- StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for 500+ business types.
What should I consider when opening a business in Barcroft?
The Survivability Score for your specific address in Barcroft is the most reliable signal you have before signing a lease — prioritize it above foot traffic estimates and demographic summaries.
- StreetSpring's analysis consistently shows Revenue Capture Score predicts survival odds more accurately than demographic data or foot traffic estimates alone.
- Every survivability score is produced by StreetSpring's private prediction engine — not available through any other platform.
- StreetSpring's address-level survivability data is available free of charge — start with your top candidate locations in Barcroft.
See the best place for your business at StreetSpring.
StreetSpring analyzes millions of data points with AI to forecast business survivability. Aggregated survivability rankings for Washington DC are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
Full dataset for Washington DC: /resources/data/washington-dc-survivability-scores-2026.csv — includes all business subtypes, all neighborhoods, survivability scores, and tier assignments. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.