What is the average survivability for Pizza Restaurant across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Pizza Restaurant lasts two or more years is 67.6% at a typical address. Mission Bay, ranked #1, is at 83.7% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Pizza Restaurant in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Pizza Restaurant include Thousand Oaks (ranked last, at 51.9% at a good address and 50.9% at a typical address), Colony Park, and Woodside (Concord). Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Pizza Restaurant survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. Our tool scores any business category at the exact storefront address you enter.

What should I consider when opening a Pizza Restaurant in San Francisco?

The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Pizza Restaurant in San Francisco

Q: What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Pizza Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Pizza Restaurant is Mission Bay, ranked #1 at 84.0% at a good address and 83.7% at a typical address (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). 51 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Pizza Restaurant make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Pizza Restaurant, at a good address, from Mission Bay (84.0% survival) to Thousand Oaks.

September 22, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Mission Bay: 84.0% at a good address, 83.7% at a typical address for Pizza Restaurant (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 51 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 67.6% for Pizza Restaurants

Most challenging area: Thousand Oaks: 51.9% at a good address, 50.9% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Pizza Restaurant Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Pizza Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Pizza Restaurant a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Mission Bay leads San Francisco's 2026 survivability rankings for Pizza Restaurant operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address and 83.7% at a typical address (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 82.6%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Thousand Oaks, at 51.9% at a good address and 50.9% at a typical address. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Pizza Restaurant?

Mission Bay ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Pizza Restaurant survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 84.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Mission Bay	San Francisco	84.0%	83.7%	84.0%	82.6%
2	Potrero Hill	San Francisco	84.0%	82.6%	84.0%	76.4%
3	Mission	San Francisco	84.0%	80.5%	84.0%	54.8%
4	South Beach	San Francisco	84.0%	78.9%	84.0%	58.8%
5	South of Market	San Francisco	84.0%	78.8%	84.0%	50.7%
6	Bayview Hunters Point	San Francisco	84.0%	70.9%	84.0%	50.7%
7	Bayview	San Francisco	83.8%	72.5%	84.0%	48.4%
8	Inner Richmond	San Francisco	83.6%	78.4%	83.6%	61.0%
9	West Berkeley	San Francisco	83.6%	77.7%	84.0%	63.8%
10	Central Richmond	San Francisco	83.6%	77.6%	84.0%	51.6%

For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Pizza Restaurant Make the Most Money?

Where a Pizza Restaurant would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Mission Bay is ranked #1 for Pizza Restaurant survivability, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.7% at a typical address; Thousand Oaks is ranked last of the 107, at 51.9% at a good address and 50.9% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Where you sign the lease is a choice you can check against the published scores before you commit. Opening a Pizza Restaurant in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Pizza Restaurant lasts two or more years is 67.6% at a typical address. A high-traffic corner that works well for a coffee shop may be entirely wrong for a specialty retailer.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Pizza Restaurant in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Pizza Restaurant in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: it is StreetSpring's estimate of the revenue a business can capture at that address. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. A certain density of competitors signals strong demand and can benefit all businesses. Every score is produced by our in-house models, trained on 570,000+ real business outcomes. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Pizza Restaurant?

StreetSpring's analysis shows the best areas are Mission Bay, Potrero Hill, and Mission, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Thousand Oaks, Colony Park, and Woodside (Concord). For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
National City Survivability: Pizza Restaurant
National Neighborhood Survivability: Pizza Restaurant

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Pizza Restaurant?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Pizza Restaurant in San Francisco is Mission Bay, at 84.0% at a good address and 83.7% at a typical address (6 ranked neighborhoods share the 84.0% good-address figure), followed by Potrero Hill and Mission. 51 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Can a Pizza Restaurant Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Pizza Restaurant Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Pizza Restaurant a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Mission Bay, the projected chance that a new Pizza Restaurant lasts two or more years is 83.7% at a typical address and 84.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Pizza Restaurant in San Francisco

Reducing vacancy starts with choosing tenants whose business type matches the neighborhood's strengths. For Pizza Restaurant tenants, Mission Bay is ranked first (83.7% at a typical address). Potrero Hill and Mission follow at 82.6% at a typical address and 80.5% at a typical address respectively. You can see the Survivability Score for your location for any business right now.

StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for 500+ business types.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Pizza Restaurant compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Pizza Restaurant in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Pizza Restaurant
Business Survivability in Mission Bay, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Potrero Hill, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Mission, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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