What is the average survivability for Bakery across New York City's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods in New York City, the average projected chance that a Bakery lasts two or more years is 60.3% at a typical address. Hackensack Riverfront, ranked #1, is at 77.5% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Bakery in New York City?

The most challenging neighborhoods in New York City for Bakery include Gerritsen Beach (ranked last, at 53.1% at a good address and 50.2% at a typical address), Tudor City, and Forest Hills Gardens. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most.

What should I consider when opening a Bakery in New York City?

Revenue Capture Score is the top factor to weigh before signing a lease, because it measures how much of the local customer spending a business at that address can win. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Bakery survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring analyzes your specific address against comparable businesses to forecast success.

Survivability Rankings for Bakery in New York City

Q: What is the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Bakery?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in New York City to open a Bakery is Hackensack Riverfront, ranked #1 at 84.0% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). 17 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in New York City would a Bakery make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each New York City address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Bakery succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.

2026 ranking of New York City neighborhoods to open a Bakery, at a good address, from Hackensack Riverfront (84.0% survival) to Gerritsen Beach.

October 5, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Hackensack Riverfront: 84.0% at a good address, 77.5% at a typical address for Bakery (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 17 of 180 ranked

Average across the 180 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 60.3% for Bakeries

Most challenging area: Gerritsen Beach: 53.1% at a good address, 50.2% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Bakery Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Bakery Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Bakery a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around New York City to open a Bakery is Hackensack Riverfront, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 56.6%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Gerritsen Beach, at 53.1% at a good address and 50.2% at a typical address. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around New York City to Open a Bakery?

Hackensack Riverfront ranks #1 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods in and around New York City for Bakery survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Hackensack Riverfront	New York City	84.0%	77.5%	84.0%	56.6%
2	Hollis	New York City	84.0%	64.2%	84.0%	48.0%
3	West Side, Jersey City	New York City	83.6%	79.1%	84.0%	57.4%
4	Greenpoint	New York City	83.3%	75.8%	84.0%	48.9%
5	Jamaica Hills	New York City	83.3%	68.9%	84.0%	48.0%
6	Bergen-Lafayette	New York City	83.2%	77.9%	84.0%	52.0%
7	Windsor Terrace	New York City	83.1%	78.7%	84.0%	51.2%
8	Jersey City Heights	New York City	82.7%	76.1%	83.6%	60.6%
9	Journal Square	New York City	82.7%	75.8%	84.0%	50.2%
10	Downtown Jersey City	New York City	82.6%	69.3%	84.0%	48.0%

However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around New York City Would a Bakery Make the Most Money?

Where a Bakery would make the most money in or around New York City comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Hackensack Riverfront is ranked #1 for Bakery survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address; Gerritsen Beach is ranked last of the 180, at 53.1% at a good address and 50.2% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Where you sign the lease is a choice you can check against the published scores before you commit. Opening a Bakery in New York City requires careful location choice. Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Bakery lasts two or more years is 60.3% at a typical address. What makes a location ideal varies by business type: foot traffic patterns, competitor proximity, and consumer demographics all play different roles.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Bakery in or Around New York City?

When selecting a location for a Bakery in or around New York City, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score is the top factor to weigh before signing a lease, because it measures how much of the local customer spending a business at that address can win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. StreetSpring has analyzed hundreds of thousands of business outcomes across major US metros. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. These forecasts are generated using StreetSpring's unique analytical framework. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around New York City Should I Start a Bakery?

StreetSpring's analysis shows the best areas are Hackensack Riverfront, Hollis, and West Side, Jersey City, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Gerritsen Beach, Tudor City, and Forest Hills Gardens. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City
National City Survivability: Bakery
National Neighborhood Survivability: Bakery

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in New York City to Open a Bakery?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Bakery in New York City is Hackensack Riverfront, at 84.0% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Hollis and West Side, Jersey City. 17 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

Can a Bakery Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in New York City?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Bakery Rankings in New York City Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in New York City.

Is a Bakery a Good Tenant for New York City Landlords?

In Hackensack Riverfront, the projected chance that a new Bakery lasts two or more years is 77.5% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Bakery in New York City

For Bakery tenants in New York City's three top-ranked neighborhoods, the projected chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address is:

Hackensack Riverfront: 77.5%
Hollis: 64.2%
West Side, Jersey City: 79.1%

You can see the Survivability Score for your location for any business right now.

Our tool scores any business category at the exact storefront address you enter.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around New York City for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around New York City to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City.

Business Survivability Rankings: New York City: See how Bakery compares to all other business types in New York City
Best Cities to Open a Bakery in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Bakery
Business Survivability in Hackensack Riverfront, New York City: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Hollis, New York City: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in West Side, Jersey City, New York City: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for New York City

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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