Business Survivability in Fourth Ward, Houston
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Fourth Ward is a Bar with a ~80% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average.
Quick Summary
- Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
- Best business: a Bar in Fourth Ward (~80% average survival rate, ~81% at best locations)
- Neighborhood rank: #19 across all neighborhoods in and around Houston
- Neighborhood average: ~79% two-year survival across all business types
- Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data
- Detailed methodology
Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring
In this article:
- Summary
- Is Fourth Ward a good place to start a business?
- How to find the best location
- Best businesses to open
- How much money could a business make?
- What businesses should open next?
- Frequently Asked Questions
Summary
StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Fourth Ward is a Bar with a ~80% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average, with the best locations offering a ~81% chance; next is a Veterinary Clinic with a 79.72% chance, followed by a Pet Grooming Shop with a 79.54% chance.
Is Fourth Ward a good place to start a business?
In Houston's neighborhood survivability rankings, Fourth Ward comes in at #19, with an average Survivability Score of ~79% across all business types.
- The top business types in Fourth Ward, when placed at their ideal addresses, achieve survivability rates ~2% above the neighborhood-wide average.
- But at poorly chosen addresses within Fourth Ward, even the top-ranked business types can fall well below the neighborhood average. Location selection remains critical — a promising concept at the wrong spot still carries significant risk.
- The 93.7% employment rate in Fourth Ward supports consumer spending, while a 10.5% vacancy rate reflects available storefronts — both of which shape the survivability landscape for any new business here.
Employment and vacancy figures sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey.
How can you find the best location to open a business in Fourth Ward?
With StreetSpring, location selection in Fourth Ward moves from guesswork to a precise, address-level survivability score for any business type you're considering. Below is the best location for a Bar in Fourth Ward:
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis of hundreds of location-specific factors, this area offers the highest projected survivability for a Bar in Fourth Ward. Market conditions, new competitors, and local spending patterns can change rapidly — always verify with StreetSpring's live tool before signing a lease. Factors evaluated include competition at every distance band, consumer spending forecasts, mobility patterns, and market share projections.
Check if this location is still available →
What are the best businesses to open in Fourth Ward?
| # | Business type | Chance of lasting 2+ years |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bar | 79.73% |
| 2 | Veterinary Clinic | 79.72% |
| 3 | Pet Grooming Shop | 79.54% |
| 4 | Syrian Restaurant | 79.46% |
| 5 | Armenian Restaurant | 79.45% |
| 6 | Italian Restaurant | 79.44% |
| 7 | South African Restaurant | 79.42% |
| 8 | Caribbean / Latin Restaurant | 79.41% |
| 9 | Vietnamese Restaurant | 79.39% |
| 10 | Portuguese Restaurant | 79.36% |
#1-5: Highest Survivability in Fourth Ward
- Bar — ~79%–~81% survivability range, with an average of 79.73% across Fourth Ward.
- Opening a Veterinary Clinic in Fourth Ward shows 79.72% average survivability. Top locations reach ~87%; lower-end sites show ~85%.
- Pet Grooming Shop (Ranked #3): 79.54% average in Fourth Ward. Best-case storefronts: ~80%. Challenging locations: ~78%.
- Syrian Restaurant is ranked #4 for top businesses to open in Fourth Ward: 79.46% chance on average, best at ~80%, challenging at ~79%.
- Armenian Restaurant — ~78%–~80% survivability range, with an average of 79.45% across Fourth Ward.
#6-10: Strong Performers in Fourth Ward
- Opening an Italian Restaurant in Fourth Ward shows 79.44% average survivability. Top locations reach ~80%; lower-end sites show ~79%.
- South African Restaurant (Ranked #7): 79.42% average in Fourth Ward. Best-case storefronts: ~80%. Challenging locations: ~79%.
- Caribbean / Latin Restaurant is ranked #8 for top businesses to open in Fourth Ward: 79.41% chance on average, best at ~80%, challenging at ~78%.
- Vietnamese Restaurant — ~78%–~80% survivability range, with an average of 79.39% across Fourth Ward.
- Opening a Portuguese Restaurant in Fourth Ward shows 79.36% average survivability. Top locations reach ~80%; lower-end sites show ~78%.
Top 3 Compared Nationally
- Bar — See how this compares to other cities →
- Veterinary Clinic — See how this compares to other cities →
- Pet Grooming Shop — See how this compares to other cities →
How much money could a business in Fourth Ward make?
Best location vs. average location
Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, following the survivability data rather than relying on intuition or foot traffic estimates in Fourth Ward could lead to you making ~2% more than if you selected an average location, and ~5% more than if you selected one of the worst locations.
How StreetSpring calculates location value
- Site selection requires evaluating the specific combination of your business type and the exact address — neighborhood-level data is only the starting point.
- Nothing influences a business's future more than its location.
- Survivability Score is not just a survival metric — it's a revenue predictor, and the higher the score, the stronger the long-term financial outlook.
- StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for over 700 business types.
What businesses should open next in Fourth Ward?
The top businesses to open next in Fourth Ward:
- Bars — 79.73% average survival rate, up to ~81% at best locations
- Veterinary Clinics — 79.72% average survival rate
- Pet Grooming Shops — 79.54% average survival rate
Market conditions, new competitors, and local spending patterns can change rapidly — always verify with StreetSpring's live tool before signing a lease. Our models are built using machine learning trained on millions of commercial real estate data points. Fourth Ward sits at 93.7% employment and 10.5% commercial vacancy — conditions that set the ceiling and floor for Revenue Capture potential across all business types here. Survivability scores are live, not static — StreetSpring updates them weekly. Visit the tool to see what's currently available in Fourth Ward and how each address is scoring right now.
See the Survivability Score for your new business
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Visual Data
Frequently Asked Questions
Here are the most common questions about opening a business in Fourth Ward.
What type of business should you rent your Fourth Ward storefront to?
If you own commercial space in Fourth Ward, StreetSpring's 2026 data points to Bars, Veterinary Clinics, and Pet Grooming Shops as the tenant types with the strongest projected longevity at this location.
- Nothing influences a business's future more than its location.
- StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for over 700 business types. StreetSpring's free tool lets you check the survivability score for any business type at any address in Fourth Ward — a powerful filter when evaluating prospective tenants.
Related: See How Landlord Representatives in Houston Can Reduce Vacancy & Increase Tenant Longevity
Should you rent your Fourth Ward storefront to a Bar?
Yes, StreetSpring's analysis finds that a Bar would be the best type of business to rent your storefront to, with a potential ~81% chance of lasting more than 2 years; however depending on your location, the chances could drop to a ~79% chance.
- StreetSpring provides address-specific survivability predictions for over 700 business types.
What should I consider when opening a business in Fourth Ward?
In Fourth Ward, the single most important factor in your site-selection decision is the Survivability Score of the specific address you're evaluating.
- Of all the variables StreetSpring analyzes, Revenue Capture Score has the strongest predictive power.
- Every survivability score is produced by StreetSpring's private prediction engine — not available through any other platform.
- StreetSpring's live survivability scores are available for free — check your specific address now.
See the best place for your business at StreetSpring.
StreetSpring's AI platform has studied businesses serving more than 180 million+ Americans, giving its predictions a scale of validation unmatched in site-selection tools. Aggregated survivability rankings for Houston are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.
Full dataset for Houston: /resources/data/houston-survivability-scores-2026.csv — includes all business subtypes, all neighborhoods, survivability scores, and tier assignments. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.