What is the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Smoke Shop is Georgetown, with 80% average survivability. 132 of 150 neighborhoods analyzed exceed the 70% two-year survival threshold.

How much more revenue can a Smoke Shop make in the best vs. average New York City neighborhood?

In Georgetown, the best possible Smoke Shop location in New York City offers approximately 10.2% more expected revenue than the average location. The worst-performing neighborhoods could yield approximately 15.8% less than average.

What is the city-wide average survivability for Smoke Shop in New York City?

The city-wide average survivability for Smoke Shop across New York City is 77% for surviving more than 2 years. Top neighborhoods like Georgetown substantially outperform this average, reaching 80%.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Smoke Shop in New York City?

The most challenging neighborhoods in New York City for Smoke Shop include Kew Gardens with 72% average survival chance, Holliswood, and Rochdale. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations.

What should I consider when opening a Smoke Shop in New York City?

Revenue Capture Score matters more than any other single metric when predicting business outcomes. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Smoke Shop survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. Our tool delivers pinpoint accuracy down to the exact storefront location for any business category.

Survivability Rankings for Smoke Shop in New York City

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in New York City to open a Smoke Shop, from Georgetown (80% survival) to Kew Gardens...

September 22, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Georgetown — 80% average survivability for Smoke Shop

Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 132 of 150 analyzed

City-wide average: 77% for Smoke Shops

Most challenging area: Kew Gardens at 72%

Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~10.2% more expected revenue in Georgetown

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around New York City, Georgetown ranks #1 for opening a Smoke Shop with 80% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 82% and the most challenging locations in Georgetown at 75%. The worst neighborhoods include Kew Gardens with 72% average chance. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around New York City to Open a Smoke Shop?

Georgetown ranks #1 of 150 neighborhoods analyzed in and around New York City for Smoke Shop survivability, with a 80% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Average Locations	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Georgetown	78.0% – 83.0%	81.0% – 83.0%	75.0% – 76.0%
2	Manhattan Beach	78.0% – 82.0%	81.0% – 83.0%	75.0% – 77.0%
3	Garment District	78.0% – 82.0%	80.0% – 82.0%	76.0% – 77.0%
4	Park Slope	78.0% – 82.0%	81.0% – 83.0%	77.0% – 79.0%
5	Fieldston	78.0% – 82.0%	81.0% – 83.0%	76.0% – 78.0%
6	Tribeca	78.0% – 82.0%	82.0% – 84.0%	76.0% – 78.0%
7	Boerum Hill	77.0% – 82.0%	80.0% – 81.0%	78.0% – 80.0%
8	Unionport	77.0% – 82.0%	80.0% – 82.0%	77.0% – 79.0%
9	Riverdale	77.0% – 82.0%	80.0% – 82.0%	76.0% – 77.0%
10	Country Club	77.0% – 82.0%	80.0% – 82.0%	76.0% – 78.0%

Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around New York City Would a Smoke Shop Make the Most Money?

In Georgetown, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~10.2% more than the average location in or around New York City.

On the other hand, in Kew Gardens, the worst possible location could result in making ~15.8% less than the average location in the city.

No amount of marketing or capital can compensate for a poorly chosen location. Opening a Smoke Shop in New York City requires careful location choice. Across 150 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Smoke Shop is 77% for lasting more than 2 years — due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Each business category has unique customer behavior patterns that vary significantly by address.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Smoke Shop in or Around New York City?

When selecting a location for a Smoke Shop in or around New York City, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score matters more than any other single metric when predicting business outcomes. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We apply advanced machine learning to massive commercial real estate datasets to build accurate models. Clustering works when it draws more customers to the area than any single business could alone. The prediction engine behind these rankings is entirely proprietary — developed in-house over years of research. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Where in or Around New York City Should I Start a Smoke Shop?

The neighborhoods with the highest survivability for this business type are Georgetown, Manhattan Beach, and Garment District, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Kew Gardens, Holliswood, and Rochdale. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape — these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City
National City Survivability: Smoke Shop
National Neighborhood Survivability: Smoke Shop

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in New York City to Open a Smoke Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Smoke Shop in New York City is Georgetown with 80% average survivability, followed by Manhattan Beach and Garment District. 132 of 150 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Can a Smoke Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes — neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Location-level factors like visibility and adjacent tenants can override neighborhood-level trends. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Smoke Shop Rankings in New York City Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in New York City.

Is a Smoke Shop a Good Tenant for New York City Landlords?

In Georgetown, StreetSpring forecasts a 78.0% – 83.0% average chance for a new Smoke Shop to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Smoke Shop in New York City

For landlords evaluating tenant applications, StreetSpring's data provides a clear comparison across the top neighborhoods. In Georgetown, a Smoke Shop has a 78.0% – 83.0% average chance of surviving more than 2 years. In Manhattan Beach, the range shifts to 78.0% – 82.0%, and in Garment District, it is 78.0% – 82.0%. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.

With StreetSpring, you can see the precise probability of success for countless business models at any exact location.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around New York City for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around New York City to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City.

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City — See how Smoke Shop compares to all other business types in New York City
Best Cities to Open a Smoke Shop in the US — National city-level survivability rankings for Smoke Shop
Business Survivability in Georgetown, New York City — All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Manhattan Beach, New York City — All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Garment District, New York City — All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for New York City

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

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