City Survivability Rankings for Tea Shop
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for Tea Shops across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for a Tea Shop to succeed.
Quick Summary
- The highest-survivability city for Tea Shop is Dallas — 73% average survivability
- 3 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Tea Shop survivability
- The lowest-ranked city is Philadelphia at 66%
- National average survivability score for Tea Shop: 68.5%
- Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- Top Cities for Tea Shops
- Key Insights
- What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
- Related Resources
- How current is this ranking?
- Can a Tea Shop succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
- What tools can help me choose the right city for a Tea Shop?
- Which US city has the best survivability for Tea Shops?
Summary
According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Dallas ranks as the #1 city for opening a Tea Shop in the United States, with an average 73% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are Portland with 71%, and San Antonio with 70%. Tea Shops consistently deliver a 68.5% survivability average across our 24 analyzed metros, with top-ranked Dallas demonstrating the strongest conditions. Our data shows that strong individual locations exist in every city we analyze, regardless of the city's overall ranking. These rankings reflect data through early 2026 — check StreetSpring for the latest figures before any location decision.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →
Tea Shop city survivability rankings — Dallas leads among 24 US metros at 73% in 2026
Every Major US Metro Ranked for Tea Shops
Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Tea Shops:
1. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Best locations: 78.8% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 69.7% – 74.5%
- Challenging locations: 46.0% – 64.9%
What the score range across cities tells you
2. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Best locations: 78.5% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 67.5% – 72.8%
- Challenging locations: 44.0% – 62.7%
3. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Best locations: 77.8% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 67.5% – 72.3%
- Challenging locations: 47.0% – 63.3%
4. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
- Best locations: 77.4% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 66.4% – 71.6%
- Challenging locations: 43.0% – 61.6%
5. St Louis
- Best locations: 76.0% – 84.0%
- Average locations: 66.1% – 71.2%
- Challenging locations: 42.0% – 61.2%
6. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Best locations: 78.0% – 89.0%
- Average locations: 65.9% – 71.5%
- Challenging locations: 43.0% – 61.2%
7. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Best locations: 76.6% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 66.2% – 71.0%
- Challenging locations: 46.0% – 62.1%
8. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO
- Best locations: 77.5% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 65.9% – 71.2%
- Challenging locations: 44.0% – 61.4%
9. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Best locations: 76.6% – 86.0%
- Average locations: 65.7% – 70.9%
- Challenging locations: 43.0% – 61.1%
10. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Best locations: 79.3% – 92.0%
- Average locations: 66.0% – 71.6%
- Challenging locations: 45.0% – 61.7%
11. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Best locations: 76.0% – 85.0%
- Average locations: 65.6% – 70.5%
- Challenging locations: 44.0% – 61.2%
12. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Best locations: 77.6% – 89.0%
- Average locations: 65.2% – 70.8%
- Challenging locations: 42.0% – 60.4%
Why the same business does so differently city to city
13. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Best locations: 75.2% – 84.0%
- Average locations: 64.8% – 69.9%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 59.9%
14. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Best locations: 77.4% – 89.0%
- Average locations: 64.4% – 70.4%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 59.2%
15. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX
- Best locations: 77.3% – 89.0%
- Average locations: 64.8% – 70.4%
- Challenging locations: 43.0% – 60.4%
16. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Best locations: 77.8% – 90.0%
- Average locations: 64.6% – 70.5%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 59.8%
17. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Best locations: 75.1% – 84.0%
- Average locations: 64.2% – 69.7%
- Challenging locations: 38.0% – 58.8%
18. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Best locations: 76.4% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 64.6% – 70.0%
- Challenging locations: 42.0% – 60.0%
19. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ
- Best locations: 76.8% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 64.2% – 70.1%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 59.1%
20. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL
- Best locations: 76.8% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 64.3% – 70.1%
- Challenging locations: 40.0% – 59.4%
21. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA
- Best locations: 78.4% – 92.0%
- Average locations: 64.4% – 70.3%
- Challenging locations: 43.0% – 60.0%
22. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Best locations: 77.0% – 89.0%
- Average locations: 64.0% – 69.8%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 59.3%
23. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Best locations: 76.4% – 88.0%
- Average locations: 63.6% – 69.5%
- Challenging locations: 39.0% – 58.6%
24. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Best locations: 75.5% – 87.0%
- Average locations: 63.0% – 68.5%
- Challenging locations: 41.0% – 58.5%
Patterns Across the National Picture
| Signal | Where strong-survivability cities outperform | What drags weaker cities down |
|---|---|---|
| Average commercial rent per sqft | Cities where the median commercial rate fits the subtype's typical revenue-per-sqft envelope (rent < 10% of expected gross). | Cities where rents have outpaced revenue growth, pushing rent-burden ratios past 15%. |
| BLS QCEW retail employment trend | Cities with positive 3-year retail employment growth — proxy for local demand expansion. | Cities showing flat or declining retail employment over the same window. |
| Market size vs saturation | Mid-sized metros with established demand but room for new entrants — under-served pockets in 1.5M–5M population markets. | Either tier-1 cities saturated with national chains, or thin markets under 500K population where demand can't sustain a category. |
Wide variation between cities: The difference between the #1 city (Dallas at 72.9%) and the #24 city (Philadelphia at 66.0%) is 6.9 percentage points. For Tea Shops, the 2.3-point difference between top and second-ranked cities is a strong signal that geographic market selection directly drives business outcomes.
National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a Tea Shop is 68.5%.
What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Tea Shops:
- Strong survivability signals: Dallas leads with a 73% average survivability score for Tea Shops — significantly above the national average for this business category.
- Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Tea Shops, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
- Consumer demand signals: StreetSpring's data captures foot traffic patterns, competitor review velocity, and demographic fit — all pointing toward sustained demand for Tea Shops in these markets.
- Geographic distribution: The top cities span multiple U.S. regions, giving franchise operators or multi-location owners diverse market options without concentrating risk.
This analysis leverages machine learning trained on hundreds of thousands of business lifecycle events to produce reliable survivability forecasts. Our models draw from one of the most comprehensive commercial real estate datasets ever assembled. StreetSpring uses its own proprietary forecasting tools to make these predictions.
Visual Data
Related Resources
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When was this ranking last refreshed?
Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Tea Shops, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.
Do Tea Shops only work in top-10 cities?
Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Tea Shops in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Tea Shops in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.
Which resources help pick the right metro for a Tea Shop?
StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Tea Shops across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Tea Shops, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a Tea Shop will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.
Try the Survivability Score tool →
Which city ranks first for Tea Shops?
Dallas ranks as the #1 city in the US for Tea Shops survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average score of 73%. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Dallas, a Tea Shop has approximately a 73% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. Portland ranks second, followed by San Antonio. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.
Reviewed and updated: April 25, 2026 — Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.
Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Dallas, Portland, San Antonio, San Francisco, St Louis, Los Angeles, Orlando, Denver, Charlotte, Phoenix, San Diego, Tampa Bay, Minneapolis, Seattle, Houston, Washington DC, Boston, Baltimore, New York City, Miami, Atlanta, Detroit, Chicago, Philadelphia.