City Survivability Rankings for Caribbean / Latin Restaurant

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for a Caribbean / Latin Restaurant to succeed.

•18 min read

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • The highest-survivability city for Caribbean / Latin Restaurant is San Antonio: 81.39% average survivability
  • 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Caribbean / Latin Restaurant survivability
  • The lowest-ranked city is New York City at 79.35%
  • National average chance of lasting two or more years for Caribbean / Latin Restaurant: 80.0%
  • Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

Table of Contents

Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, San Antonio ranks as the #1 city for opening a Caribbean / Latin Restaurant in the United States, with an average 81.39% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are Portland with 81.32%, and St Louis with 81.20%. Across 24 major US metros, Caribbean / Latin Restaurants show a national average survivability of 80.0%, with 24 cities scoring above 80%. Still, specific site selection matters: some of the best-performing blocks can be found in cities that might not look ideal on average. Use this data to narrow your shortlist, then visit each top city in person to assess foot traffic and competitive density.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

Caribbean / Latin Restaurants city survivability range chart: San Antonio vs Dallas (2026)

Best-to-worst Caribbean / Latin Restaurant survivability within individual metros: San Antonio, St Louis, New York City, Minneapolis and Dallas. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).

All 24 Cities Ranked for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants:

#MetroMetro areaChance of lasting two or more years
1San AntonioSan Antonio-New Braunfels, TX81.39%
2PortlandPortland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA81.32%
3St Louis81.20%
4CharlotteCharlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC80.94%
5OrlandoOrlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL80.89%
6PhoenixPhoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ80.77%
7BaltimoreBaltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD80.47%
8Tampa BayTampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL80.44%
9AtlantaAtlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA80.38%
10DetroitDetroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI80.29%
11Los AngelesLos Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA80.22%
12MiamiMiami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL80.21%
13San FranciscoSan Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA80.20%
14San DiegoSan Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA80.19%
15HoustonHouston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX80.17%
16Washington DCWashington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV79.96%
17MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI79.91%
18DallasDallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX79.87%
19DenverDenver-Aurora-Centennial, CO79.86%
20ChicagoChicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN79.72%
21SeattleSeattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA79.71%
22BostonBoston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH79.59%
23PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD79.42%
24New York CityNew York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ79.35%

1. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

2. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

3. St Louis

4. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

5. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

6. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

8. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

9. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

10. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

11. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

12. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

13. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

14. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

15. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

16. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

17. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

18. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

19. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

20. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

21. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

22. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

23. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

24. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (San Antonio at 81.39%) and the #24 city (New York City at 79.35%) is 2.04 percentage points. 0.1 percentage points separate San Antonio from Portland. For Caribbean / Latin Restaurants, that is small next to the spread between the best and worst addresses in either city.

Strong performers: 24 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a Caribbean / Latin Restaurant is 80.0%.

What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Caribbean / Latin Restaurants:

  • Strong survivability signals: San Antonio leads with a 81% average chance of lasting two or more years for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants: significantly above the national average for this business category.
  • Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
  • Economic conditions: All top-ranked cities show strong median household incomes and low vacancy rates in the neighborhoods where Caribbean / Latin Restaurants perform best.
  • Low market saturation: Top cities for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants have fewer direct competitors per square mile than lower-ranked metros, leaving meaningful whitespace for well-positioned new entrants.

Across the U.S., real estate professionals and business owners rely on StreetSpring's AI predictions to understand where a new venture is most likely to thrive, before signing a lease. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. StreetSpring's predictions leverage proprietary datasets covering competition, spending, and mobility.

Best Neighborhoods Across the Spectrum

Strong opportunities for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants aren't limited to the highest-ranked cities. Here are top neighborhoods at different points in the national spectrum:

San Francisco: ranked #13 of 24: a middle-of-the-pack national market

  • Glen-Park (86% survivability)
  • Mission-Bay (86% survivability)
  • Marina (85% survivability)
  • South-Beach (84% survivability)
  • Sea-Cliff (84% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for San Francisco →

New York City: ranked #24 of 24: among the lower-ranked national markets

  • Rockaway-Park (89% survivability)
  • Coney-Island (87% survivability)
  • Brighton-Beach (86% survivability)
  • Newark (86% survivability)
  • Far-Rockaway (84% survivability)

See full neighborhood rankings for New York City →

Don't let a city's national rank deter exploration: every city has neighborhoods that buck the city-wide average.

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

National guides:

How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates: particularly for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.

Can a Caribbean / Latin Restaurant succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes, our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Caribbean / Latin Restaurants in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Caribbean / Latin Restaurants in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align, even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.

What tools can help me choose the right city for a Caribbean / Latin Restaurant?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants, and commercial vacancy rates: the factors that most consistently predict whether a Caribbean / Latin Restaurant will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →

Which US city has the best survivability for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants?

San Antonio ranks as the #1 city in the US for Caribbean / Latin Restaurants survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 81% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in San Antonio, a Caribbean / Latin Restaurant has approximately a 81% chance of still operating after two years, above the national average for this category. Portland ranks second, followed by St Louis. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas: see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Robert Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring

Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: San Antonio, Portland, St Louis, Charlotte, Orlando, Phoenix, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Detroit, Los Angeles, Miami, San Francisco, San Diego, Houston, Washington DC, Minneapolis, Dallas, Denver, Chicago, Seattle, Boston, Philadelphia, New York City. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.