Survivability Rankings for Thai Restaurant in San Francisco

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in San Francisco to open a Thai Restaurant, from Stonestown (79% survival) to Northg...

12 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • #1 Neighborhood: Stonestown — 79% average survivability for Thai Restaurant
  • Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 9 of 9 analyzed
  • City-wide average: 78% for Thai Restaurants
  • Most challenging area: Northgate at 76%
  • Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~3.9% more expected revenue in Stonestown
  • Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Table of Contents

Summary

Opening a Thai Restaurant in San Francisco? Our 2026 analysis identifies Stonestown as the top location with 79% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 80% and the most challenging locations in Stonestown at 77%. The worst neighborhoods include Northgate with 76% average chance. Location-level factors like visibility and adjacent tenants can override neighborhood-level trends.


What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Thai Restaurant?

Stonestown ranks #1 of 9 neighborhoods analyzed in and around San Francisco for Thai Restaurant survivability, with a 79% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

RankNeighborhoodAverage LocationsBest LocationsChallenging Locations
1Stonestown77.0% – 81.0%79.0% – 81.0%77.0% – 79.0%
2Portola76.0% – 81.0%80.0% – 82.0%74.0% – 76.0%
3Lakeshore76.0% – 81.0%83.0% – 84.0%74.0% – 76.0%
4Potrero Hill76.0% – 80.0%80.0% – 81.0%75.0% – 76.0%
5Parkside76.0% – 80.0%80.0% – 81.0%74.0% – 76.0%
6Excelsior76.0% – 80.0%80.0% – 82.0%75.0% – 76.0%
7Marina75.0% – 80.0%79.0% – 81.0%75.0% – 76.0%
8Bayview75.0% – 79.0%81.0% – 83.0%72.0% – 74.0%
9Northgate74.0% – 78.0%78.0% – 80.0%71.0% – 73.0%

For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape — these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.


Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Thai Restaurant Make the Most Money?

In Stonestown, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~3.9% more than the average location in or around San Francisco.

On the other hand, in Northgate, the worst possible location could result in making ~5.4% less than the average location in the city.

No amount of marketing or capital can compensate for a poorly chosen location. Opening a Thai Restaurant in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across 9 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Thai Restaurant is 78% for lasting more than 2 years — due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. Each business category has unique customer behavior patterns that vary significantly by address.


What Should I Consider When Opening a Thai Restaurant in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Thai Restaurant in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. When evaluating a potential location, Revenue Capture Score should be the first number you look at. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our analysis covers businesses serving the 24 largest metros in America. Some of the best-performing locations are surrounded by complementary competitors that drive foot traffic. StreetSpring's proprietary algorithms power these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.


Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Thai Restaurant?

The strongest survivability scores belong to Stonestown, Portola, and Lakeshore, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Northgate, Bayview, and Marina. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Related Articles:


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Thai Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Thai Restaurant in San Francisco is Stonestown with 79% average survivability, followed by Portola and Lakeshore. 9 of 9 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.

For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.


Can a Thai Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes — neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.


How Often Are Thai Restaurant Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.


Is a Thai Restaurant a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Stonestown, StreetSpring forecasts a 77.0% – 81.0% average chance for a new Thai Restaurant to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Thai Restaurant in San Francisco

Reducing vacancy starts with choosing tenants whose business type matches the neighborhood's strengths. For Thai Restaurant tenants, Stonestown provides the best survivability conditions (77.0% – 81.0%). Portola and Lakeshore also show viable averages at 76.0% – 81.0% and 76.0% – 81.0% respectively. Our tool shows the survivability outlook for any business type at your exact address, updated weekly.

StreetSpring's predictions are granular enough to distinguish between two storefronts on the same block.

Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity


What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.


Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.