What is the average survivability for Nail Salon across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Nail Salon lasts two or more years is 62.2% at a typical address. East Peralta, ranked #1, is at 78.2% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Nail Salon in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Nail Salon include Thousand Oaks (ranked last, at 50.2% at a good address and 49.6% at a typical address), Crocker Amazon, and Colony Park. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Nail Salon survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.

What should I consider when opening a Nail Salon in San Francisco?

The single most important number in a location decision is the Revenue Capture Score, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Nail Salon in San Francisco

Q: What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Nail Salon?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Nail Salon is East Peralta, ranked #1 at 83.6% at a good address and 78.2% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure). 7 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Nail Salon make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

Q: Can a Nail Salon succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Nail Salon, at a good address, from East Peralta (83.6% survival) to Thousand Oaks.

October 5, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: East Peralta: 83.6% at a good address, 78.2% at a typical address for Nail Salon (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure)

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 7 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 62.2% for Nail Salons

Most challenging area: Thousand Oaks: 50.2% at a good address, 49.6% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Nail Salon Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Nail Salon Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Nail Salon a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis shows the best neighborhood in and around San Francisco to open a Nail Salon is East Peralta, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address and 78.2% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure). Its highest scored address is at 83.6% and its lowest at 70.5%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Thousand Oaks, at 50.2% at a good address and 49.6% at a typical address. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Nail Salon?

East Peralta ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Nail Salon survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.6% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	East Peralta	San Francisco	83.6%	78.2%	83.6%	70.5%
2	Jackson Triangle	San Francisco	83.6%	69.6%	84.0%	56.6%
3	Monte Gardens	San Francisco	82.6%	69.2%	82.6%	57.4%
4	Burbank	San Francisco	82.2%	71.3%	83.6%	51.2%
5	Santa Clara	San Francisco	82.2%	68.2%	83.1%	50.2%
6	Inner Richmond	San Francisco	81.8%	69.6%	82.2%	50.7%
7	West Berkeley	San Francisco	81.8%	69.1%	82.2%	49.8%
8	Cambridge Park	San Francisco	81.8%	64.6%	81.8%	50.7%
9	Cleveland Heights	San Francisco	81.3%	75.1%	82.6%	62.0%
10	Outer Richmond	San Francisco	81.3%	69.0%	82.2%	49.8%

However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Nail Salon Make the Most Money?

Where a Nail Salon would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

East Peralta is ranked #1 for Nail Salon survivability, at 83.6% at a good address and 78.2% at a typical address; Thousand Oaks is ranked last of the 107, at 50.2% at a good address and 49.6% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

The same business type carries a different projected chance in every ranked neighborhood of a city, so the address is worth testing before you sign. Opening a Nail Salon in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Nail Salon lasts two or more years is 62.2% at a typical address. A high-traffic corner that works well for a coffee shop may be entirely wrong for a specialty retailer.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Nail Salon in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Nail Salon in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The single most important number in a location decision is the Revenue Capture Score, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. These results are powered by exclusive algorithms trained on one of the largest commercial real estate datasets in the U.S. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Nail Salon?

According to StreetSpring's data, optimal neighborhoods include East Peralta, Jackson Triangle, and Monte Gardens, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Thousand Oaks, Crocker Amazon, and Colony Park. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
National City Survivability: Nail Salon
National Neighborhood Survivability: Nail Salon

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Nail Salon?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Nail Salon in San Francisco is East Peralta, at 83.6% at a good address and 78.2% at a typical address (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 83.6% good-address figure), followed by Jackson Triangle and Monte Gardens. 7 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.

Can a Nail Salon Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Nail Salon Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Nail Salon a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In East Peralta, the projected chance that a new Nail Salon lasts two or more years is 78.2% at a typical address and 83.6% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Nail Salon in San Francisco

For Nail Salon tenants in San Francisco's three top-ranked neighborhoods, the projected chance of lasting two or more years at a typical address is:

East Peralta: 78.2%
Jackson Triangle: 69.6%
Monte Gardens: 69.2%

Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.

Our tool scores any business category at the exact storefront address you enter.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Nail Salon compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Nail Salon in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Nail Salon
Business Survivability in East Peralta, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Jackson Triangle, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Monte Gardens, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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