City Survivability Rankings for Steakhouse

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for Steakhouses across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for a Steakhouse to succeed.

16 min read

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • The highest-survivability city for Steakhouse is Portland — 81.58% average survivability
  • 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Steakhouse survivability
  • The lowest-ranked city is New York City at 80.12%
  • National average chance of lasting two or more years for Steakhouse: 81.0%
  • Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

Table of Contents


Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Portland ranks as the #1 city for opening a Steakhouse in the United States, with an average 81.58% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 81.56%, and St Louis with 81.46%. The national picture for Steakhouses shows 81.0% average survivability across 24 cities, with the gap between Portland and lower-ranked metros revealing significant geographic variation. Market conditions change daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most current data to ensure there have not been major shifts. Pair these survivability scores with StreetSpring's live tool to get a real-time view before making a final decision.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

Steakhouses city survivability range chart — San Antonio vs Dallas (2026)

Best-to-worst Steakhouse survivability within individual metros — San Antonio, Charlotte, Phoenix, Baltimore and Dallas. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).


All 24 Cities Ranked for Steakhouses

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Steakhouses:

#MetroMetro areaChance of lasting 2+ years
1PortlandPortland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA81.58%
2San AntonioSan Antonio-New Braunfels, TX81.56%
3St Louis81.46%
4OrlandoOrlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL81.23%
5CharlotteCharlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC81.22%
6DetroitDetroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI81.06%
7BaltimoreBaltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD81.03%
8AtlantaAtlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA81.02%
9San DiegoSan Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA80.99%
10PhoenixPhoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ80.98%
11MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI80.83%
12Tampa BayTampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL80.81%
13SeattleSeattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA80.78%
14MiamiMiami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL80.76%
15San FranciscoSan Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA80.74%
16HoustonHouston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX80.70%
17DallasDallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX80.62%
18Los AngelesLos Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA80.60%
19DenverDenver-Aurora-Centennial, CO80.59%
20ChicagoChicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN80.58%
21BostonBoston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH80.44%
22Washington DCWashington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV80.42%
23PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD80.32%
24New York CityNew York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ80.12%

1. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 81.0% – 83.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 81.0% – 83.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

3. St Louis

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

4. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

  • Best locations: 84.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

5. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

6. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

8. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

9. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

10. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 78.0%

11. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

12. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

13. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

14. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 70.0% – 78.0%

15. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

16. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

17. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 80.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 72.0% – 78.0%

18. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 82.0%
  • Challenging locations: 68.0% – 77.0%

19. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

20. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

21. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

22. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

23. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

24. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

  • Best locations: 83.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 79.0% – 81.0%
  • Challenging locations: 69.0% – 77.0%

Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (Portland at 81.58%) and the #24 city (New York City at 80.12%) is 1.46 percentage points. Portland leads San Antonio by less than a point. For Steakhouses, the metro matters far less than the block.

Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for Steakhouses.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a Steakhouse is 81.0%.


What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Steakhouses:

  • Strong survivability signals: Portland leads with a 82% average chance of lasting two or more years for Steakhouses — significantly above the national average for this business category.
  • Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Steakhouses, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
  • Supply chain access: Cities at the top of this ranking benefit from mature supplier networks for this category, reducing operating costs and inventory lead times.
  • Regulatory environment: Top-ranked cities tend to have streamlined commercial permitting and lower business tax burdens relative to their metro size, reducing friction for new operators.

This analysis leverages machine learning trained on hundreds of thousands of business lifecycle events to produce reliable survivability forecasts. Our forecasting engine processes data from over 24 metro areas covering 180+ million consumers. Every score is produced by our in-house models, continuously refined against real-world business outcomes.


Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum

Strong opportunities for Steakhouses aren't limited to the highest-ranked cities. Here are top neighborhoods at different points in the national spectrum:

San Franciscoranked #13 of 24 — a middle-of-the-pack national market

  • Marina (85% survivability)
  • Mission-Bay (84% survivability)
  • Glen-Park (84% survivability)
  • Sea-Cliff (84% survivability)
  • Chinatown (84% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for San Francisco →

New York Cityranked #24 of 24 — among the lower-ranked national markets

  • Rockaway-Park (88% survivability)
  • Eltingville (87% survivability)
  • Coney-Island (86% survivability)
  • Brighton-Beach (85% survivability)
  • Old-Town (84% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for New York City →

A Steakhouse can succeed in a city ranked #1 or #24 — what matters is finding the right neighborhood within that market.



Visual Data

Bar chart ranking 24 US metros by Steakhouse survivability score; Portland highest at 81.6, New York City lowest at 80.1.
Portland leads US metros for Steakhouse survivability at 81.6, 1.46 points above last-place New York City (80.1). 24 metros scored.
US map showing Steakhouse survivability score across 24 metros; Charlotte highest at 82, New York lowest at 80.
US map of Steakhouse survivability by metro — darker green = higher score. Charlotte highest at 82, New York lowest at 80. 24 metros plotted.

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

National guides:


How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Steakhouses, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.


Can a Steakhouse succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Steakhouses in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Steakhouses in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.


What tools can help me choose the right city for a Steakhouse?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Steakhouses across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Steakhouses, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a Steakhouse will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →


Which US city has the best survivability for Steakhouses?

Portland ranks as the #1 city in the US for Steakhouses survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 82% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Portland, a Steakhouse has approximately a 82% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring


Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Portland, San Antonio, St Louis, Orlando, Charlotte, Detroit, Baltimore, Atlanta, San Diego, Phoenix, Minneapolis, Tampa Bay, Seattle, Miami, San Francisco, Houston, Dallas, Los Angeles, Denver, Chicago, Boston, Washington DC, Philadelphia, New York City.