What is the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Smoke Shop is North Hyde Park, ranked #1 at 87.1% Best and 80.5% Typical. 9 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

What is the average survivability for Smoke Shop across Tampa Bay's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods in Tampa Bay, the average projected chance that a Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 72.3% Typical. North Hyde Park, ranked #1, is at 80.5% Typical.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Tampa Bay for Smoke Shop include Bayside West (ranked last, at 68.5% Best and 61.9% Typical), North Tampa, and Bayshore Beautiful. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.

What should I consider when opening a Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay?

When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay

Q: Where in Tampa Bay would a Smoke Shop make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Tampa Bay address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Smoke Shop succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Tampa Bay neighborhoods to open a Smoke Shop, on Best, from North Hyde Park (87.1% survival) to Bayside West (68.5%).

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: November 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

Best, Typical and Worst: Best is the average chance of lasting two or more years for the better of two addresses picked at random in the place, in a smaller space; Typical is the average address; Worst is the same for the worse of two, in a larger space

#1 Neighborhood: North Hyde Park: 87.1% Best, 80.5% Typical for Smoke Shop

The range inside North Hyde Park: the best locations reach 90.0% and the most challenging sit at 65.6%, a spread of 24.4 points. Picking the neighborhood narrows the search; the specific address is what settles it

Neighborhoods at or above 70% Typical: 9 of 13 ranked

Average across the 13 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 72.3% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: Bayside West: 68.5% Best, 61.9% Typical

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

North Hyde Park leads Tampa Bay's 2026 survivability rankings for Smoke Shop operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 87.1% Best and 80.5% Typical. The last-ranked neighborhood is Bayside West, at 68.5% Best and 61.9% Typical. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open a Smoke Shop?

North Hyde Park ranks #1 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay for Smoke Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 87.1% Best as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	Best	Typical	Worst
1	North Hyde Park	Tampa Bay	87.1%	80.5%	76.3%
2	Tampa Heights	Tampa Bay	85.3%	76.1%	69.7%
3	South Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	84.6%	76.0%	69.8%
4	Plaza Terrace	Tampa Bay	82.9%	76.0%	70.8%
5	Oakford Park	Tampa Bay	82.4%	76.1%	71.3%
6	Terrace Park	Tampa Bay	79.2%	74.8%	70.4%
7	Old Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	78.6%	72.0%	65.5%
8	Riverbend	Tampa Bay	78.4%	74.8%	71.1%
9	Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	77.5%	71.8%	66.0%
10	Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor	Tampa Bay	75.8%	68.0%	60.2%

Best and Worst are the average results for the better and the worse of two addresses picked at random in the place: a weighted average of every scored location in which the best locations count the most for Best and the weakest count the most for Worst. Typical is the average address. Best is shown for a smaller space (half the standard size) and Worst for a larger one (half again as large), at the metro's median asking rent, using the same rent rule as our tool; Typical is at the market rent.

For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

The ranking runs on Best. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

These figures assume a lease at the local market rate. The live tool adjusts the figure when you enter a lease that is cheaper or more expensive than that.

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

Where a Smoke Shop would make the most money in or around Tampa Bay comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

North Hyde Park is ranked #1 for Smoke Shop survivability, at 87.1% Best and 80.5% Typical; Bayside West is ranked last of the 13, at 68.5% Best and 61.9% Typical. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Your choice of location is one of the few business decisions you can test against data before you commit. Opening a Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 72.3% Typical. The interplay between location characteristics and business type produces unique survivability scores for every combination.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around Tampa Bay?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We apply advanced machine learning to massive commercial real estate datasets to build accurate models. Clustering works when it draws more customers to the area than any single business could alone. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

The strongest survivability scores belong to North Hyde Park, Tampa Heights, and South Seminole Heights, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Bayside West, North Tampa, and Bayshore Beautiful. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.

Related Articles:

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay is North Hyde Park, at 87.1% Best and 80.5% Typical, followed by Tampa Heights and South Seminole Heights. 9 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?

In North Hyde Park, the projected chance that a new Smoke Shop lasts two or more years is 80.5% Typical and 87.1% Best, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in Tampa Bay

For Smoke Shop tenants in Tampa Bay's three top-ranked neighborhoods, the projected chance of lasting two or more years is:

North Hyde Park: 87.1% Best
Tampa Heights: 85.3% Best
South Seminole Heights: 84.6% Best

See which business types are most likely to succeed at your property address right now.

StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay: See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in Tampa Bay
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in North Hyde Park, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Tampa Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in South Seminole Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Tampa Bay

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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