Survivability Rankings for Gym in San Francisco
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis ranks the best and worst neighborhoods in San Francisco to open a Gym, from Clayton Valley Highlands (78% survival) to Lone...
By Robert Koons | Last reviewed: September 2026 | Methodology
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- #1 Neighborhood: Clayton Valley Highlands: 78% average survivability for Gym
- Neighborhoods at or above 70%: 99 of 108 analyzed
- City-wide average: 76% for Gyms
- Most challenging area: Lone Mountain/USF at 72%
- Revenue advantage (top vs. avg location): ~7.3% more expected revenue in Clayton Valley Highlands
- Data freshness: 2026 data · Full methodology →
Table of Contents
- Summary
- 10 Best Neighborhoods
- Where Would a Gym Make the Most Money?
- What Should I Consider?
- Where Should I Start?
- FAQ: Best Neighborhoods
- FAQ: Can a Gym Succeed in Lower-Ranked Areas?
- FAQ: How Often Are Rankings Updated?
- FAQ: Is a Gym a Good Tenant?
- Landlord Survivability Data
- Best Neighborhoods for Any Business
Summary
Opening a Gym in San Francisco? Our 2026 analysis identifies Clayton Valley Highlands as the top location with 78% average chance of surviving more than 2 years, with the best locations offering 81% and the most challenging locations in Clayton Valley Highlands at 77%. The worst neighborhoods include Lone Mountain/USF with 72% average chance. StreetSpring's Survivability Scores are updated regularly, so the most accurate prediction for your exact storefront is always available in the live tool.
What Are the 10 Best Neighborhoods in and Around San Francisco to Open a Gym?
Clayton Valley Highlands ranks #1 of 108 neighborhoods analyzed in and around San Francisco for Gym survivability, with a 78% chance of lasting two or more years as of 2026. The top 10 neighborhoods are:
| Rank | Neighborhood | At a good address | Average Locations | Best Locations | Challenging Locations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clayton Valley Highlands | 80.8% | 77.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 76.0% to 78.0% |
| 2 | Longwood-Winton Grove | 80.4% | 75.0% to 78.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 3 | Meadow Homes | 79.9% | 77.0% to 81.0% | 79.0% to 80.0% | 78.0% to 79.0% |
| 4 | Clayton Valley | 79.9% | 77.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 80.0% | 76.0% to 78.0% |
| 5 | South Kennedy Tract | 79.9% | 77.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 76.0% to 78.0% |
| 6 | Miraloma Park | 79.9% | 76.0% to 79.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 74.0% to 75.0% |
| 7 | Twin Peaks | 79.9% | 76.0% to 79.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 73.0% to 75.0% |
| 8 | Thousand Oaks | 79.5% | 77.0% to 80.0% | 79.0% to 81.0% | 77.0% to 79.0% |
| 9 | Treasure Island | 79.5% | 76.0% to 79.0% | 79.0% to 80.0% | 75.0% to 77.0% |
| 10 | Oceanview/Merced/Ingleside | 79.5% | 76.0% to 79.0% | 78.0% to 80.0% | 74.0% to 76.0% |
Remember that a neighborhood average smooths over wide variation: your exact block could significantly outperform. Our live tool reflects the latest competitive landscape: these static rankings may already be slightly out of date.
Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each neighborhood. See our full methodology →
Try StreetSpring to see if this location is still the best and see if there are locations to rent in this area right now.
Where in or Around San Francisco Would a Gym Make the Most Money?
In Clayton Valley Highlands, the best possible location offers the opportunity of making ~7.3% more than the average location in or around San Francisco.
On the other hand, in Lone Mountain/USF, the worst possible location could result in making ~12.9% less than the average location in the city.
Our data consistently shows that location accounts for more variance in outcomes than any other single factor. Opening a Gym in San Francisco requires careful location choice. Across 108 neighborhoods analyzed, the overall average survival chance for a new Gym is 76% for lasting more than 2 years, due to a combination of many factors across competition, consumer spending, and location dynamics. What makes a location ideal varies by business type: foot traffic patterns, competitor proximity, and consumer demographics all play different roles.
What Should I Consider When Opening a Gym in or Around San Francisco?
When selecting a location for a Gym in or around San Francisco, it is crucial to select a location with a very high Survivability Score. A high Revenue Capture Score is the clearest signal that a location can sustain a profitable business. StreetSpring computes this by projecting the business's market share, which is based on the quality and quantity of primary, secondary, and tertiary competitors. The analysis behind these rankings spans millions of data points across competition, spending, and mobility. Our data shows that businesses in moderately competitive clusters survive longer than isolated storefronts on average. StreetSpring uses its own proprietary forecasting tools to make these predictions. StreetSpring scores 500+ business types: 153 base business types, most of them at 5 price points, which is 569 type-and-price combinations you can choose in the tool.
This can be summarized as:
Revenue Capture Score = Projected Market Share × Forecasted Spend on Specific Business
Related: Survivability Score: How We Calculate It & Why It Matters
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Neighborhood rankings are useful, but the exact odds for your location can only be seen by running a current survivability check in StreetSpring.
Where in or Around San Francisco Should I Start a Gym?
StreetSpring identifies the strongest markets as Clayton Valley Highlands, Longwood-Winton Grove, and Meadow Homes, while the most challenging neighborhoods would be Lone Mountain/USF, Visitacion Valley, and Whitman-Mocine. These averages are directional, not definitive; the best decision comes from analyzing your specific storefront. StreetSpring refreshes survivability data continuously: check the tool for the most current score at any address.
Related Articles:
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
- Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco
- National City Survivability: Gym
- National Neighborhood Survivability: Gym
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in San Francisco to Open a Gym?
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, the top neighborhood for a Gym in San Francisco is Clayton Valley Highlands with 78% average survivability, followed by Longwood-Winton Grove and Meadow Homes. 99 of 108 neighborhoods analyzed exceed 70% two-year survival.
Market dynamics shift frequently; validate these insights with real-time data from StreetSpring.
Can a Gym Succeed in Lower-Ranked Neighborhoods in San Francisco?
Yes, neighborhood averages mask significant block-by-block variation. Even in neighborhoods ranked outside the top 10, individual storefronts with strong foot traffic, low direct competition, and favorable lease terms can outperform the area average. However, individual locations vary widely, and even in lower-scoring neighborhoods there are pockets that perform exceptionally well. Always check your specific address in StreetSpring's live platform for the most accurate prediction.
How Often Are Gym Rankings in San Francisco Updated?
StreetSpring recalculates survivability scores regularly using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data. Rankings are updated quarterly; the live tool always reflects the most current predictions for any address in San Francisco.
Is a Gym a Good Tenant for San Francisco Landlords?
In Clayton Valley Highlands, StreetSpring forecasts a 77.0% to 80.0% average chance for a new Gym to survive more than 2 years, depending on the exact storefront. Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
Landlord Survivability Data for Gym in San Francisco
Landlords in San Francisco's top three neighborhoods for Gym can expect the following average survivability for new tenants:
- Clayton Valley Highlands: 77.0% to 80.0%
- Longwood-Winton Grove: 75.0% to 78.0%
- Meadow Homes: 77.0% to 81.0%
Check the current Survivability Score for any address instantly.
StreetSpring can give you the precise likelihood that hundreds of different businesses will last at an exact address.
Related: How Landlord Representatives Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
What Are the Best Neighborhoods in or Around San Francisco for My Business Overall?
You can see the best neighborhoods in or around San Francisco to open any type of business in our article Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: San Francisco.
Related Resources
- Business Survivability Rankings: San Francisco: See how Gym compares to all other business types in San Francisco
- Best Cities to Open a Gym in the US: National city-level survivability rankings for Gym
- Business Survivability in Clayton Valley Highlands, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #1 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Longwood-Winton Grove, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #2 neighborhood
- Business Survivability in Meadow Homes, San Francisco: All business types ranked in the #3 neighborhood
Technical note: Aggregated survivability rankings for San Francisco are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
View technical data for San Francisco
StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.