What is the average survivability for Mexican Restaurant across Tampa Bay's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods in Tampa Bay, the average projected chance that a Mexican Restaurant lasts two or more years is 71.7% at a typical address. Plaza Terrace, ranked #1, is at 78.6% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Mexican Restaurant in Tampa Bay?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Tampa Bay for Mexican Restaurant include Bayshore Beautiful (ranked last, at 77.8% at a good address and 64.2% at a typical address), Terrace Park, and North Tampa. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Mexican Restaurant survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for 500+ business types.

Survivability Rankings for Mexican Restaurant in Tampa Bay

Q: What is the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Mexican Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Tampa Bay to open a Mexican Restaurant is Plaza Terrace, ranked #1 at 84.0% at a good address and 78.6% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). 8 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in Tampa Bay would a Mexican Restaurant make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each Tampa Bay address you are weighing.

2026 ranking of Tampa Bay neighborhoods to open a Mexican Restaurant, at a good address, from Plaza Terrace (84.0% survival) to Bayshore Beautiful.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Plaza Terrace: 84.0% at a good address, 78.6% at a typical address for Mexican Restaurant (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 8 of 13 ranked

Average across the 13 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 71.7% for Mexican Restaurants

Most challenging area: Bayshore Beautiful: 77.8% at a good address, 64.2% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Mexican Restaurant Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Mexican Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Mexican Restaurant a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Tampa Bay to open a Mexican Restaurant is Plaza Terrace, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 78.6% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 66.4%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Bayshore Beautiful, at 77.8% at a good address and 64.2% at a typical address. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Tampa Bay to Open a Mexican Restaurant?

Plaza Terrace ranks #1 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods in and around Tampa Bay for Mexican Restaurant survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Plaza Terrace	Tampa Bay	84.0%	78.6%	84.0%	66.4%
2	Tampa Heights	Tampa Bay	84.0%	77.9%	84.0%	55.2%
3	South Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	83.6%	75.4%	83.6%	58.4%
4	Fair Oaks-Manhattan Manor	Tampa Bay	83.5%	66.1%	83.6%	50.2%
5	North Hyde Park	Tampa Bay	83.1%	78.7%	84.0%	69.2%
6	Old Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	81.8%	71.5%	83.6%	50.2%
7	Seminole Heights	Tampa Bay	81.1%	70.8%	83.1%	51.2%
8	Riverbend	Tampa Bay	80.9%	75.9%	83.1%	65.1%
9	Oakford Park	Tampa Bay	80.2%	73.8%	82.6%	63.3%
10	Bayside West	Tampa Bay	80.2%	61.7%	83.6%	49.4%

StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Would a Mexican Restaurant Make the Most Money?

Where a Mexican Restaurant would make the most money in or around Tampa Bay comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Plaza Terrace is ranked #1 for Mexican Restaurant survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 78.6% at a typical address; Bayshore Beautiful is ranked last of the 13, at 77.8% at a good address and 64.2% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The same business type carries a different projected chance in every ranked neighborhood of a city, so the address is worth testing before you sign. Opening a Mexican Restaurant in Tampa Bay requires careful location choice. Across the 13 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Mexican Restaurant lasts two or more years is 71.7% at a typical address. Survivability predictions are business-type-specific because consumer behavior differs fundamentally across categories.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Mexican Restaurant in or Around Tampa Bay?

When selecting a location for a Mexican Restaurant in or around Tampa Bay, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. StreetSpring's training dataset includes millions of transactions and business lifecycle events. Neighborhoods with a mix of similar businesses frequently outperform isolated locations. These forecasts are generated using StreetSpring's unique analytical framework. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around Tampa Bay Should I Start a Mexican Restaurant?

The strongest survivability scores belong to Plaza Terrace, Tampa Heights, and South Seminole Heights, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Bayshore Beautiful, Terrace Park, and North Tampa. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay
National City Survivability: Mexican Restaurant
National Neighborhood Survivability: Mexican Restaurant

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay to Open a Mexican Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Mexican Restaurant in Tampa Bay is Plaza Terrace, at 84.0% at a good address and 78.6% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Tampa Heights and South Seminole Heights. 8 of the 13 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Can a Mexican Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Tampa Bay?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Mexican Restaurant Rankings in Tampa Bay Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Tampa Bay.

Is a Mexican Restaurant a Good Tenant for Tampa Bay Landlords?

In Plaza Terrace, the projected chance that a new Mexican Restaurant lasts two or more years is 78.6% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Mexican Restaurant in Tampa Bay

Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In Plaza Terrace, the top-ranked neighborhood in Tampa Bay, a Mexican Restaurant tenant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 78.6% at a typical address. Tampa Heights follows at 77.9% at a typical address, while South Seminole Heights shows 75.4% at a typical address. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.

StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Tampa Bay for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Tampa Bay to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay.

Business Survivability Rankings: Tampa Bay: See how Mexican Restaurant compares to all other business types in Tampa Bay
Best Cities to Open a Mexican Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Mexican Restaurant
Business Survivability in Plaza Terrace, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Tampa Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in South Seminole Heights, Tampa Bay: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Tampa Bay are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Tampa Bay

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

Table of Contents