What is the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Smoke Shop is Terrace Park, with 80% average survivability. 3 of 3 neighborhoods analyzed exceed the 70% two-year survival threshold.

How much more revenue can a Smoke Shop make in the best vs. average Tampa Bay neighborhood?

In Terrace Park, the best possible Smoke Shop location in Tampa Bay offers approximately 3.0% more expected revenue than the average location. The worst-performing neighborhoods could yield approximately 2.6% less than average.

What is the city-wide average survivability for Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay?

The city-wide average survivability for Smoke Shop across Tampa Bay is 79% for surviving more than 2 years. Top neighborhoods like Terrace Park substantially outperform this average, reaching 80%.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Tampa Bay for Smoke Shop include North Hyde Park with 78% average survival chance, Plaza Terrace, and Terrace Park. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation — your exact block could significantly outperform.

What should I consider when opening a Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay?

Revenue Capture Score is the single best indicator of whether a business will thrive at a location. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay

Q: Can a Smoke Shop succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes — neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to open a Smoke Shop, from Terrace Park (80% survival) to North Hyde Pa...

September 22, 2026•12 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Terrace Park — 80% average survivability for Smoke Shop

Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 3 of 3 analyzed

City-wide average: 79% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: North Hyde Park at 78%

Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~3.0% more expected revenue in Terrace Park

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay, Terrace Park ranks #1 for opening a Smoke Shop with 80% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 84% and the most challenging locations in Terrace Park at 76%. The worst neighborhoods include North Hyde Park with 78% average chance. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open a Smoke Shop?

Terrace Park ranks #1 of 3 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Tampa Bay for Smoke Shop survivability, with a 80% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Average Locations	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Terrace Park	78.0% – 82.0%	82.0% – 84.0%	76.0% – 78.0%
2	Plaza Terrace	76.0% – 81.0%	81.0% – 83.0%	73.0% – 75.0%
3	North Hyde Park	76.0% – 80.0%	79.0% – 81.0%	74.0% – 76.0%

These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

In Terrace Park, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~3.0% more than the average location in or around Tampa Bay.

On the other hand, in North Hyde Park, the worst possible location could result in making ~2.6% less than the average location in the city.

Your choice of location outweighs almost every other business decision combined. Opening a Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across 3 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Smoke Shop is 79% for lasting more than 2 years — due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. The same location can be excellent for one business type and poor for another.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around Tampa Bay?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score is the single best indicator of whether a business will thrive at a location. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our analysis covers businesses serving the 24 largest metros in America. Our data shows that businesses in moderately competitive clusters survive longer than isolated storefronts on average. StreetSpring's proprietary algorithms power these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly — the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

Our models highlight the following neighborhoods as top performers: Terrace Park, Plaza Terrace, and North Hyde Park, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be North Hyde Park, Plaza Terrace, and Terrace Park. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
National City Survivability: Smoke Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Smoke Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay is Terrace Park with 80% average survivability, followed by Plaza Terrace and North Hyde Park. 3 of 3 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes — neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?

In Terrace Park, StreetSpring forecasts a 78.0% – 82.0% average chance for a new Smoke Shop to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay

Landlords in Tampa Bay's top three neighborhoods for Smoke Shop can expect the following average survivability for new tenants:

Terrace Park: 78.0% – 82.0%
Plaza Terrace: 76.0% – 81.0%
North Hyde Park: 76.0% – 80.0%

Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring's predictions are granular enough to distinguish between two storefronts on the same block.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay — See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in Tampa Bay
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US — National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in Terrace Park, Tampa Bay — All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Plaza Terrace, Tampa Bay — All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in North Hyde Park, Tampa Bay — All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Tampa Bay

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

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