City Survivability Rankings for Brewery

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the top cities for Breweries across the US by Survivability Scores. See which cities offer the best chances for a Brewery to succeed.

15 min read

Quick Summary

  • Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
  • The highest-survivability city for Brewery is Portland — 78.18% average survivability
  • 24 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Brewery survivability
  • The lowest-ranked city is Philadelphia at 76.03%
  • National average chance of lasting two or more years for Brewery: 77.0%
  • Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

Table of Contents


Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Portland ranks as the #1 city for opening a Brewery in the United States, with an average 78.18% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 78.11%, and Miami with 77.73%. Across 24 metros, Breweries average 77.0% survivability — with 3 cities offering conditions conducive to long-term success in this category. City-wide statistics are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. Market conditions shift frequently — use StreetSpring's live tool to confirm the current picture before committing to a location.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

Breweries city survivability range chart — Washington DC vs Dallas (2026)

Best-to-worst Brewery survivability within individual metros — Washington DC, Miami, Charlotte, San Francisco and Dallas. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).


All 24 Cities Ranked for Breweries

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Breweries:

#MetroMetro areaChance of lasting 2+ years
1PortlandPortland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA78.18%
2San AntonioSan Antonio-New Braunfels, TX78.11%
3MiamiMiami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL77.73%
4PhoenixPhoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ77.60%
5Tampa BayTampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL77.51%
6OrlandoOrlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL77.43%
7BaltimoreBaltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD77.41%
8CharlotteCharlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC77.25%
9St Louis77.08%
10San DiegoSan Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA77.07%
11Washington DCWashington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV76.96%
12DenverDenver-Aurora-Centennial, CO76.94%
13DetroitDetroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI76.93%
14HoustonHouston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX76.82%
15San FranciscoSan Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA76.81%
16Los AngelesLos Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA76.72%
17AtlantaAtlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA76.69%
18New York CityNew York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ76.57%
19BostonBoston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH76.52%
20SeattleSeattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA76.48%
21ChicagoChicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN76.44%
22MinneapolisMinneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI76.43%
23DallasDallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX76.33%
24PhiladelphiaPhiladelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD76.03%

1. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

  • Best locations: 82.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 77.0% – 80.0%
  • Challenging locations: 63.0% – 74.0%

2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 77.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 65.0% – 74.0%

3. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 64.0% – 74.0%

4. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 61.0% – 73.0%

5. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 61.0% – 73.0%

6. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 63.0% – 73.0%

7. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 64.0% – 74.0%

8. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 62.0% – 73.0%

9. St Louis

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 79.0%
  • Challenging locations: 59.0% – 72.0%

10. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 76.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 63.0% – 73.0%

11. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 63.0% – 73.0%

12. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 64.0% – 73.0%

13. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 62.0% – 73.0%

14. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 62.0% – 73.0%

15. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

  • Best locations: 80.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 62.0% – 73.0%

16. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 58.0% – 72.0%

17. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 62.0% – 72.0%

18. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 62.0% – 72.0%

19. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

  • Best locations: 81.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 63.0% – 72.0%

20. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

  • Best locations: 80.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 77.0%
  • Challenging locations: 64.0% – 73.0%

21. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

  • Best locations: 80.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 63.0% – 72.0%

22. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

  • Best locations: 80.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 61.0% – 72.0%

23. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

  • Best locations: 80.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 75.0% – 77.0%
  • Challenging locations: 66.0% – 73.0%

24. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

  • Best locations: 80.0% – 84.0%
  • Average locations: 74.0% – 78.0%
  • Challenging locations: 59.0% – 71.0%

Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (Portland at 78.18%) and the #24 city (Philadelphia at 76.03%) is 2.15 percentage points. At 0.1 points apart, Portland and San Antonio are effectively tied for Breweries. The survivability difference that matters shows up block by block.

Strong performers: 3 cities show Survivability Scores above 80%, indicating highly favorable conditions for Breweries.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a Brewery is 77.0%.


What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Breweries:

  • Strong survivability signals: Portland leads with a 79% average chance of lasting two or more years for Breweries — significantly above the national average for this business category.
  • Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Breweries, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
  • Foot traffic infrastructure: High-scoring cities combine transit access, walkable commercial corridors, and anchor tenants that drive consistent daily traffic past storefronts.
  • Economic conditions: All top-ranked cities show strong median household incomes and low vacancy rates in the neighborhoods where Breweries perform best.

Our survivability predictions are built on one of the largest commercial real estate datasets available, covering 24 major metros. Our models are trained on data from businesses reaching more than 180 million+ Americans. StreetSpring uses its own proprietary forecasting tools to make these predictions.



Visual Data

Bar chart ranking 24 US metros by Brewery survivability score; Portland highest at 78.2, Philadelphia lowest at 76.0.
Portland leads US metros for Brewery survivability at 78.2, 2.15 points above last-place Philadelphia (76.0). 24 metros scored.
US map showing Brewery survivability score across 24 metros; Portland highest at 79, Seattle lowest at 76.
US map of Brewery survivability by metro — darker green = higher score. Portland highest at 79, Seattle lowest at 76. 24 metros plotted.

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

National guides:


How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Breweries, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.


Can a Brewery succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Breweries in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Breweries in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.


What tools can help me choose the right city for a Brewery?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Breweries across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Breweries, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a Brewery will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →


Which US city has the best survivability for Breweries?

Portland ranks as the #1 city in the US for Breweries survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 79% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Portland, a Brewery has approximately a 79% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by Miami. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring


Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Portland, San Antonio, Miami, Phoenix, Tampa Bay, Orlando, Baltimore, Charlotte, St Louis, San Diego, Washington DC, Denver, Detroit, Houston, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Atlanta, New York City, Boston, Seattle, Chicago, Minneapolis, Dallas, Philadelphia.