What businesses are most in demand in Rogers Park?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 survivability analysis, the most in-demand business types in Rogers Park are Italian Restaurants, American Restaurants, and Filipino Restaurants.

How can you find the best location to open a business in Rogers Park?

StreetSpring's prediction model analyzes 100 factors across competition, spending on the specific potential business, projected revenue, projected market share, Revenue Capture Score, and mobility patterns to pinpoint which blocks in Rogers Park maximize success.

What are the best businesses to open in Rogers Park?

The top businesses to open in Rogers Park include Italian Restaurant with a ~92% chance on average of surviving more than 2 years, best-case locations reaching ~94%, followed by American Restaurant and Filipino Restaurant.

How much money could a business in Rogers Park make?

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, selecting one of the best locations in Rogers Park could lead to making ~2% more than selecting an average location, and ~3% more than one of the worst locations.

Business Survivability in Rogers Park, Chicago

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Rogers Park is an Italian Restaurant with a ~92% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average.

April 24, 2026•18 min read

Quick Summary

Best business: an Italian Restaurant in Rogers Park (~92% average survival rate, ~94% at best locations)

Neighborhood rank: #3 across all neighborhoods in and around Chicago

Neighborhood average: ~85% two-year survival across all business types

Rankings updated quarterly with latest market data

Detailed methodology

Last reviewed: May 4, 2026 by Bobby Koons, StreetSpring founder — updated weekly

In this article:

Summary
Is Rogers Park a good place to start a business?
How to find the best location
Best businesses to open
How much money could a business make?
What businesses should open next?
Frequently Asked Questions

Summary

StreetSpring's 2026 analysis finds that the best business to open in Rogers Park is an Italian Restaurant with a ~92% chance of surviving at least 2 years across the neighborhood on average, with the best locations offering a ~94% chance; next is an American Restaurant with a ~92% chance, followed by a Filipino Restaurant with a ~92% chance.

Is Rogers Park a good place to start a business?

**Where else does Rogers Park look like?** The strongest demographic and amenity-density matches are **Rock Lake (Orlando)** and **Skyland (Washington DC)**, sharing blue-collar job mix, longer commutes, and low destination density. If you've worked in either of those neighborhoods, expect Rogers Park to behave similarly on the dimensions that drive survival.

**What goes wrong in Rogers Park.** Across 93 subtypes we track, **Italian Restaurant averages 92%** — the highest in the neighborhood. Yet a site-level look shows Italian Restaurants range from **72% to 97%** across Rogers Park — a 25-point window where the address, not the concept, decides the outcome. For competitive density: Kosher Restaurants are the most-concentrated tracked subtype (0 within 0.5 miles).

Among all neighborhoods in and around Chicago, Rogers Park ranks #3 for business survivability, with an average score of ~85%.

Choosing an optimal address for the highest-ranked business types in Rogers Park can produce survivability scores up to ~2% above the neighborhood mean.
Still, those same business types at weaker addresses in Rogers Park can score well below the neighborhood mean. Even the most viable concept here requires the right address to reach its potential.
A 93.1% employment rate in Rogers Park means a large share of local consumers have steady income — a strong underlying condition for discretionary spending businesses.

Employment and vacancy figures sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey.

Which blocks in Rogers Park offer the strongest survivability?

Rather than relying on neighborhood averages, StreetSpring's scoring tells you which specific addresses in Rogers Park give your concept the best odds of survival. Below is the best location for an Italian Restaurant in Rogers Park:

Reading visibility, frontage, and parking carefully

Loading live map preview...

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis of 100 location-specific factors, this area offers the highest projected survivability for an Italian Restaurant in Rogers Park. Conditions on the ground shift continuously, which is why StreetSpring's live tool is the most reliable read for any current decision. Factors evaluated include competition at every distance band, consumer spending forecasts, mobility patterns, and market share projections.

Check if this location is still available →

Which business types have the highest survivability in Rogers Park?

#1-5: Highest Survivability in Rogers Park

Italian Restaurant is ranked #1 for top businesses to open in Rogers Park: ~92% chance on average, best at ~94%, challenging at ~91%.
American Restaurant — ~90%–~94% survivability range, with an average of ~92% across Rogers Park.
Opening a Filipino Restaurant in Rogers Park shows ~92% average survivability. Top locations reach ~94%; lower-end sites show ~90%.
Bangladeshi Restaurant (Ranked #4): ~92% average in Rogers Park. Best-case storefronts: ~95%. Challenging locations: ~91%.
South American Restaurant is ranked #5 for top businesses to open in Rogers Park: ~92% chance on average, best at ~94%, challenging at ~90%.

#6-10: Strong Performers in Rogers Park

Brunch Restaurant — ~90%–~95% survivability range, with an average of ~92% across Rogers Park.
Opening a Deli in Rogers Park shows ~92% average survivability. Top locations reach ~94%; lower-end sites show ~91%.
Chinese Restaurant (Ranked #8): ~92% average in Rogers Park. Best-case storefronts: ~94%. Challenging locations: ~91%.
French Restaurant is ranked #9 for top businesses to open in Rogers Park: ~92% chance on average, best at ~94%, challenging at ~91%.
Taiwanese Restaurant — ~91%–~94% survivability range, with an average of ~92% across Rogers Park.

Top 3 Compared Nationally

American Restaurant — See how this compares to other cities →
Filipino Restaurant — See how this compares to other cities →

What revenue can a Rogers Park business expect?

Best location vs. average location

Based on StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, choosing a high-performing site for your concept in Rogers Park could lead to you making ~2% more than if you selected an average location, and ~3% more than if you selected one of the worst locations.

How StreetSpring calculates location value

Even within a high-performing neighborhood, the best location varies by business type — StreetSpring scores each combination separately.
Location is the single strongest predictor of whether a business thrives or fails.
Survivability Score is not just a survival metric — it's a revenue predictor, and the higher the score, the stronger the long-term financial outlook.
StreetSpring can pinpoint which blocks in each neighborhood or city maximize a business's chances of success.

The biggest opportunity gaps in Rogers Park

The top businesses to open next in Rogers Park:

Italian Restaurants — ~92% average survival rate, up to ~94% at best locations
American Restaurants — ~92% average survival rate
Filipino Restaurants — ~92% average survival rate

Market conditions are changing daily, and it is best to use StreetSpring's most up-to-date data. StreetSpring's accuracy is built on studying businesses that serve more than 180 million+ Americans across 24 cities. StreetSpring's model accounts for Rogers Park's 93.1% employment rate when projecting survivability — businesses reliant on discretionary spend benefit disproportionately in well-employed neighborhoods. Survivability scores are live, not static — StreetSpring updates them weekly. Visit the tool to see what's currently available in Rogers Park and how each address is scoring right now.

See the Survivability Score for your new business

Related Articles:

See the Chicago Business Survivability Rankings
See the Chicago Neighborhood Survivability Rankings

Frequently Asked Questions

Here are the most common questions about opening a business in Rogers Park.

What type of business should you rent your Rogers Park storefront to?

Our 2026 survivability data for Rogers Park shows that Italian Restaurants, American Restaurants, and Filipino Restaurants rank as the top tenant categories for minimizing vacancy risk.

Location is the single strongest predictor of whether a business thrives or fails.
StreetSpring can pinpoint which blocks in each neighborhood or city maximize a business's chances of success. Use StreetSpring to see the survivability score for any business type at your exact storefront address before you sign a lease.

Should you rent your Rogers Park storefront to an Italian Restaurant?

The data shows an Italian Restaurant is the safest long-term bet for a Rogers Park storefront. Top locations reach ~94% survivability; the least favorable addresses in this neighborhood score around ~91%.

StreetSpring can pinpoint which blocks in each neighborhood or city maximize a business's chances of success.

What should I consider when opening a business in Rogers Park?

Location decisions in Rogers Park should be grounded in Survivability Score data, not intuition. The score directly measures the competitive and spending conditions at your exact address.

Among all the inputs that shape survivability, Revenue Capture Score carries the most predictive weight.
StreetSpring's forecasting tools are purpose-built for commercial location decisions and are not available through any publicly accessible data source.
StreetSpring offers free access to its survivability scores — see how your shortlisted Rogers Park addresses rank right now.

See the best place for your business at StreetSpring.

StreetSpring uses AI to predict business survivability across U.S. neighborhoods — trusted by real estate professionals and entrepreneurs nationwide. Aggregated survivability rankings for Chicago are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

Build-out budget rules-of-thumb for this neighborhood

Area to check	What can go wrong	How to de-risk it
Permits & licensing	Assuming a 30-day permit timeline, hitting 90+ days, paying rent on a non-operating storefront.	Call the local zoning office before signing. Confirm your use is already permitted; if not, factor a 2-3 month variance timeline.
Foot traffic seasonality	Looking at a peak-summer Tuesday and assuming year-round volume.	Walk the block at 3 different times across 2 different weeks. Ask neighboring tenants for their slow-season % drop.
Lease term	Locking into 7-10 years without break clauses, then needing to relocate after year 2.	Negotiate a relocation or termination clause. Confirm assignment + sublease rights are in writing.

Full dataset for Chicago: /resources/data/chicago-survivability-scores-2026.csv — includes all business subtypes, all neighborhoods, survivability scores, and tier assignments. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.

Visual Data

Dumbbell chart comparing best vs worst locations for businesses in Chicago — Best vs worst neighborhood per business type in Chicago — the gap shows how much location choice matters for each subtype.

Treemap of Chicago business mix by survivability score — Treemap of business mix in Chicago — cell size = number of locations, color = average survivability score.

Radar chart of business-subtype survivability in Rogers Park, Chicago — Top business types scored in Rogers Park, Chicago — each axis is a subtype, taller = stronger survival rate.

How we measure this: Our gradient-boosted survivability model has 100+ input features. The waterfall shows the top 6-8 contributors to a final score.

**About Rogers Park** — Rogers Park is one of the 77 community areas of Chicago in Illinois, United States, located on the North Side of Chicago. Located 9 miles (14 km) north of the Loop along the shore of Lake Michigan, it features green spaces, early 20th-century architecture, live theater, bars, restaurants, and beaches. ([Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rogers_Park%2C_Chicago))

**Worker-to-resident ratio (Rogers Park):** LEHD daytime population data gives Rogers Park a **0.4-to-1 worker/resident ratio** (a primarily-residential signal with some daytime worker pull). Median 1-mile workplace jobs: **13,496**; retail share within that: **838**. Worker-heavy neighborhoods skew demand toward weekday-business-hours; resident-heavy neighborhoods skew toward evenings and weekends.

Landmark anchor: Frank Lloyd Wright's Emil Bach House sits in Rogers Park as a history-museum anchor — the kind of cultural draw that shapes weekend foot-traffic patterns nearby.

**Three local anchors for Rogers Park:** **6.9%** neighborhood unemployment (above the 24-metro median, ACS), **$1,198/week** average wage in the Chicago area (below our metro median, BLS QCEW), and **5,308** new residential units permitted in Cook County in 2025 (Census BPS). These three together describe the demand-and-labor environment any new Rogers Park business operates within.

**Why these baselines matter:** BLS Business Employment Dynamics (March 2025) reports 5-year survival rates of **47.8-61.8%** across the industries StreetSpring covers. Restaurants survive at **50.0%** nationally — not 20%. The location decision is what separates the 30% above the baseline from the 30% below.

Related:

Beyond the Numbers: Local Context

Beyond the general FAQ — data-anchored answers for this specific location.

Are storefronts and homes filling up or sitting empty in Rogers Park?

Rogers Park's housing vacancy rate is roughly 9%, compared to 8% across the Chicago metro. Vacancy is close to the metro median — lease economics are typical for the area.

Is Rogers Park more a residential or work-destination neighborhood?

Median commute time in Rogers Park is about 41 minutes, versus 35 minutes across the Chicago metro. A longer commute suggests residents work elsewhere — peak demand shifts to evenings and weekends, favoring dinner-oriented dining and weekend retail.

How does the median age in Rogers Park compare to the Chicago metro?

ACS data puts Rogers Park's median age at 40, compared to the Chicago metro median of 37. That's older by 3 years — An older profile tends to favor healthcare, professional services, and family-oriented retail over nightlife.

Does Rogers Park's income profile support new business openings?

Rogers Park's median household income (~~$80K) is below the Chicago metro median (~~$103K) by approximately $22K. Lower median income tends to favor value-oriented retail, fast-casual food, and necessity-driven services.

What's the home ownership rate in Rogers Park, and why does it matter?

Home ownership in Rogers Park is approximately 30%, versus the Chicago metro median of 45%. A higher renter share often means more population turnover; quick-service food, fitness, and convenience tend to do well in such environments.