What is the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Bar?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the best neighborhood in San Francisco to open a Bar is Piedmont Avenue, ranked #1 at 90.1% Best and 85.9% Typical. 41 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

What is the average survivability for Bar across San Francisco's ranked neighborhoods?

Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco, the average projected chance that a Bar lasts two or more years is 65.9% Typical. Piedmont Avenue, ranked #1, is at 85.9% Typical.

What should I consider when opening a Bar in San Francisco?

Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes Revenue Capture Score by projecting the business's market share based on competitor quality and quantity, mobility patterns, and forecasted consumer spending for the specific business type.

Survivability Rankings for Bar in San Francisco

Q: Where in San Francisco would a Bar make the most money?

It depends on the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. Check it in the live tool for each San Francisco address you are weighing.

Q: What are the worst neighborhoods for Bar in San Francisco?

The most challenging neighborhoods in San Francisco for Bar include Financial District/South Beach (ranked last, at 49.8% Best and 48.2% Typical; 2 ranked neighborhoods share the 49.8% Best figure), Financial District, and Tenderloin. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates.

Q: Can a Bar succeed in lower-ranked neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood rankings are averages that mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

StreetSpring's 2026 ranking of San Francisco neighborhoods to open a Bar, on Best, from Piedmont Avenue (90.1% survival) to Financial District/South Beach.

November 10, 2026•13 min read

By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: November 2026 | Methodology

Quick Summary

Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address

Best, Typical and Worst: Best is the average chance of lasting two or more years for the better of two addresses picked at random in the place, in a smaller space; Typical is the average address; Worst is the same for the worse of two, in a larger space

#1 Neighborhood: Piedmont Avenue: 90.1% Best, 85.9% Typical for Bar

The range inside Piedmont Avenue: the best locations reach 89.0% and the most challenging sit at 74.1%, a spread of 14.9 points. Picking the neighborhood narrows the search; the specific address is what settles it

Neighborhoods at or above 70% Typical: 41 of 107 ranked

Average across the 107 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 65.9% for Bars

Most challenging area: Financial District/South Beach: 49.8% Best, 48.2% Typical (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 49.8% Best figure)

Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address

Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →

Summary
10 Best Neighborhoods
Where Would a Bar Make the Most Money?
What Should I Consider?
Where Should I Start?
FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
FAQ: Can a Bar Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
FAQ: Is a Bar a Good Tenant?
Landlord Survivability Data
Best Neighborhoods for Any Business

Summary

Opening a Bar in San Francisco? Our 2026 analysis identifies Piedmont Avenue as the top location, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 90.1% Best and 85.9% Typical. The last-ranked neighborhood is Financial District/South Beach, at 49.8% Best and 48.2% Typical (2 ranked neighborhoods share the 49.8% Best figure). These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront.

What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Bar?

Piedmont Avenue ranks #1 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods in and around San Francisco for Bar survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 90.1% Best as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:

Rank	Neighborhood	Metro	Best	Typical	Worst
1	Piedmont Avenue	San Francisco	90.1%	85.9%	80.8%
2	Rockridge	San Francisco	89.8%	82.9%	76.6%
3	Lorin	San Francisco	89.1%	84.1%	79.1%
4	West Berkeley	San Francisco	88.4%	81.1%	75.8%
5	Northwest Berkeley	San Francisco	88.3%	82.5%	77.4%
6	Elmwood	San Francisco	88.1%	81.0%	75.9%
7	Longfellow	San Francisco	87.9%	80.5%	75.4%
8	Westbrae	San Francisco	87.9%	79.0%	73.8%
9	Temescal	San Francisco	87.8%	77.2%	71.0%
10	Bushrod	San Francisco	87.6%	82.3%	77.5%

Best and Worst are the average results for the better and the worse of two addresses picked at random in the place: a weighted average of every scored location in which the best locations count the most for Best and the weakest count the most for Worst. Typical is the average address. Best is shown for a smaller space (half the standard size) and Worst for a larger one (half again as large), at the metro's median asking rent, using the same rent rule as our tool; Typical is at the market rent.

These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.

The ranking runs on Best. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →

These figures assume a lease at the local market rate. The live tool adjusts the figure when you enter a lease that is cheaper or more expensive than that.

Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.

Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Bar Make the Most Money?

Where a Bar would make the most money in or around San Francisco comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.

Piedmont Avenue is ranked #1 for Bar survivability, at 90.1% Best and 85.9% Typical; Financial District/South Beach is ranked last of the 107, at 49.8% Best and 48.2% Typical. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.

Location is one of the few things about a new business you can measure before it opens. Opening a Bar in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across the 107 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Bar lasts two or more years is 65.9% Typical. The interplay between location characteristics and business type produces unique survivability scores for every combination.

What Should I Consider When Opening a Bar in or Around San Francisco?

When selecting a location for a Bar in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Revenue Capture Score comes first when comparing locations: it turns local competition and consumer spending into the share of revenue a business can expect to win. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our platform incorporates data from thousands of neighborhoods nationwide. Some of the best-performing locations are surrounded by complementary competitors that drive foot traffic. These insights come from StreetSpring's exclusive, in-house forecasting models. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.

This can be summarized as:

Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.

Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Bar?

The neighborhoods with the highest survivability for this business type are Piedmont Avenue, Rockridge, and Lorin, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Financial District/South Beach, Financial District, and Tenderloin. The highest and lowest scored addresses inside one neighborhood can sit far apart, so the neighborhood figure is a starting point. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.

Related Articles:

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Bar?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Bar in San Francisco is Piedmont Avenue, at 90.1% Best and 85.9% Typical, followed by Rockridge and Lorin. 41 of the 107 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% Typical.

Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.

Can a Bar Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?

Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation: always check your specific address. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.

How Often Are Bar Rankings in San Francisco Updated?

StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.

Is a Bar a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?

In Piedmont Avenue, the projected chance that a new Bar lasts two or more years is 85.9% Typical and 90.1% Best, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.

Landlord Survivability Data for Bar in San Francisco

Tenant longevity is a top concern for commercial landlords. In Piedmont Avenue, the top-ranked neighborhood in San Francisco, a Bar tenant has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 90.1% Best. Rockridge follows at 89.8% Best, while Lorin shows 89.1% Best. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.

StreetSpring delivers address-level predictions, showing how likely hundreds of different businesses are to last at that exact spot.

What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?

You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.

Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Bar compares to all other business types in San Francisco
Best Cities to Open a Bar in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Bar
Business Survivability in Piedmont Avenue, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Rockridge, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
Business Survivability in Lorin, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood

Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View technical data for San Francisco

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.

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