Survivability Rankings for Nail Salon in Tampa Bay

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of Tampa Bay neighborhoods to open a Nail Salon, at a good address, from North Hyde Park (83.6% survival) to Riverbend (79.0%).

•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • #1 Neighborhood: North Hyde Park: 83.6% at a good address, 79.1% at a typical address for Nail Salon (4 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure)
  • Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 9 of 13 ranked
  • Average across the 13 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 71.9% for Nail Salons
  • Most challenging area: Riverbend: 79.0% at a good address, 70.6% at a typical address
  • Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
  • Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Table of Contents

Summary

North Hyde Park leads Tampa Bay's 2026 survivability rankings for Nail Salon operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address and 79.1% at a typical address (4 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 83.6% and its lowest at 69.2%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Riverbend, at 79.0% at a good address and 70.6% at a typical address. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.


What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open a Nail Salon?

North Hyde Park ranks #1 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay for Nail Salon survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

RankNeighborhoodMetroAt a good addressAverage (typical address)Best LocationsChallenging Locations
1North Hyde ParkTampa Bay83.6%79.1%83.6%69.2%
2Tampa HeightsTampa Bay83.6%75.9%84.0%53.0%
3Fair Oaks-Manhattan ManorTampa Bay83.6%70.0%84.0%51.2%
4Bayside WestTampa Bay83.6%65.4%84.0%50.2%
5Oakford ParkTampa Bay83.1%78.3%83.6%67.8%
6Plaza TerraceTampa Bay83.1%75.3%83.6%58.8%
7South Seminole HeightsTampa Bay83.1%73.1%83.6%51.2%
8Seminole HeightsTampa Bay82.2%70.2%82.6%51.6%
9Terrace ParkTampa Bay81.3%73.3%83.1%52.0%
10Old Seminole HeightsTampa Bay80.0%69.5%83.6%49.8%

A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.


Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would a Nail Salon Make the Most Money?

Where a Nail Salon would make the most money in or around Tampa Bay comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

North Hyde Park is ranked #1 for Nail Salon survivability, at 83.6% at a good address and 79.1% at a typical address; Riverbend is ranked last of the 13, at 79.0% at a good address and 70.6% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Nail Salon in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Nail Salon lasts two or more years is 71.9% at a typical address. The interplay between location characteristics and business type produces unique survivability scores for every combination.


What Should I Consider When Opening a Nail Salon in or Around Tampa Bay?

When selecting a location for a Nail Salon in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score is the top factor to weigh before signing a lease, because it measures how much of the local customer spending a business at that address can win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. Some of the best-performing locations are surrounded by complementary competitors that drive foot traffic. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, housing vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.


Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start a Nail Salon?

According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include North Hyde Park, Tampa Heights, and Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Riverbend, Bayshore Beautiful, and North Tampa. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

Related Articles:


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open a Nail Salon?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Nail Salon in Tampa Bay is North Hyde Park, at 83.6% at a good address and 79.1% at a typical address (4 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure), followed by Tampa Heights and Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor. 9 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.


Can a Nail Salon Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.


How Often Are Nail Salon Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.


Is a Nail Salon a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?

In North Hyde Park, the projected chance that a new Nail Salon lasts two or more years is 79.1% at a typical address and 83.6% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Nail Salon in Tampa Bay

The data tells a clear story for Nail Salon tenants across Tampa Bay's top neighborhoods. North Hyde Park leads at 79.1% at a typical address, with its best scored address at 83.6%. Tampa Heights is at 75.9% at a typical address, and Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor at 70.0% at a typical address. You can see the Survivability Score for your location for any business right now.

Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.


Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Tampa Bay

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.