What is the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Hair Salon?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Hair Salon is Carino Estates, with 75% average survivability. 7 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed exceed the 70% two-year survival threshold.

How much more revenue can a Hair Salon make in the best vs. average Phoenix neighborhood?

In Carino Estates, the best possible Hair Salon location in Phoenix offers approximately 7.5% more expected revenue than the average location. The worst-performing neighborhoods could yield approximately 6.2% less than average.

What is the city-wide average survivability for Hair Salon in Phoenix?

The city-wide average survivability for Hair Salon across Phoenix is 73% for surviving more than 2 years. Top neighborhoods like Carino Estates substantially outperform this average, reaching 75%.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Hair Salon in Phoenix?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Phoenix for Hair Salon include Estrella with 71% average survival chance, Rio Vista, and South Mountain. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Hair Salon survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.

What should I consider when opening a Hair Salon in Phoenix?

When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Hair Salon in Phoenix

Q: Can a Hair Salon succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Phoenix to open a Hair Salon, from Carino Estates (75% survival) to Estrella (71%).

September 25, 2026•12 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Carino Estates: 75% average survivability for Hair Salon

Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 7 of 28 analyzed

City-wide average: 73% for Hair Salons

Most challenging area: Estrella at 71%

Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~7.5% more expected revenue in Carino Estates

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Hair Salon Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Hair Salon Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Hair Salon a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around Phoenix, Carino Estates ranks #1 for opening a Hair Salon with 75% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 80% and the most challenging locations in Carino Estates at 70%. The worst neighborhoods include Estrella with 71% average chance. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open a Hair Salon?

Carino Estates ranks #1 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Phoenix for Hair Salon survivability, with a 75% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	At a good address	Average Locations	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Carino Estates	79.0%	73.0% to 77.0%	78.0% to 80.0%	69.0% to 71.0%
2	Kiwanis Park	78.1%	71.0% to 76.0%	77.0% to 79.0%	70.0% to 71.0%
3	Villages of Eastridge	76.8%	74.0% to 78.0%	77.0% to 79.0%	74.0% to 75.0%
4	Dobson Woods	76.8%	73.0% to 78.0%	75.0% to 77.0%	74.0% to 76.0%
5	Mesa Grande	76.8%	73.0% to 77.0%	77.0% to 79.0%	70.0% to 72.0%
6	Dobson Ranch	76.8%	72.0% to 77.0%	77.0% to 79.0%	68.0% to 70.0%
7	Ocotillo	76.8%	69.0% to 74.0%	76.0% to 78.0%	65.0% to 66.0%
8	South Scottsdale	76.3%	70.0% to 74.0%	78.0% to 80.0%	63.0% to 65.0%
9	Reed Park	75.9%	72.0% to 76.0%	77.0% to 79.0%	71.0% to 73.0%
10	Desert View	75.9%	71.0% to 75.0%	79.0% to 80.0%	64.0% to 66.0%

These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Phoenix Would a Hair Salon Make the Most Money?

In Carino Estates, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~7.5% more than the average location in or around Phoenix.

On the other hand, in Estrella, the worst possible location could result in making ~6.2% less than the average location in the city.

No amount of marketing or capital can compensate for a poorly chosen location. Opening a Hair Salon in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across 28 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Hair Salon is 73% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Two businesses on the same block can have very different survivability scores depending on their category.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Hair Salon in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for a Hair Salon in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. Our data shows that businesses in moderately competitive clusters survive longer than isolated storefronts on average. Our forecasting system combines proprietary data with machine learning models unavailable anywhere else. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start a Hair Salon?

Our models highlight the following neighborhoods as top performers: Carino Estates, Kiwanis Park, and Villages of Eastridge, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Estrella, Rio Vista, and South Mountain. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
National City Survivability: Hair Salon
National Neighborhood Survivability: Hair Salon

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open a Hair Salon?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Hair Salon in Phoenix is Carino Estates with 75% average survivability, followed by Kiwanis Park and Villages of Eastridge. 7 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Can a Hair Salon Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Hair Salon Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.

Is a Hair Salon a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Carino Estates, StreetSpring forecasts a 73.0% to 77.0% average chance for a new Hair Salon to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Hair Salon in Phoenix

Landlords in Phoenix's top three neighborhoods for Hair Salon can expect the following average survivability for new tenants:

Carino Estates: 73.0% to 77.0%
Kiwanis Park: 71.0% to 76.0%
Villages of Eastridge: 74.0% to 78.0%

Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.

StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix: See how Hair Salon compares to all other business types in Phoenix
Best Cities to Open a Hair Salon in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Hair Salon
Business Survivability in Carino Estates, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Kiwanis Park, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Villages of Eastridge, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Table of Contents