Survivability Rankings for Bagel Shop in New York City
2026 ranking of New York City neighborhoods to open a Bagel Shop, at a good address, from West Side, Jersey City (83.3% survival) to Tudor City.
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: October 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: West Side, Jersey City: 83.3% at a good address, 77.5% at a typical address for Bagel Shop
- Neighborhoods at or above 70% at a typical address: 17 of 180 ranked
- Average across the 180 ranked neighborhoods (typical address): 60.5% for Bagel Shops
- Most challenging area: Tudor City: 50.5% at a good address, 48.9% at a typical address
- Revenue Capture Score: the most important factor in choosing a location, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Bagel Shop Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Bagel Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Bagel Shop a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
West Side, Jersey City leads New York City's 2026 survivability rankings for Bagel Shop operators, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.3% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address. Its highest scored address is at 84.0% and its lowest at 51.6%. The last-ranked neighborhood is Tudor City, at 50.5% at a good address and 48.9% at a typical address. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around New York City to Open a Bagel Shop?
West Side, Jersey City ranks #1 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods in and around New York City for Bagel Shop survivability, with a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 83.3% at a good address as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | Metro | At a good address | Average (typical address) | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Side, Jersey City | New York City | 83.3% | 77.5% | 84.0% | 51.6% |
| 2 | New Dorp | New York City | 83.1% | 68.5% | 83.6% | 49.8% |
| 3 | Clove Lake | New York City | 82.9% | 73.4% | 83.6% | 57.9% |
| 4 | Hunters Point | New York City | 82.8% | 68.4% | 84.0% | 48.0% |
| 5 | Hackensack Riverfront | New York City | 82.6% | 73.4% | 84.0% | 48.4% |
| 6 | Greenpoint | New York City | 82.6% | 73.2% | 84.0% | 48.0% |
| 7 | Bergen-Lafayette | New York City | 82.5% | 74.2% | 84.0% | 48.4% |
| 8 | McGinley Square | New York City | 82.3% | 77.2% | 83.6% | 53.4% |
| 9 | Windsor Terrace | New York City | 82.2% | 75.8% | 84.0% | 57.0% |
| 10 | Clinton Hill | New York City | 81.9% | 70.6% | 84.0% | 48.9% |
However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.
The ranking runs on the good-address figure (the 90th percentile of the scored addresses in each neighborhood). Average is the typical address; Best and Challenging Locations are the highest and lowest scored address in the neighborhood. Every figure is the projected chance of lasting two or more years, as printed in the linked file. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around New York City Would a Bagel Shop Make the Most Money?
Where a Bagel Shop would make the most money in or around New York City comes down to the exact address. The Revenue Capture Score is the most important factor in choosing a location: StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address.
West Side, Jersey City is ranked #1 for Bagel Shop survivability, at 83.3% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address; Tudor City is ranked last of the 180, at 50.5% at a good address and 48.9% at a typical address. Revenue at a specific storefront is what the Revenue Capture Score estimates, so check it for each address you are weighing.
Where you sign the lease is a choice you can check against the published scores before you commit. Opening a Bagel Shop in New York City requires careful location choice. Across the 180 ranked neighborhoods, the average projected chance that a new Bagel Shop lasts two or more years is 60.5% at a typical address. The same location can be excellent for one business type and poor for another.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Bagel Shop in or Around New York City?
When selecting a location for a Bagel Shop in or around New York City, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. The single most important number in a location decision is the Revenue Capture Score, StreetSpring's proprietary estimate of the revenue a business can capture at a specific address. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. Clustering works when it draws more customers to the area than any single business could alone. These forecasts are generated using StreetSpring's unique analytical framework. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. For the most accurate predictions, always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform.
Where in or Around New York City Should I Start a Bagel Shop?
The strongest survivability scores belong to West Side, Jersey City, New Dorp, and Clove Lake, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Tudor City, Sutton Place, and Gramercy. These rankings are based on the latest available data; check StreetSpring for real-time updates. Static rankings provide a useful baseline, but the live tool captures changes that have occurred since publication.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: New York City
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City
- National City Survivability: Bagel Shop
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Bagel Shop
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in New York City to Open a Bagel Shop?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Bagel Shop in New York City is West Side, Jersey City, at 83.3% at a good address and 77.5% at a typical address, followed by New Dorp and Clove Lake. 17 of the 180 ranked neighborhoods are at or above 70% at a typical address.
Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
Can a Bagel Shop Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in New York City?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. Even neighborhoods with modest average scores can harbor exceptional individual locations. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Bagel Shop Rankings in New York City Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in New York City.
Is a Bagel Shop a Good Tenant for New York City Landlords?
In West Side, Jersey City, the projected chance that a new Bagel Shop lasts two or more years is 77.5% at a typical address and 83.3% at a good address, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Bagel Shop in New York City
For landlords evaluating tenant applications, StreetSpring's data provides a clear comparison across the top neighborhoods. In West Side, Jersey City, a Bagel Shop has a projected chance of lasting two or more years of 77.5% at a typical address. In New Dorp, it is 68.5% at a typical address, and in Clove Lake, 73.4% at a typical address. Get a live Survivability Score for your specific storefront in the live tool.
Each prediction is calibrated to the specific address, factoring in competition, housing vacancy, and consumer spending at that exact location.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around New York City for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around New York City to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: New York City.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: New York City: See how Bagel Shop compares to all other business types in New York City
- Best Cities to Open a Bagel Shop in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Bagel Shop
- Business Survivability in West Side, Jersey City, New York City: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in New Dorp, New York City: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Clove Lake, New York City: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for New York City are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for New York City
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the figures shown here.