What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Liquor Store?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Liquor Store is Jackson Triangle, ranked #1 at 85.0% at a good address and 67.7% at a typical address. 29 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

What is the average survivability for Liquor Store across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Liquor Store lasts two or more years is 66.0% at a typical address. Jackson Triangle, ranked #1, is at 67.7% at a typical address.

What are the worst neighborhoods for Liquor Store in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Liquor Store include Turtle Creek (ranked last, at 54.9% at a good address and 52.0% at a typical address), Colony Park, and Thousand Oaks. Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform.

How accurate are StreetSpring's Liquor Store survivability predictions?

StreetSpring publishes its accuracy on the methodology page, stated with its base rate: how often the model tells an open business from a closed one on cities held out of training, its precision on risk flags, and its discrimination. Each score draws on 100+ factors and is reported as the projected chance of lasting two or more years, never as a guarantee. StreetSpring's predictions are granular enough to distinguish between two storefronts on the same block.

What should I consider when opening a Liquor Store in San Francisco?

StreetSpring's proprietary Revenue Capture Score, the revenue a business can capture at a specific address, is the factor that matters most when choosing where to open. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Liquor Store in San Francisco

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Liquor Store make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Liquor Store, at a good address, from Jackson Triangle (85.0% survival) to Turtle Creek.

October 5, 2026•14 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

#1 Neighborhood: Jackson Triangle: 85.0% at a good address, 67.7% at a typical address for Liquor Store

Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 29 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 66.0% for Liquor Stores

Most challenging area: Turtle Creek: 54.9% at a good address, 52.0% at a typical address

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Liquor Store Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Liquor Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Liquor Store a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Of all the neighborhoods in and around San Francisco, Jackson Triangle ranks #1 for opening a Liquor Store, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address and 67.7% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 85.0% and its lowest at 51.7%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Turtle Creek, at 54.9% at a good address and 52.0% at a typical address. A low-ranking neighborhood can still contain high-potential storefronts: the address matters most.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Liquor Store?

Jackson Triangle ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Liquor Store survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 85.0% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	At a good address	Average (typical address)	Best Locations	Challenging Locations
1	Jackson Triangle	San Francisco	85.0%	67.7%	85.0%	51.7%
2	East Peralta	San Francisco	84.6%	76.0%	84.6%	56.2%
3	Mission	San Francisco	84.1%	77.2%	85.0%	49.9%
4	Temescal	San Francisco	84.1%	74.2%	84.6%	50.8%
5	Burbank	San Francisco	84.1%	72.0%	84.6%	54.4%
6	Mission-Foothill	San Francisco	84.1%	69.1%	84.6%	50.8%
7	Santa Clara	San Francisco	84.1%	67.7%	85.0%	49.4%
8	West Berkeley	San Francisco	83.9%	74.7%	85.0%	50.8%
9	Lorin	San Francisco	83.7%	78.4%	85.0%	55.8%
10	Central Richmond	San Francisco	83.6%	75.6%	85.0%	50.4%

For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Liquor Store Make the Most Money?

Where a Liquor Store would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Jackson Triangle is ranked #1 for Liquor Store survivability, at 85.0% at a good address and 67.7% at a typical address; Turtle Creek is ranked last of the 107, at 54.9% at a good address and 52.0% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Liquor Store in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Liquor Store lasts two or more years is 66.0% at a typical address. Different business types will have different forecasted spend than others, and all of those would have different projections for each location.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Liquor Store in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Liquor Store in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. StreetSpring's proprietary Revenue Capture Score, the revenue a business can capture at a specific address, is the factor that matters most when choosing where to open. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. We incorporate data from thousands of neighborhoods and hundreds of thousands of individual businesses. Areas with complementary competitors tend to generate higher overall foot traffic. These forecasts are generated using StreetSpring's unique analytical framework. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Liquor Store?

Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Jackson Triangle, East Peralta, and Mission, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Turtle Creek, Colony Park, and Thousand Oaks. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.

Related Articles:

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
National City Survivability: Liquor Store
National Neighborhood Survivability: Liquor Store

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Liquor Store?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Liquor Store in San Francisco is Jackson Triangle, at 85.0% at a good address and 67.7% at a typical address, followed by East Peralta and Mission. 29 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.

New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.

Can a Liquor Store Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Liquor Store Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Liquor Store a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Jackson Triangle, the projected chance that a new Liquor Store lasts two or more years is 67.7% at a typical address and 85.0% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Liquor Store in San Francisco

The data tells a clear story for Liquor Store tenants across San Francisco's top neighborhoods. Jackson Triangle leads at 67.7% at a typical address, with its best scored address at 85.0%. East Peralta is at 76.0% at a typical address, and Mission at 77.2% at a typical address. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

StreetSpring provides highly detailed forecasts: revealing how long hundreds of business types are likely to last at a specific address.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Liquor Store compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Liquor Store in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Liquor Store
Business Survivability in Jackson Triangle, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in East Peralta, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Mission, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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