City Survivability Rankings for Tex-Mex Restaurant

Quick Summary

• Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
• The highest-survivability city for Tex-Mex Restaurant is Portland — 81.48% average survivability
• 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Tex-Mex Restaurant survivability
• The lowest-ranked city is New York City at 79.85%
• National average chance of lasting two or more years for Tex-Mex Restaurant: 81.0%
• Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

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Table of Contents

• Summary
• Top Cities for Tex-Mex Restaurants
• Key Insights
• What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
• Related Resources
• How current is this ranking?
• Can a Tex-Mex Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
• What tools can help me choose the right city for a Tex-Mex Restaurant?
• Which US city has the best survivability for Tex-Mex Restaurants?

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Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Portland ranks as the #1 city for opening a Tex-Mex Restaurant in the United States, with an average 81.48% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 81.42%, and St Louis with 81.36%. With a 81.0% national average and 24 cities clearing 80%, Tex-Mex Restaurants represent a category with meaningful upside in well-selected markets. That said, city averages don't tell the whole story — there are standout locations even in areas that appear less suitable at first glance. Market conditions shift frequently — use StreetSpring's live tool to confirm the current picture before committing to a location.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

Best-to-worst Tex-Mex Restaurant survivability within individual metros — San Antonio, Tampa Bay, Phoenix, Minneapolis and Dallas. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).

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All 24 Cities Ranked for Tex-Mex Restaurants

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Tex-Mex Restaurants:

1. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

• Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 81.0% – 83.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

• Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 83.0%
• Challenging locations: 67.0% – 78.0%

3. St Louis

• Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

4. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

• Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

5. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

• Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 78.0%

6. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

8. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

9. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

10. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

11. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

12. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

13. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

14. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

15. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

16. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

17. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 80.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 71.0% – 78.0%

18. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

19. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 82.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

20. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

21. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

22. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

23. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 76.0%

24. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

• Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
• Challenging locations: 68.0% – 76.0%

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Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (Portland at 81.48%) and the #24 city (New York City at 79.85%) is 1.63 percentage points. At 0.1 points apart, Portland and San Antonio are effectively tied for Tex-Mex Restaurants. The survivability difference that matters shows up block by block.

Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for Tex-Mex Restaurants.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a Tex-Mex Restaurant is 81.0%.

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What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Tex-Mex Restaurants:

• Strong survivability signals: Portland leads with a 82% average chance of lasting two or more years for Tex-Mex Restaurants — significantly above the national average for this business category.
• Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Tex-Mex Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
• Supply chain access: Cities at the top of this ranking benefit from mature supplier networks for this category, reducing operating costs and inventory lead times.
• Regulatory environment: Top-ranked cities tend to have streamlined commercial permitting and lower business tax burdens relative to their metro size, reducing friction for new operators.

Across the U.S., real estate professionals and business owners rely on StreetSpring's AI predictions to understand where a new venture is most likely to thrive, before signing a lease. We have been studying the businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans. StreetSpring generates these results using its proprietary prediction system, tailored to each business and location.

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Visual Data

Related Resources

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

• Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
• Business Survivability Rankings: San Antonio
• Business Survivability Rankings: St Louis
• Business Survivability Rankings: Orlando
• Business Survivability Rankings: Charlotte

National guides:

• National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for Tex-Mex Restaurants
• Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Portland

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How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Tex-Mex Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.

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Can a Tex-Mex Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Tex-Mex Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Tex-Mex Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.

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What tools can help me choose the right city for a Tex-Mex Restaurant?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Tex-Mex Restaurants across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Tex-Mex Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a Tex-Mex Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →

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Which US city has the best survivability for Tex-Mex Restaurants?

Portland ranks as the #1 city in the US for Tex-Mex Restaurants survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 82% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Portland, a Tex-Mex Restaurant has approximately a 82% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring

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Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Portland, San Antonio, St Louis, Orlando, Charlotte, Atlanta, Baltimore, Phoenix, Detroit, San Diego, Tampa Bay, Houston, Miami, San Francisco, Denver, Seattle, Dallas, Minneapolis, Los Angeles, Chicago, Washington DC, Boston, Philadelphia, New York City.