What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Thai Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Thai Restaurant is Central Berkeley, ranked #1 at 87.3% Best and 82.1% Typical. 42 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

What is the average survivability for Thai Restaurant across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Thai Restaurant lasts two or more years is 66.9% Typical. Central Berkeley, ranked #1, is at 82.1% Typical.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Thai Restaurant in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Thai Restaurant include Colony Park (ranked last, at 52.8% Best and 50.4% Typical), Clayton Valley Highlands, and Thousand Oaks. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data.

What should I consider when opening a Thai Restaurant in San Francisco?

The most important factor for a business's success is the Revenue Capture Score for the business at the location it selects. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Thai Restaurant survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring generates location-specific predictions tailored to your exact site.

Survivability Rankings for Thai Restaurant in San Francisco

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Thai Restaurant make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Thai Restaurant, on Best, from Central Berkeley (87.3% survival) to Colony Park.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: November 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

Best, Typical and Worst: Best is the average chance of lasting two or more years for the better of two addresses picked at random in the place, in a smaller space; Typical is the average address; Worst is the same for the worse of two, in a larger space

#1 Neighborhood: Central Berkeley: 87.3% Best, 82.1% Typical for Thai Restaurant

The range inside Central Berkeley: the best locations reach 88.2% and the most challenging sit at 71.8%, a spread of 16.4 points. Picking the neighborhood narrows the search; the specific address is what settles it

Neighborhoods at or above 70% Typical: 42 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 66.9% for Thai Restaurants

Most challenging area: Colony Park: 52.8% Best, 50.4% Typical

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Thai Restaurant Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Thai Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Thai Restaurant a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Central Berkeley leads San Francisco's 2026 survivability rankings for Thai Restaurant operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 87.3% Best and 82.1% Typical. The last-ranked neighborhood is Colony Park, at 52.8% Best and 50.4% Typical. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Thai Restaurant?

Central Berkeley ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Thai Restaurant survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 87.3% Best as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	Best	Typical	Worst
1	Central Berkeley	San Francisco	87.3%	82.1%	77.5%
2	Central Richmond	San Francisco	87.2%	77.4%	71.9%
3	Lorin	San Francisco	87.2%	81.0%	76.3%
4	Bushrod	San Francisco	86.8%	79.3%	74.7%
5	West Berkeley	San Francisco	86.6%	78.4%	73.8%
6	Inner Richmond	San Francisco	86.6%	78.5%	73.9%
7	Mission Bay	San Francisco	86.6%	76.0%	69.2%
8	Mission	San Francisco	86.5%	77.4%	72.1%
9	Potrero Hill	San Francisco	86.4%	78.7%	74.3%
10	Bernal Heights	San Francisco	85.4%	77.1%	72.2%

Best and Worst are the average results for the better and the worse of two addresses picked at random in the place: a weighted average of every scored location in which the best locations count the most for Best and the weakest count the most for Worst. Typical is the average address. Best is shown for a smaller space (half the standard size) and Worst for a larger one (half again as large), at the metro's median asking rent, using the same rent rule as our tool; Typical is at the market rent.

For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

The ranking runs on Best. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

These figures assume a lease at the local market rate. The live tool adjusts the figure when you enter a lease that is cheaper or more expensive than that.

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Thai Restaurant Make the Most Money?

Where a Thai Restaurant would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Central Berkeley is ranked #1 for Thai Restaurant survivability, at 87.3% Best and 82.1% Typical; Colony Park is ranked last of the 107, at 52.8% Best and 50.4% Typical. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The rankings below show how far apart the neighborhoods of one city sit for the same business type. Opening a Thai Restaurant in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Thai Restaurant lasts two or more years is 66.9% Typical. Survivability predictions are business-type-specific because consumer behavior differs fundamentally across categories.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Thai Restaurant in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Thai Restaurant in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The most important factor for a business's success is the Revenue Capture Score for the business at the location it selects. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our forecasting engine processes data from 24 major U.S. metro areas. Neighborhoods with a mix of similar businesses frequently outperform isolated locations. These results are powered by exclusive algorithms trained on one of the largest commercial real estate datasets in the U.S. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Thai Restaurant?

According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include Central Berkeley, Central Richmond, and Lorin, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Colony Park, Clayton Valley Highlands, and Thousand Oaks. Market conditions are changing daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Related Articles:

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Thai Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Thai Restaurant in San Francisco is Central Berkeley, at 87.3% Best and 82.1% Typical, followed by Central Richmond and Lorin. 42 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

Can a Thai Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Thai Restaurant Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Thai Restaurant a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Central Berkeley, the projected chance that a new Thai Restaurant lasts two or more years is 82.1% Typical and 87.3% Best, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Thai Restaurant in San Francisco

For landlords evaluating tenant applications, StreetSpring's data provides a clear comparison across the top neighborhoods. In Central Berkeley, a Thai Restaurant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 87.3% Best. In Central Richmond, it is 87.2% Best, and in Lorin, 87.2% Best. Our tool shows the survivability outlook for any business type at your exact address, updated regularly.

StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Thai Restaurant compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Thai Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Thai Restaurant
Business Survivability in Central Berkeley, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Central Richmond, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Lorin, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

Table of Contents