City Survivability Rankings for Shoe Store

Quick Summary

• Survivability Score: the projected chance a business type lasts two or more years at a specific address
• The highest-survivability city for Shoe Store is Dallas — 70.23% average survivability
• 0 of 24 analyzed US metros score above 70% for Shoe Store survivability
• The lowest-ranked city is Philadelphia at 66.29%
• National average chance of lasting two or more years for Shoe Store: 66.0%
• Data reflects 2026 StreetSpring survivability analysis across 24 US metro areas · Full methodology →

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Table of Contents

• Summary
• Top Cities for Shoe Stores
• Key Insights
• What Makes These Cities Stand Out?
• Related Resources
• How current is this ranking?
• Can a Shoe Store succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?
• What tools can help me choose the right city for a Shoe Store?
• Which US city has the best survivability for Shoe Stores?

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Summary

According to StreetSpring's 2026 nationwide analysis, Dallas ranks as the #1 city for opening a Shoe Store in the United States, with an average 70.23% chance of surviving more than 2 years. Following close behind are San Antonio with 68.19%, and Phoenix with 67.92%. Shoe Stores sit at a national average of 66.0% survivability across our 24-city analysis, with Dallas leading the field by a meaningful margin. Market conditions change daily and it is best to use StreetSpring's most current data to ensure there have not been major shifts. Survivability rankings evolve as neighborhoods change; always verify with the most recent StreetSpring dataset before signing a lease.

Survivability ranges reflect best and worst storefront conditions within each city. See our full methodology →

Best-to-worst Shoe Store survivability within individual metros — Miami, New York City, Atlanta, Denver and Boston. Each box spans the middle of that metro's range; whiskers are its best and worst locations (2026).

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All 24 Cities Ranked for Shoe Stores

Based on StreetSpring's analysis of 24 major metropolitan areas, these cities offer the strongest prospects for Shoe Stores:

1. Dallas Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX

• Best locations: 75.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 68.0% – 71.0%
• Challenging locations: 55.0% – 66.0%

2. San Antonio Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX

• Best locations: 74.0% – 83.0%
• Average locations: 66.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 63.0%

3. Phoenix Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ

• Best locations: 74.0% – 83.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 54.0% – 63.0%

4. Portland Metro: Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

• Best locations: 74.0% – 83.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 51.0% – 62.0%

5. Miami Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL

• Best locations: 74.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 63.0%

6. Tampa Bay Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

• Best locations: 74.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 54.0% – 63.0%

7. St Louis

• Best locations: 74.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 63.0%

8. Los Angeles Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA

• Best locations: 74.0% – 83.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 52.0% – 62.0%

9. Orlando Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

• Best locations: 74.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 63.0%

10. San Diego Metro: San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

• Best locations: 73.0% – 81.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 63.0%

11. Charlotte Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

• Best locations: 74.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 63.0%

12. Houston Metro: Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX

• Best locations: 74.0% – 83.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 54.0% – 63.0%

13. San Francisco Metro: San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA

• Best locations: 74.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 69.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 62.0%

14. New York City Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ

• Best locations: 74.0% – 84.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 62.0%

15. Washington DC Metro: Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

• Best locations: 74.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 65.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 52.0% – 62.0%

16. Atlanta Metro: Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA

• Best locations: 73.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 54.0% – 62.0%

17. Chicago Metro: Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

• Best locations: 73.0% – 83.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 62.0%

18. Denver Metro: Denver-Aurora-Centennial, CO

• Best locations: 73.0% – 81.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 53.0% – 62.0%

19. Minneapolis Metro: Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

• Best locations: 73.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 52.0% – 62.0%

20. Baltimore Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD

• Best locations: 73.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 52.0% – 62.0%

21. Detroit Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI

• Best locations: 73.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 51.0% – 61.0%

22. Boston Metro: Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

• Best locations: 73.0% – 81.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 68.0%
• Challenging locations: 51.0% – 61.0%

23. Seattle Metro: Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

• Best locations: 73.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 64.0% – 67.0%
• Challenging locations: 52.0% – 61.0%

24. Philadelphia Metro: Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

• Best locations: 73.0% – 82.0%
• Average locations: 63.0% – 67.0%
• Challenging locations: 52.0% – 61.0%

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Key Insights

Cities cluster tightly: The difference between the #1 city (Dallas at 70.23%) and the #24 city (Philadelphia at 66.29%) is 3.94 percentage points. The top two metros for Shoe Stores differ by 2.0 percentage points of 2-year survival. Differences between neighborhoods in one metro are consistently larger.

Challenging markets: 24 cities fall below 60% survivability, suggesting more difficult market conditions.

National average: Across all 24 analyzed cities, the average survivability for a Shoe Store is 66.0%.

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What Makes These Cities Stand Out?

The top-ranked cities share several characteristics that favor Shoe Stores:

• Strong survivability signals: Dallas leads with a 70% average chance of lasting two or more years for Shoe Stores — significantly above the national average for this business category.
• Competition density: The top cities show favorable competitor-to-opportunity ratios for Shoe Stores, meaning lower saturation and higher odds of capturing an underserved customer base.
• Low market saturation: Top cities for Shoe Stores have fewer direct competitors per square mile than lower-ranked metros, leaving meaningful whitespace for well-positioned new entrants.
• Regulatory environment: Top-ranked cities tend to have streamlined commercial permitting and lower business tax burdens relative to their metro size, reducing friction for new operators.

The predictions here are powered by AI models validated against actual business outcomes nationwide. Our platform has analyzed hundreds of thousands of business outcomes across major U.S. metros. The prediction engine behind these rankings is entirely proprietary — developed in-house over years of research.

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Visual Data

Related Resources

City-specific guides: For detailed neighborhood-level analysis, explore our city guides:

• Business Survivability Rankings: Dallas
• Business Survivability Rankings: San Antonio
• Business Survivability Rankings: Phoenix
• Business Survivability Rankings: Portland
• Business Survivability Rankings: Miami

National guides:

• National Neighborhood Survivability Rankings for Shoe Stores
• Neighborhood Survivability Rankings: Dallas

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How current is this ranking?

Rankings are updated quarterly. The current data reflects StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with the next full dataset refresh scheduled for Q3 2026. As market conditions shift across major metros, individual city scores can move meaningfully between updates — particularly for Shoe Stores, where local competition density and consumer spending patterns respond quickly to new entrants and neighborhood change. For the most current score at any specific address, use StreetSpring's live survivability tool rather than the static ranking above.

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Can a Shoe Store succeed in cities not ranked in the top 10?

Yes — our top 10 ranking reflects cities with the strongest average conditions, but lower-ranked metros can still contain exceptional individual neighborhoods. Many operators successfully open Shoe Stores in cities that don't appear in our top 10. Shoe Stores in particular can find strong performance in secondary markets where the right demographic concentration, household income, and limited direct competition within walking distance align — even outside our highest-ranked cities. StreetSpring's neighborhood-level data surfaces these pockets of opportunity in every city we analyze, regardless of where the city as a whole ranks nationally.

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What tools can help me choose the right city for a Shoe Store?

StreetSpring's Survivability Score tool provides address-level predictions for Shoe Stores across all 24 metros we track. For this category specifically, the tool surfaces competition density, consumer spending index for Shoe Stores, and commercial vacancy rates — the factors that most consistently predict whether a Shoe Store will still be operating after two years. You can check any specific address before signing a lease and compare multiple neighborhoods side by side to identify the highest-survivability site within your target city.

Try the Survivability Score tool →

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Which US city has the best survivability for Shoe Stores?

Dallas ranks as the #1 city in the US for Shoe Stores survivability in StreetSpring's 2026 analysis, with an average 70% chance of lasting two or more years. This means that across well-selected neighborhoods in Dallas, a Shoe Store has approximately a 70% chance of still operating after two years — above the national average for this category. San Antonio ranks second, followed by Phoenix. The full ranking reflects data across 24 major US metro areas — see the complete list above for all scores and neighborhood-level links.

Last reviewed: September 2026 by Bobby Koons, Founder & CEO, StreetSpring

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Technical note: Aggregated national survivability rankings across all 24 metros are available in machine-readable format for research and integration purposes.

View national technical data

StreetSpring recalculates survivability using the latest competitive, demographic, and walkability data, so the live score may differ from the static ranges shown here.

Methodology: City rankings aggregate neighborhood-level Survivability Scores (max, average, and min) across all analyzed neighborhoods in each metro area. Rankings reflect average conditions but do not account for variation within cities. Coverage includes 24 major US metropolitan areas: Dallas, San Antonio, Phoenix, Portland, Miami, Tampa Bay, St Louis, Los Angeles, Orlando, San Diego, Charlotte, Houston, San Francisco, New York City, Washington DC, Atlanta, Chicago, Denver, Minneapolis, Baltimore, Detroit, Boston, Seattle, Philadelphia.