Survivability Rankings for Dessert Shop in Minneapolis
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Minneapolis to open a Dessert Shop, from Macalester-Groveland (74% survival) to C...
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Macalester-Groveland: 74% average survivability for Dessert Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 16 of 64 analyzed
- City-wide average: 72% for Dessert Shops
- Most challenging area: Cooper at 68%
- Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~8.9% more expected revenue in Macalester-Groveland
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Macalester-Groveland leads Minneapolis's 2026 survivability rankings for Dessert Shop operators with 74% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 80% and the most challenging locations in Macalester-Groveland at 67%. The worst neighborhoods include Cooper with 68% average chance. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Minneapolis to Open a Dessert Shop?
Macalester-Groveland ranks #1 of 64 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Minneapolis for Dessert Shop survivability, with a 74% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | At a good address | Average Locations | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macalester-Groveland | 78.8% | 72.0% to 77.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 67.0% to 69.0% |
| 2 | Downtown West | 78.1% | 75.0% to 79.0% | 78.0% to 80.0% | 74.0% to 76.0% |
| 3 | Northrop | 78.0% | 74.0% to 79.0% | 78.0% to 80.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 4 | Field | 78.0% | 73.0% to 78.0% | 78.0% to 80.0% | 72.0% to 74.0% |
| 5 | Linden Hills | 77.2% | 73.0% to 78.0% | 79.0% to 80.0% | 71.0% to 73.0% |
| 6 | Holland | 77.2% | 72.0% to 77.0% | 77.0% to 79.0% | 72.0% to 74.0% |
| 7 | Cedar-Isles-Dean | 77.1% | 73.0% to 77.0% | 77.0% to 79.0% | 70.0% to 71.0% |
| 8 | Elliot Park | 76.8% | 73.0% to 77.0% | 75.0% to 77.0% | 72.0% to 74.0% |
| 9 | West Maka Ska | 76.7% | 73.0% to 78.0% | 77.0% to 79.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 10 | Como | 76.7% | 70.0% to 75.0% | 78.0% to 80.0% | 63.0% to 65.0% |
Our data shows that roughly 15% of top-performing locations sit in neighborhoods ranked below the city median. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around Minneapolis Would a Dessert Shop Make the Most Money?
In Macalester-Groveland, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~8.9% more than the average location in or around Minneapolis.
On the other hand, in Cooper, the worst possible location could result in making ~13.0% less than the average location in the city.
Where you open matters more than anything else. Opening a Dessert Shop in Minneapolis requires careful location choice. Across 64 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Dessert Shop is 72% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Survivability predictions are business-type-specific because consumer behavior differs fundamentally across categories.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Dessert Shop in or Around Minneapolis?
When selecting a location for a Dessert Shop in or around Minneapolis, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score is the single best indicator of whether a business will thrive at a location. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. A certain density of competitors signals strong demand and can benefit all businesses. Every score is produced by our in-house models, trained on 570,000+ real business outcomes. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.
Where in or Around Minneapolis Should I Start a Dessert Shop?
The neighborhoods with the highest survivability for this business type are Macalester-Groveland, Downtown West, and Northrop, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Cooper, Windom, and North End. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis
- National City Survivability: Dessert Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Dessert Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Minneapolis to Open a Dessert Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Dessert Shop in Minneapolis is Macalester-Groveland with 74% average survivability, followed by Downtown West and Northrop. 16 of 64 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.
Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Can a Dessert Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Minneapolis?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Dessert Shop Rankings in Minneapolis Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Minneapolis.
Is a Dessert Shop a Good Tenant for Minneapolis Landlords?
In Macalester-Groveland, StreetSpring forecasts a 72.0% to 77.0% average chance for a new Dessert Shop to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Dessert Shop in Minneapolis
For landlords evaluating tenant applications, StreetSpring's data provides a clear comparison across the top neighborhoods. In Macalester-Groveland, a Dessert Shop has a 72.0% to 77.0% average chance of surviving more than 2 years. In Downtown West, the range shifts to 75.0% to 79.0%, and in Northrop, it is 74.0% to 79.0%. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.
Our tool delivers pinpoint accuracy down to the exact storefront location for any business category.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Minneapolis for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Minneapolis to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis: See how Dessert Shop compares to all other business types in Minneapolis
- Best Cities to Open a Dessert Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Dessert Shop
- Business Survivability in Macalester-Groveland, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Downtown West, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Northrop, Minneapolis: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Minneapolis are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Minneapolis
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.