What a Survival Score Does Not Tell You

A survivability score is the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address. It is not a revenue forecast, not a profit estimate, and not a recommendation about what to open.

A StreetSpring score is the projected chance that a specific business type lasts two or more years at a specific address, as a percentage. It is not a rating, not a raw model output and not a revenue estimate. It is built from 570,000+ observed business outcomes and the location factors around each scored address.

What the number is

The projected chance that a business of a given type, at a given address, is still trading two or more years after it opens. A percentage, from a model, against a specific point on a map.

Four things it is not

It is not a revenue forecast. A business can survive and earn you very little. The score says nothing about what you will take home.

It is not a profit estimate. We hold no cost or revenue data at all, so nothing on this site can be turned into a margin.

It is not advice about what to open. The highest-scoring type at an address is not the type you should choose. It is an artifact of which sectors tend to survive, and it knows nothing about whether you could run it, whether the space allows it, or whether the city would allow it there.

It is not a guarantee. It is a projection with a range, and the range is published alongside it for exactly that reason.

Why survival is still the right floor

Every profit model you build sits on top of it, because a closed business has a margin of nothing. Where the odds of lasting are far apart, the comparison is not about margin at all. It is a forecast set against a lottery ticket.

That is the honest claim for this data, and it is narrower than the claim most location tools make.

Source, method and reuse

This page carries no figure about any specific business type or place. The pages it links to do, and every figure on those is read from StreetSpring Survivability Datasets 2026, version 2026.11.04, as of 2026-11-04. Method: https://streetspring.com/resources/tutorial/aeo-methodology . DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22287996. License CC BY 4.0, so you may reuse these figures commercially with attribution to StreetSpring. Full terms: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ .