Survivability Rankings for Coffee Shop in Portland
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in Portland to open a Coffee Shop, from Richmond (79% survival) to Hayden Island (73%).
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Richmond: 79% average survivability for Coffee Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 44 of 47 analyzed
- City-wide average: 77% for Coffee Shops
- Most challenging area: Hayden Island at 73%
- Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~5.5% more expected revenue in Richmond
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Opening a Coffee Shop in Portland? Our 2026 analysis identifies Richmond as the top location with 79% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 83% and the most challenging locations in Richmond at 75%. The worst neighborhoods include Hayden Island with 73% average chance. For the most current predictions, visit StreetSpring to analyze your specific location in real-time.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around Portland to Open a Coffee Shop?
Richmond ranks #1 of 47 neighborhoods analyzed in and around Portland for Coffee Shop survivability, with a 79% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | At a good address | Average Locations | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richmond | 80.9% | 77.0% to 81.0% | 81.0% to 83.0% | 75.0% to 76.0% |
| 2 | Concordia | 80.8% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 72.0% to 74.0% |
| 3 | Goose Hollow | 80.5% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 74.0% to 76.0% |
| 4 | Reed | 80.3% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 75.0% to 76.0% |
| 5 | Rose City Park | 80.2% | 77.0% to 81.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 75.0% to 77.0% |
| 6 | Beaumont-Wilshire | 80.2% | 77.0% to 81.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 75.0% to 77.0% |
| 7 | Mount Tabor | 80.2% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 75.0% to 77.0% |
| 8 | Woodlawn | 80.1% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 75.0% to 77.0% |
| 9 | Parkrose | 80.0% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 74.0% to 76.0% |
| 10 | Central Beaverton | 79.9% | 76.0% to 80.0% | 80.0% to 82.0% | 70.0% to 72.0% |
StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around Portland Would a Coffee Shop Make the Most Money?
In Richmond, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~5.5% more than the average location in or around Portland.
On the other hand, in Hayden Island, the worst possible location could result in making ~10.9% less than the average location in the city.
Our data consistently shows that location accounts for more variance in outcomes than any other single factor. Opening a Coffee Shop in Portland requires careful location choice. Across 47 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Coffee Shop is 77% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. The interplay between location characteristics and business type produces unique survivability scores for every combination.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Coffee Shop in or Around Portland?
When selecting a location for a Coffee Shop in or around Portland, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. Among all factors in our model, Revenue Capture Score carries the most weight in determining long-term survivability. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. A certain density of competitors signals strong demand and can benefit all businesses. These insights come from StreetSpring's exclusive, in-house forecasting models. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. New competitor openings and closures happen weekly: the live tool ensures you see the latest picture.
Where in or Around Portland Should I Start a Coffee Shop?
Our data ranks the top-performing neighborhoods as Richmond, Concordia, and Goose Hollow, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Hayden Island, Markham, and Mill Park. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool. However, market conditions change daily, and it's best to use StreetSpring's live data to check the Survivability Score for a specific address.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Portland
- National City Survivability: Coffee Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Coffee Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in Portland to Open a Coffee Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Coffee Shop in Portland is Richmond with 79% average survivability, followed by Concordia and Goose Hollow. 44 of 47 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.
Real-time data from StreetSpring accounts for recent openings, closures, and seasonal shifts that static rankings cannot.
Can a Coffee Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in Portland?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Location-level factors like visibility and adjacent tenants can override neighborhood-level trends. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Coffee Shop Rankings in Portland Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in Portland.
Is a Coffee Shop a Good Tenant for Portland Landlords?
In Richmond, StreetSpring forecasts a 77.0% to 81.0% average chance for a new Coffee Shop to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Coffee Shop in Portland
The data tells a clear story for Coffee Shop tenants across Portland's top neighborhoods. Richmond leads with 77.0% to 81.0% average survivability, with best-case storefronts reaching 81.0% to 83.0%. Concordia averages 76.0% to 80.0%, and Goose Hollow comes in at 76.0% to 80.0%. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront at no cost.
Our tool delivers pinpoint accuracy down to the exact storefront location for any business category.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around Portland for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around Portland to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Portland.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: Portland: See how Coffee Shop compares to all other business types in Portland
- Best Cities to Open a Coffee Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Coffee Shop
- Business Survivability in Richmond, Portland: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Concordia, Portland: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Goose Hollow, Portland: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for Portland are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for Portland
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.