Survivability Rankings for Coffee Shop in Minneapolis

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Minneapolis to open a Coffee Shop, from Summit Hill (79% survival) to Diamond Lak...

•12 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • #1 Neighborhood: Summit Hill: 79% average survivability for Coffee Shop
  • Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 55 of 64 analyzed
  • City-wide average: 76% for Coffee Shops
  • Most challenging area: Diamond Lake at 71%
  • Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~8.9% more expected revenue in Summit Hill
  • Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Table of Contents

Summary

Opening a Coffee Shop in Minneapolis? Our 2026 analysis identifies Summit Hill as the top location with 79% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 82% and the most challenging locations in Summit Hill at 72%. The worst neighborhoods include Diamond Lake with 71% average chance. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.


What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Minneapolis to Open a Coffee Shop?

Summit Hill ranks #1 of 64 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Minneapolis for Coffee Shop survivability, with a 79% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

RankNeighborhoodAt a good addressAverage LocationsBest LocationsChallenging Locations
1Summit Hill80.8%77.0% to 81.0%80.0% to 82.0%71.0% to 73.0%
2Macalester-Groveland80.3%75.0% to 80.0%81.0% to 83.0%72.0% to 74.0%
3Tangletown80.1%74.0% to 79.0%81.0% to 83.0%72.0% to 74.0%
4Lowry Hill East79.9%77.0% to 81.0%79.0% to 81.0%76.0% to 78.0%
5Northrop79.9%75.0% to 79.0%80.0% to 82.0%74.0% to 75.0%
6Windom Park79.8%75.0% to 80.0%79.0% to 81.0%74.0% to 75.0%
7Lyndale79.8%75.0% to 80.0%79.0% to 81.0%75.0% to 76.0%
8Field79.7%76.0% to 80.0%80.0% to 82.0%75.0% to 76.0%
9Standish79.3%76.0% to 80.0%80.0% to 82.0%75.0% to 77.0%
10Whittier79.3%75.0% to 80.0%79.0% to 81.0%74.0% to 76.0%

However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.


Where in or Around Minneapolis Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?

In Summit Hill, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~8.9% more than the average location in or around Minneapolis.

On the other hand, in Diamond Lake, the worst possible location could result in making ~15.2% less than the average location in the city.

Choosing the right address is the highest-leverage decision for any brick-and-mortar entrepreneur. Opening a Coffee Shop in Minneapolis requires careful location choice. Across 64 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Coffee Shop is 76% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Two businesses on the same block can have very different survivability scores depending on their category.


What Should I Consider When Opening a Coffee Shop in or Around Minneapolis?

When selecting a location for a Coffee Shop in or around Minneapolis, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. The prediction engine behind these rankings is entirely proprietary: developed in-house over years of research. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.


Where in or Around Minneapolis Should I Start a Coffee Shop?

StreetSpring identifies the strongest markets as Summit Hill, Macalester-Groveland, and Tangletown, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Diamond Lake, Morris Park, and East Phillips. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Related Articles:


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Minneapolis to Open a Coffee Shop?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Coffee Shop in Minneapolis is Summit Hill with 79% average survivability, followed by Macalester-Groveland and Tangletown. 55 of 64 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

Because local conditions evolve weekly, the live survivability tool offers a more current snapshot than any published ranking.


Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Minneapolis?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Location-level factors like visibility and adjacent tenants can override neighborhood-level trends. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.


How Often Are Coffee Shop Rankings in Minneapolis Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Minneapolis.


Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant for Minneapolis Landlords?

In Summit Hill, StreetSpring forecasts a 77.0% to 81.0% average chance for a new Coffee Shop to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Coffee Shop in Minneapolis

If you own commercial property in Minneapolis and are considering a Coffee Shop tenant, here is what the data shows: Summit Hill properties offer the best survivability outlook (77.0% to 81.0%), Macalester-Groveland is strong but slightly lower (75.0% to 80.0%), and Tangletown rounds out the top 3 (74.0% to 79.0%). Our tool shows the survivability outlook for any business type at your exact address, updated weekly.

StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for 500+ business types.

Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Minneapolis for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Minneapolis to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Minneapolis.


Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Minneapolis are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for Minneapolis

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.