What is the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Gym?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in Phoenix to open a Gym is Carino Estates, with 79% average survivability. 25 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed exceed the 70% two-year survival threshold.

How much more revenue can a Gym make in the best vs. average Phoenix neighborhood?

In Carino Estates, the best possible Gym location in Phoenix offers approximately 11.0% more expected revenue than the average location. The worst-performing neighborhoods could yield approximately 6.7% less than average.

What is the city-wide average survivability for Gym in Phoenix?

The city-wide average survivability for Gym across Phoenix is 75% for surviving more than 2 years. Top neighborhoods like Carino Estates substantially outperform this average, reaching 79%.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Gym in Phoenix?

The most challenging neighborhoods in Phoenix for Gym include North Gateway with 73% average survival chance, Superstition Springs, and Rio Vista. Our data shows that roughly 15% of top-performing locations sit in neighborhoods ranked below the city median.

What should I consider when opening a Gym in Phoenix?

Revenue Capture Score is the single best indicator of whether a business will thrive at a location. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Gym in Phoenix

Q: Can a Gym succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Phoenix to open a Gym, from Carino Estates (79% survival) to North Gateway (73%).

September 25, 2026•12 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Carino Estates: 79% average survivability for Gym

Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 25 of 28 analyzed

City-wide average: 75% for Gyms

Most challenging area: North Gateway at 73%

Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~11.0% more expected revenue in Carino Estates

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Gym Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Gym Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Gym a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around Phoenix to open a Gym is Carino Estates with 79% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 81% and the most challenging locations in Carino Estates at 77%. The worst neighborhoods include North Gateway with 73% average chance. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Phoenix to Open a Gym?

Carino Estates ranks #1 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Phoenix for Gym survivability, with a 79% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	At a good address	Average Locations	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Carino Estates	80.8%	77.0% to 81.0%	80.0% to 82.0%	77.0% to 79.0%
2	Dobson Woods	80.4%	76.0% to 80.0%	79.0% to 81.0%	74.0% to 76.0%
3	Pepperwood	79.9%	76.0% to 80.0%	79.0% to 80.0%	75.0% to 77.0%
4	Ocotillo	79.5%	74.0% to 78.0%	79.0% to 81.0%	71.0% to 73.0%
5	Kiwanis Park	79.0%	75.0% to 80.0%	78.0% to 79.0%	76.0% to 78.0%
6	Mesa Grande	79.0%	75.0% to 79.0%	78.0% to 79.0%	72.0% to 74.0%
7	Dobson Ranch	78.6%	74.0% to 79.0%	79.0% to 81.0%	72.0% to 74.0%
8	Encanto	78.6%	74.0% to 79.0%	79.0% to 81.0%	69.0% to 70.0%
9	South Scottsdale	78.6%	74.0% to 78.0%	79.0% to 81.0%	66.0% to 68.0%
10	Camelback East	78.6%	73.0% to 78.0%	79.0% to 81.0%	66.0% to 68.0%

A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. The live platform incorporates the most recent competitor, vacancy, and spending data for your exact address.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around Phoenix Would a Gym Make the Most Money?

In Carino Estates, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~11.0% more than the average location in or around Phoenix.

On the other hand, in North Gateway, the worst possible location could result in making ~6.7% less than the average location in the city.

No amount of marketing or capital can compensate for a poorly chosen location. Opening a Gym in Phoenix requires careful location choice. Across 28 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Gym is 75% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Consumer spending patterns differ dramatically across business types and micro-locations.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Gym in or Around Phoenix?

When selecting a location for a Gym in or around Phoenix, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score is the single best indicator of whether a business will thrive at a location. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. StreetSpring has analyzed hundreds of thousands of business outcomes across major US metros. Some competition is beneficial to attract customers with similar intents to the same area. StreetSpring's proprietary algorithms power these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Where in or Around Phoenix Should I Start a Gym?

For this business type, the highest-ranked neighborhoods are Carino Estates, Dobson Woods, and Pepperwood, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be North Gateway, Superstition Springs, and Rio Vista. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
National City Survivability: Gym
National Neighborhood Survivability: Gym

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Phoenix to Open a Gym?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Gym in Phoenix is Carino Estates with 79% average survivability, followed by Dobson Woods and Pepperwood. 25 of 28 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.

Can a Gym Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Phoenix?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Gym Rankings in Phoenix Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Phoenix.

Is a Gym a Good Tenant for Phoenix Landlords?

In Carino Estates, StreetSpring forecasts a 77.0% to 81.0% average chance for a new Gym to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Gym in Phoenix

Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In Carino Estates, a Gym tenant averages 77.0% to 81.0% chance of lasting more than 2 years: the strongest outlook in Phoenix. Dobson Woods follows at 76.0% to 80.0%, while Pepperwood shows 76.0% to 80.0%. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.

StreetSpring delivers pinpoint accuracy down to the exact storefront location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Phoenix for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Phoenix to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Phoenix.

Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix: See how Gym compares to all other business types in Phoenix
Best Cities to Open a Gym in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Gym
Business Survivability in Carino Estates, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Dobson Woods, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Pepperwood, Phoenix: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Phoenix are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Phoenix

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

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